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106 Red Eye Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D- Composite 37.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$198,000

106 Red Eye Rd · DeFuniak Springs, FL 32433
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 278 Days on market
Built 1980 0.66 ac lot Est $165k · 20% over · waterfront

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.

Key facts

  • Block building
  • Two-car carport
  • Spacious corner lot

Tags

SPACIOUS CORNER LOTTWO-CAR CARPORTBLOCK BUILDINGOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in JUNIPER LAKE PINES UNIT 1

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Mobile home; Single-story (1 story); Entry level on the first floor
  • Construction: Built in 1980
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access; Paved road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master bedroom on the first floor)
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms total (1 full bath, 1 half bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric air conditioning; Window/Wall AC units; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Central air and window/wall AC units; Ceiling fans throughout; Living room; Dining area; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $198k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (11.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (23.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Maude Saunders Elementary School (math 58% / reading 52%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 553 students, 87% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 48% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 278 days — a 12% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $198k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,555 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 278 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  9. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  10. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.53%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,110
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 Blue Gill Loop 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (0%) 12mo $199,000 $148 64
71 Vanderheide Rd 0.18mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,442 (+7%) 12mo $125,000 $87 62
331 Hurley Dr 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,430 (+6%) 10mo $130,000 $91 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$97,468
Equity at exit
$178,374
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
6.33×
Total profit
$295,244
Equity at exit
$384,670

Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32433

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
423
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,526 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,038
Tax est. 1.5%
$248 /mo · $2,970/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$-163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,732
Max offer price $174,392
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-26 -5% $-95 +0% $-163 +5% $-232 +10% $-300
Rent -10% $-284 -5% $-223 +0% $-163 +5% $-103 +10% $-43
Rate -1.0pp $-63 -0.5pp $-113 base $-163 +0.5pp $-214 +1.0pp $-267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,500
Closing costs
$5,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
143 Joe Anderson Rd Defuniak Springs, FL 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,625 $1.34 15d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $198,000 Active 278 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $198,000 Active 275 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $198,000 Active 274 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $198,000 Active 273 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $198,000 Active 272 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $198,000 Active 270 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $198,000 Active 269 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $198,000 Active 267 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $198,000 Active 266 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $198,000 Active 265 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $198,000 Active 264 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $198,000 Active 261 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $198,000 Active 260 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $198,000 Active 259 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $198,000 Active 258 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $198,000 Active 257 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $198,000 Active 256 DOM
  18. 2025-09-16
    listed $198,000 Active
  19. 2022-04-12
    soldstatus $50,000
  20. 2011-05-20
    soldstatus $36,000
  21. 2006-02-08
    historical
  22. 2005-08-08
    listed $145,000
  23. 2005-08-08
    listed $145,000
  24. 2003-08-14
    soldstatus $27,000 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.

  25. 2003-08-14
    soldstatus $27,000 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.

  26. 2002-12-26
    listed $29,900 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.

  27. 2002-12-26
    listed $29,900 372-char remark
    Show marketing remark (372 chars)

    REO property being sold as-is. Lots of room, 2 decks - front is 28 x 10 and back is 19 x 10. Frame and deck for an above ground pool also. Workshop is 15'4'' x 20 with a single car shed for additional car or boat. Property is less than 1 block to public boat launch at Juniper Lake. Home needs work - tub has been removed from master bath. Seller will consider all offers.

  28. 1998-01-30
    soldstatus $34,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,307
− Mortgage interest
−$11,091
− Property taxes
−$2,970
− Insurance
−$990
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,465
− Management
−$1,465
− Depreciation
−$5,760
Taxable loss
−$5,434
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,304
After-tax cash flow
$-654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — DeFuniak Springs

Score
64/100
State rank
#694
US rank
#14475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Walton County · 70,839 people
City population
19,746
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,746
Household income
$52,199
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
356.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.77%
Current HPI
367.046
Rent YoY
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+475.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-16 Listed $198,000 ECAR
  • 2022-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2011-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-08 Listing Removed NAMLS
  • 2005-08-08 Listed $145,000 NAMLS
  • 2005-08-08 Listed $145,000 ECAR
  • 2003-08-14 Sold (MLS) $27,000 ECAR
  • 2003-08-14 Sold (MLS) $27,000 NAMLS
  • 2002-12-26 Listed $29,900 ECAR
  • 2002-12-26 Listed $29,900 NAMLS
  • 1998-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $34,400 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $210 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…