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4131 Greensboro Rd
B- Composite 68.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

4131 Greensboro Rd · Buckhead, GA 30650
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1998 3.10 ac lot Est $130k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your tools and imagination to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom modular home situated on a 3.1 acre lot. This property offers a fantastic footprint just waiting for a complete cosmetic overhaul. Sold strictly As-Is. Priced to reflect the repairs needed. Don't miss this chance to customize every detail and restore this home to its full potential! Schedule your tour today.

Key facts

  • 3.1 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as fixer; Lot approximately 3.1 acres; Located in Oconee Overlook subdivision
  • Financial info: Listing offered As Is; Cash purchase only
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking with a parking pad
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Phone available
  • Home design: Manufactured home / Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built in 1998
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Country kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: One-level living; Great room; Country-style kitchen; Crawl space basement; Mud room laundry area
  • Laundry & utility: Mud room used for laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.3% in Buckhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#334 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Morgan County (town): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #20 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Morgan County Primary School (872 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $130k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
12.02%
Cash-on-cash
20.45%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,600
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4131 Greensboro Hwy 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,296 (0%) 0mo $130,000 $100 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$18,404
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$66,720
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30650

Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,771 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $513/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $986
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $694 -5% $657 +0% $620 +5% $584 +10% $547
Rent -10% $481 -5% $550 +0% $620 +5% $690 +10% $760
Rate -1.0pp $686 -0.5pp $654 base $620 +0.5pp $587 +1.0pp $552

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $130,000 New
  3. 2015-08-26
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$513 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,196 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$683/yr (+$57/mo · 133.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,252
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$513
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,700
− Management
−$1,700
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$5,625
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,350
After-tax cash flow
$6,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morgan County
NCES district ID
1303780
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,713
Composite
40.39/100
National rank
#3731
State rank
#20 of 174 in GA

Livability — Buckhead

Score
61/100
State rank
#334
US rank
#17547

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
35,668
Population (ZIP)
13,398

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,277 people
By 2030
18,213 · -0.4%
By 2040
17,709 · -3.1%
By 2050
16,761 · -8.3%
By 2075
14,143 · -22.6%
By 2100
10,523 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.0) · D 26.8% · R 72.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -46.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.0 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+38.0 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.25%
Current HPI
282.7041
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $130,000 GAMLS
  • 2015-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $513 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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