40 W Benson St · Ecorse, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$145,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1925
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Electricity available; Public water
- Home design: Single-family residential property; Built in 1925
- Construction: Aluminum siding and stone exterior; Shingle roof; Built in 1925
- Exterior features: Sidewalk on the lot; Paved road access; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Steam heating
- Interior features: Pantry; Replacement windows; Michigan-style basement; Total of 9 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($658/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (14.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 10.0% in Ecorse — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 25 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $43k; list at $145k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.62%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,767
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4260 Pitt St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 998 (-6%) | 2mo | $31,000 | $31 | 83 |
| 25 W Broadway St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-6%) | 2mo | $69,000 | $69 | 73 |
| 4548 8th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,077 (+1%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $101 | 63 |
| 4059 High St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 996 (-7%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $100 | 63 |
| 239 White St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $109 | 63 |
| 4345 10th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (+5%) | 3mo | $116,000 | $104 | 59 |
| 36 E Charlotte Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 991 (-7%) | 1mo | $88,000 | $89 | 58 |
| 28 E Alexis Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 928 (-13%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $70 | 56 |
| 4250 7th St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 935 (-12%) | 1mo | $37,750 | $40 | 55 |
| 4138 11th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (+7%) | 4mo | $127,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 350 Labadie St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-10%) | 3mo | $99,000 | $103 | 52 |
| 4635 5th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 965 (-10%) | 1mo | $99,900 | $104 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $82,543
- Equity at exit
- $130,808
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.91×
- Total profit
- $240,275
- Equity at exit
- $282,092
Cash invested: $40,656 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48229
- Home prices YoY
- 33.9%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,243 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$761
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $137 | -5% $96 | +0% $55 | +5% $14 | +10% $-27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-43 | -5% $6 | +0% $55 | +5% $104 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $128 | -0.5pp $92 | base $55 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-21 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,300
- Closing costs
- $4,356
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4435 High St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,095 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4471 High St Unit 81-13 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4471 High St Unit 71-7 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,150 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4282 7th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4581 High St Unit 13 Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4573 3rd St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 16d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4015 16th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1331 Pingree Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1473 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1581 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3801 18th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 146 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,650 | $2.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 168 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 6d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 170 Bondie St Wyandotte, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,399 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 424 4th St Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 708 Highland St Unit 1 Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 19d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 357 Emmons Blvd Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,695 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1537 Chandler Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 18d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 850 Biddle Ave Unit 2 Wyandotte, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $145,200 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,200 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,200 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,200 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,200 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,200 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,200 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,200 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,200 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,200 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,200 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,200 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,200 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,200 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-03-10historical
-
2026-03-09$145,200 Active
-
2026-03-09historical
-
2026-03-09$145,200
-
2026-03-09$145,200 Active
-
2026-01-17historical
-
2026-01-16historical
-
2025-09-29price $149,900
-
2025-09-28price $149,900
-
2025-09-28price $149,900
-
2025-09-14price $159,900
-
2025-09-14price $159,900
-
2025-09-14price $159,900
-
2025-08-02$162,000 Active
-
2025-08-01$162,000 Active
-
2025-07-04historical
-
2025-06-29status Active
-
2025-06-29status Active
-
2025-05-13historical
-
2025-05-13status Pending
-
2025-05-13status Pending
-
2025-04-25status Active
-
2025-04-25status Active
-
2025-04-16status Pending
-
2025-04-16status Pending
-
2025-03-05$159,000 Active
-
2025-03-05$159,000 Active
-
2025-03-01historical
-
2025-03-01historical
-
2024-11-02$159,000 Active
-
2024-11-02$159,000 Active
-
2019-11-01soldstatus $43,000 Sold
-
2019-11-01soldstatus $43,000 Closed
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,267 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,752 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 38.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,133
- − Property taxes
- −$1,267
- − Insurance
- −$726
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,194
- − Management
- −$1,194
- − Depreciation
- −$4,224
- Taxable loss
- −$1,816
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$436
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ecorse Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612930
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,957
- Composite
- 3.46/100
- National rank
- #10075
- State rank
- #536 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ecorse
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #8880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ecorse, MI
- City population
- 9,166
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,166
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 102.51%
- Current HPI
- 404.5927
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+93.6% since first listed61 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-10 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $145,200 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-09 Listed $145,200 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $145,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-28 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-28 Price Changed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-08-02 Listed $162,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-01 Listed $162,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-29 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-29 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-25 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-25 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-05 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-05 Listed $159,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-02 Listed $159,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-02 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-11-01 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-11-01 Sold (MLS) $43,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-10-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-08-24 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-23 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-08-04 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-08-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-07-17 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-17 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-06-14 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-14 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-06-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-06-07 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-07 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-07 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-06-07 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-11-30 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-11-30 Sold (MLS) $72,500 REALCOMP
- 2001-11-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-03 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-03 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-08-09 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,267 · -48.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…