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4914 Lee St
B+ Composite 79.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$70,000

4914 Lee St · Houston, TX 77020
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1940 2,500 sqft lot $97/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming two-bedroom, one-bath home currently being used as an income-producing rental property. This is one of several properties available making up a combined 20,000+ sq ft of land in popular Denver Harbor. Property is ideal to buy now, cash flow, and redevelop later.

Key facts

  • 2,500 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Special addendum disclosure
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage; Additional off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Entry on first floor
  • Construction: Built in 1940; Cement siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms total — Primary bedroom on the first floor; one additional first-floor bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Window-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Tub with shower; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/dining combo
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mcreynolds Middle (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 398 students, 98% FRL); Wheatley H S (math 17% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 643 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
12.60%
Cash-on-cash
22.54%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,765
List price
$70,000
Delta
-54.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2311 Russell St 0.65mi 2/1.0 768 (+7%) 2mo $160,000 $208 57
2115 Chew St 0.32mi 2/2.0 816 (+13%) 14mo $134,900 $165 47
314 Hahlo St 0.66mi 2/1.0 792 (+10%) 10mo $105,000 $133 44
1508 Yates St 0.44mi 2/2.0 826 (+15%) 15mo $235,000 $285 38
3825 Ranch St 0.74mi 2/1.0 774 (+8%) 23mo $185,000 $239 34
326 Woolworth St 0.72mi 2/1.0 801 (+11%) 18mo $120,000 $150 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$63,144
Equity at exit
$63,062
10-year hold
IRR
36.8%
Equity multiple
9.72×
Total profit
$170,873
Equity at exit
$135,995

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77020

Home prices YoY
29.1%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,170 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,921/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $704
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4903 Noble St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 525 $1,200 $2.29 44d 1 0.10mi
2202 Solo St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 620 $1,200 $1.94 44d 1 0.10mi
1909 Benson St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 460 $795 $1.73 19d 1 0.56mi
1911 Benson St Unit 1 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 460 $795 $1.73 19d 1 0.57mi
1911 Benson St Unit 4 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 460 $795 $1.73 5d 1 0.57mi
5408 Market St Unit 5408-1 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 730 $900 $1.23 5d 1 0.71mi
5504 Morwood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $850 $1.13 24d 1 0.79mi
5510 Morwood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 0.80mi
5514 Morgood St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 44d 1 0.82mi
3502 Campbell St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 725 $800 $1.10 44d 1 0.83mi
3806 Wipprecht St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $700 $0.93 14d 1 0.86mi
3813 Wipprecht St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 24d 1 0.87mi
3814 Wipprecht St Unit 18B Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $700 $0.93 16d 1 0.88mi
5436 Makeig St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 0.94mi
5430 Makeig St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 0.96mi
5462 Makeig St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 749 $650 $0.87 24d 1 0.97mi
3031 Sumpter St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 502 $850 $1.69 24d 1 1.08mi
3031 Sumpter St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 502 $850 $1.69 14d 1 1.08mi
3031 Sumpter St Unit 50 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 732 $1,200 $1.64 24d 1 1.08mi
6116 Octavia St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 611 $775 $1.27 24d 1 1.10mi
3802 Dabney St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $990 $1.20 44d 2 1.11mi
3019 Florida St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 576 $950 $1.65 44d 1 1.14mi
1412 Sydnor St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 507 $800 $1.58 44d 1 1.18mi
1412 Sydnor St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 507 $800 $1.58 24d 1 1.18mi
1412 Sydnor St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 500 $700 $1.40 13d 1 1.18mi
1412 Sydnor St Unit 7 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 500 $650 $1.30 14d 1 1.18mi
1412 Sydnor St Unit 5 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 500 $700 $1.40 14d 1 1.18mi
621 Majestic St Unit Back Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 600 $750 $1.25 44d 1 1.18mi
4249 Clinton Dr Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 692 $1,950 $2.82 3d 1 1.21mi
5006 Cavalcade St Apt 2 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 541 $850 $1.57 44d 1 1.23mi
7212 Corpus Christi St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $70,000 Pending 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-05-01
    listed $70,000 Active 714-char remark
  5. 2025-08-04
    historical $1,400
  6. 2025-07-30
    price $1,400
  7. 2025-07-20
    price $1,450
  8. 2025-07-08
    listed $1,500
  9. 2025-06-30
    historical $1,550
  10. 2025-06-21
    price $1,550
  11. 2025-06-02
    listed $1,600
  12. 2023-09-11
    soldstatus
  13. 2023-09-08
    soldstatus Sold 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Charming two-bedroom, one-bath home currently being used as an income-producing rental property. This is one of several properties available making up a combined 20,000+ sq ft of land in popular Denver Harbor. Property is ideal to buy now, cash flow, and redevelop later.

