4131 Greensboro Rd · Buckhead, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your tools and imagination to this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom modular home situated on a 3.1 acre lot. This property offers a fantastic footprint just waiting for a complete cosmetic overhaul. Sold strictly As-Is. Priced to reflect the repairs needed. Don't miss this chance to customize every detail and restore this home to its full potential! Schedule your tour today.
Key facts
- 3.1 acre lot
- Built 1998
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as fixer; Lot approximately 3.1 acres; Located in Oconee Overlook subdivision
- Financial info: Listing offered As Is; Cash purchase only
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking with a parking pad
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Phone available
- Home design: Manufactured home / Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built in 1998
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Country kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: One-level living; Great room; Country-style kitchen; Crawl space basement; Mud room laundry area
- Laundry & utility: Mud room used for laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.3% in Buckhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#334 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Morgan County (town): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #20 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Morgan County Primary School (872 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $130k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.45%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,600
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4131 Greensboro Hwy | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (0%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $100 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $18,404
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $66,720
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30650
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,771 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $513/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $620
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $694 | -5% $657 | +0% $620 | +5% $584 | +10% $547 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $481 | -5% $550 | +0% $620 | +5% $690 | +10% $760 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $686 | -0.5pp $654 | base $620 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $552 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-21status Under Contract
-
2026-05-13$130,000 New
-
2015-08-26soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $513 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,196 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$683/yr (+$57/mo · 133.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$513
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,700
- − Management
- −$1,700
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $5,625
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,350
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan County
- NCES district ID
- 1303780
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,713
- Composite
- 40.39/100
- National rank
- #3731
- State rank
- #20 of 174 in GA
Livability — Buckhead
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #334
- US rank
- #17547
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 35,668
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,398
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,277 people
- By 2030
- 18,213 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 17,709 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 16,761 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 14,143 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 10,523 · -42.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.0) · D 26.8% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -46.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.0 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+38.0 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.25%
- Current HPI
- 282.7041
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2015-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $513 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…