213 Flint St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Currently tenant occupied for 1495 per month, please allow 48 hours notice for requests. Does not have a c of o
Key facts
- 4,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 47 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,762/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1300% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 9609% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $170k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.53%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,393
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- 70.94%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Cottage St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,303 (-1%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $111 | 72 |
| 455 Frost Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,352 (+2%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $57 | 69 |
| 329 Frost Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,288 (-2%) | 8mo | $59,000 | $46 | 66 |
| 18 Melrose St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 | 1,286 (-3%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $140 | 65 |
| 181 Cottage St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,405 (+6%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $82 | 64 |
| 797 Seward St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,336 (+1%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $127 | 63 |
| 174 Barton St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,336 (+1%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 790 Genesee St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,389 (+5%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $104 | 60 |
| 1074 Exchange St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-11%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 84 Stratford Park | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,275 (-3%) | 1mo | $83,000 | $65 | 59 |
| 92 Sawyer St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,388 (+5%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $120 | 55 |
| 98 Barton St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,401 (+6%) | 5mo | $151,000 | $108 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.69% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $54,875
- Equity at exit
- $83,090
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.55×
- Total profit
- $169,058
- Equity at exit
- $133,522
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14608
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,762 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,109/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $434 | -5% $386 | +0% $338 | +5% $290 | +10% $242 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $199 | -5% $268 | +0% $338 | +5% $408 | +10% $477 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $424 | -0.5pp $381 | base $338 | +0.5pp $294 | +1.0pp $249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 367 Hawley St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 193 Reynolds St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1342 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 192 Bartlett St Unit 192 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1099 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 686 Seward St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1166 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 478 Tremont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 106 Gregory St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1680 | $1,995 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 190 Warwick Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 256 Gregory St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 127 Congress Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 59 Gold St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1264 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 30 Flanders St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 485 Sawyer St Unit 1 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 839 Elmwood Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,600 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 73 Somerset St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 793 Woodbine Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 416 Gregory St Unit Down Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1374 | $1,995 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 132 Anthony St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 444-450 Brooks Ave Unit 446 Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,100 | $2.70 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1317 Genesee St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,550 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 102 Virginia Ave Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1453 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,400 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 355 Caroline St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $1,650 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 188 Laney Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1604 | $2,350 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 271 Pearl St Unit 273 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,795 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 629 Jay St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 507 Meigs St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,650 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 175 Lattimore Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1480 | $2,265 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$174,900 Active 1070-char remark
-
2026-03-26price $1,900
-
2025-11-20price $2,000
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2025-11-08$1,750
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2025-09-08soldstatus $77,900
-
2025-08-20soldstatus $77,900 Closed 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Currently tenant occupied for 1495 per month, please allow 48 hours notice for requests. Does not have a c of o
-
2025-06-09status Pending 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Currently tenant occupied for 1495 per month, please allow 48 hours notice for requests. Does not have a c of o
-
2025-05-22$79,900 Active 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Currently tenant occupied for 1495 per month, please allow 48 hours notice for requests. Does not have a c of o
-
2022-06-16soldstatus $80,000
-
2013-08-16soldstatus $9,000
-
2013-08-15soldstatus $9,000
-
2013-05-17$12,000
-
2005-01-03soldstatus $14,420
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,109 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,990 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$881/yr (+$73/mo · 79.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,109
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $1,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,733/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,792
- Household income
- $40,646
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1300.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 25% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.69%
- Current HPI
- 280.2411
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.61%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-86.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Rental Removed $1,900 RENTEC
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $169,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $1,900 RENTEC
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $2,000 RENTEC
- 2025-11-08 Listed for Rent $1,750 RENTEC
- 2025-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records
- 2025-08-20 Sold (MLS) $77,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-06-09 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-05-22 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
- 2022-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-15 Sold (MLS) $9,000 UNYREIS
- 2013-05-17 Listed $12,000 UNYREIS
- 2005-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $14,420 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,109 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…