  14. 2023-08-02
    status Pending 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Charming two-bedroom, one-bath home currently being used as an income-producing rental property. This is one of several properties available making up a combined 20,000+ sq ft of land in popular Denver Harbor. Property is ideal to buy now, cash flow, and redevelop later.

  15. 2023-07-31
    status Option Pending 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Charming two-bedroom, one-bath home currently being used as an income-producing rental property. This is one of several properties available making up a combined 20,000+ sq ft of land in popular Denver Harbor. Property is ideal to buy now, cash flow, and redevelop later.

  16. 2023-07-28
    status Pending 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Charming two-bedroom, one-bath home currently being used as an income-producing rental property. This is one of several properties available making up a combined 20,000+ sq ft of land in popular Denver Harbor. Property is ideal to buy now, cash flow, and redevelop later.

  17. 2023-07-24
    status Option Pending 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Charming two-bedroom, one-bath home currently being used as an income-producing rental property. This is one of several properties available making up a combined 20,000+ sq ft of land in popular Denver Harbor. Property is ideal to buy now, cash flow, and redevelop later.

  18. 2023-05-01
    listed $125,000 Active 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Charming two-bedroom, one-bath home currently being used as an income-producing rental property. This is one of several properties available making up a combined 20,000+ sq ft of land in popular Denver Harbor. Property is ideal to buy now, cash flow, and redevelop later.

  19. 2023-04-30
    historical
  20. 2023-03-30
    listed $125,000 Active
  21. 2022-11-03
    historical
  22. 2022-10-12
    listed $145,000 Active
  23. 2022-10-12
    historical
  24. 2022-08-15
    listed $150,000 Active
  25. 2014-03-17
    soldstatus $101,995
  26. 2013-07-09
    soldstatus $160,100
  27. 2004-04-19
    soldstatus $202,257
  28. 2004-04-19
    soldstatus $202,257
  29. 2004-04-19
    soldstatus $165,385
  30. 2004-04-19
    soldstatus $165,385
  31. 2001-09-20
    historical
  32. 2001-09-03
    listed $44,000
  33. 2001-02-14
    soldstatus
  34. 1999-02-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,921 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,921 · $160/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,042
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,921
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$3,567
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$856
After-tax cash flow
$3,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,686
Household income
$50,119
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
969.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Black 24% Two or more races 22% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 59% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.64%
Current HPI
246.5578
Rent YoY
▲ 4.27%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.1% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-04 Rental Removed $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-20 Price Changed $1,450 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Listed for Rent $1,500 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-21 Price Changed $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-02 Listed for Rent $1,600 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-08-02 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-07-31 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-07-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Listed $125,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-04-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-03-30 Listed $125,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-11-03 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2022-10-12 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2022-10-12 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-08-15 Listed $150,000 HARMLS
  • 2014-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $101,995 Public Records
  • 2013-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $160,100 Public Records
  • 2004-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $165,385 Public Records
  • 2004-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $165,385 Public Records
  • 2004-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $202,257 Public Records
  • 2004-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $202,257 Public Records
  • 2001-09-20 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2001-09-03 Listed $44,000 HARMLS
  • 2001-02-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-02-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,921 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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