🌊 Lakefront
106 Red Eye Rd · DeFuniak Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.
Key facts
- Block building
- Two-car carport
- Spacious corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in JUNIPER LAKE PINES UNIT 1
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-story (1 story); Entry level on the first floor
- Construction: Built in 1980
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access; Paved road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master bedroom on the first floor)
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms total (1 full bath, 1 half bath)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric air conditioning; Window/Wall AC units; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Central air and window/wall AC units; Ceiling fans throughout; Living room; Dining area; Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (11.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (23.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Maude Saunders Elementary School (math 58% / reading 52%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 553 students, 87% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 48% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 278 days — a 12% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $198k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 278 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.53%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,110
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Blue Gill Loop | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 71 Vanderheide Rd | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,442 (+7%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $87 | 62 |
| 331 Hurley Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,430 (+6%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $91 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $97,468
- Equity at exit
- $178,374
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.33×
- Total profit
- $295,244
- Equity at exit
- $384,670
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32433
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 423
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,526 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$248 /mo · $2,970/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $-163
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-26 | -5% $-95 | +0% $-163 | +5% $-232 | +10% $-300 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-284 | -5% $-223 | +0% $-163 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-43 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-63 | -0.5pp $-113 | base $-163 | +0.5pp $-214 | +1.0pp $-267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 Joe Anderson Rd Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,625 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $198,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $198,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $198,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $198,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $198,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $198,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $198,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $198,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $198,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $198,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $198,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $198,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2025-09-16$198,000 Active
-
2022-04-12soldstatus $50,000
-
2011-05-20soldstatus $36,000
-
2006-02-08historical
-
2005-08-08$145,000
-
2005-08-08$145,000
-
2003-08-14soldstatus $27,000 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.
-
2003-08-14soldstatus $27,000 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.
-
2002-12-26$29,900 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.
-
2002-12-26$29,900 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.
-
1998-01-30soldstatus $34,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,307
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$2,970
- − Insurance
- −$990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,465
- − Management
- −$1,465
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable loss
- −$5,434
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,304
- After-tax cash flow
- $-654/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — DeFuniak Springs
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #694
- US rank
- #14475
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 19,746
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,746
- Household income
- $52,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.77%
- Current HPI
- 367.046
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+475.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-16 Listed $198,000 ECAR
- 2022-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2011-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-08 Listing Removed — NAMLS
- 2005-08-08 Listed $145,000 NAMLS
- 2005-08-08 Listed $145,000 ECAR
- 2003-08-14 Sold (MLS) $27,000 ECAR
- 2003-08-14 Sold (MLS) $27,000 NAMLS
- 2002-12-26 Listed $29,900 ECAR
- 2002-12-26 Listed $29,900 NAMLS
- 1998-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $34,400 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $210 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…