17626 87th Ave SE · Cathcart, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits in desirable Clearview. This property offers a rare chance to reimagine and restore a home in a highly convenient Snohomish location, balancing accessibility with a sense of being tucked away - just minutes from local schools, shopping, and everyday amenities. The existing home requires renovation and is being sold as-is. Land, location, and an established footprint make this a strong opportunity for investors, builders, or vision-driven buyers. Bring your plans, creativity, and ambition to unlock the possibilities this unique property has to offer.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1924
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R5; Site elevation listed in feet
- Financial info: Listing may accept Cash, Rehab Loan, VA Loan, or other terms (see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Detached carport; One covered parking space
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Septic sewer system; Power provided by Snohomish PUD
- Home design: Single-family residence, 1 story; Entry located on the main level; Built on lot
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Effective year built 1924
- Exterior features: Deck; Cable TV and high-speed internet available; Paved site; Wood products exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating space; Dishwasher, garbage disposal, microwave, refrigerator, stove/range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level) with one shower
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No cooling system
- Interior features: Entry hall; Wood products exterior noted (see Exterior); Dishwasher, garbage disposal, microwave, refrigerator, stove/range
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $449k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-482 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $364k (19.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $339k (24.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $339k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.2% in Cathcart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#452 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Snohomish School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #25 of 291 in WA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Cathcart Elementary (434 students, 28% FRL); Valley View Middle School (637 students, 18% FRL); Glacier Peak High School (1,630 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.60%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $756,309
- List price
- $449,000
- Delta
- -40.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17626 87th Ave SE | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,222 (0%) | 1mo | $568,000 | $465 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-103,376
- Equity at exit
- $66,947
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-129,208
- Equity at exit
- $38,821
Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98296
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,387 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,355
- Tax from tax record
- −$616 /mo · $7,397/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$711
- Net cashflow
- $-482
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-228 | -5% $-355 | +0% $-482 | +5% $-609 | +10% $-736 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-750 | -5% $-616 | +0% $-482 | +5% $-348 | +10% $-214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-256 | -0.5pp $-368 | base $-482 | +0.5pp $-598 | +1.0pp $-717 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,250
- Closing costs
- $13,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-13$449,000 Active
-
1993-07-22soldstatus $130,200
-
1984-09-11soldstatus $80,000
-
1984-09-11soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,397 · $616/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,397 · $616/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,151
- − Property taxes
- −$7,397
- − Insurance
- −$2,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,252
- − Management
- −$3,252
- − Depreciation
- −$13,062
- Taxable loss
- −$13,710
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,290
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Snohomish School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308020
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,715
- Composite
- 59.21/100
- National rank
- #1934
- State rank
- #25 of 291 in WA
Livability — Cathcart
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #452
- US rank
- #18627
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cathcart, WA
- City population
- 27,201
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,201
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -915.99%
- Current HPI
- 348.9725
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+610.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $568,000 Public Records
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $568,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Listed $449,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $130,200 Public Records
- 1984-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1984-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2026): $7,397 · +1124.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…