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69530 Dillon Rd
D Composite 44.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

69530 Dillon Rd · Desert Edge, CA 92240
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1985

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Reduced for fast sell !!!!! Classic 1976 Mobile home 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom , added bonus room use as a 3 bedroom, office. New paint and roof outside. The Oasis Mobile Home Park is a family community Mobile Home Park. Located in Desert Hot Springs, California. It's so rare this is your Awesome opportunity to move in to a park with beautiful Pools mineral spring waters. The park has that Hometown family feeling. Make an offer today. Your home sweet home awaits you. Dreams do come true , if you make the move. Call today for your personal showing.

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Clubhouse
  • Kitchen

Tags

SWIMMING POOLJACUZZICLUBHOUSEBANQUET ROOMKITCHENLAUNDRY FACILITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported by seller
  • HOA & community: Part of an association; Land lease $800

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Oasis Mobile Home Park
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Entry on level 1
  • Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Year built: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Suburban setting

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Entry on level 1
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry available (see remarks for details)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 39.5% vs local median 14.8% in Desert Edge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D-, employment F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Julius Corsini Elementary (409 students, 98% FRL); Desert Springs Middle (803 students, 99% FRL); Desert Hot Springs High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #532 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 1,742 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,301 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.28%
Cap rate
39.54%
Cash-on-cash
118.74%
DSCR
6.28
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,832
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
69300 Fairway Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,152 (0%) 1mo $109,000 $95 73
69525 Dillon Rd #85 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,050 (-9%) 7mo $119,000 $113 67
69601 Country Club Dr 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-10%) 4mo $166,500 $160 64
69525 Dillon Rd #88 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+8%) 6mo $180,000 $144 64
17640 Corkill #78 Rd 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 1mo $69,999 $56 63
17640 Corkill Rd #74 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 2mo $55,000 $52 63
17555 Corkill Rd #53 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (-8%) 1mo $70,000 $66 61
17640 Corkill Rd #46 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+4%) 8mo $58,000 $48 60
69285 Midpark 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,048 (-9%) 2mo $95,000 $91 54
17640 Corkill Rd #27 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+8%) 7mo $60,000 $48 53
16821 Greenway Ct 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,000 (-13%) 1mo $156,500 $157 51
17850 Corkill Rd #38 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-13%) 5mo $25,000 $25 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.12×
Total profit
$57,193
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.11×
Total profit
$135,288
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92240

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
521
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,710 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $230/yr
Insurance
$17
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$980

Break-even live

Break-even rent $469
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,003 -5% $992 +0% $980 +5% $969 +10% $958
Rent -10% $845 -5% $913 +0% $980 +5% $1,048 +10% $1,115
Rate -1.0pp $1,000 -0.5pp $990 base $980 +0.5pp $970 +1.0pp $959

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
69510 Parkside Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 1150 $1,450 $1.26 45d 1 0.34mi
69470 Midpark Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 1298 $1,500 $1.16 45d 1 0.39mi
18070 Langlois Rd #257 Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,850 $1.75 45d 1 1.04mi
18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,850 $1.95 0d 1 1.04mi
18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA 2.0 2.0 950 $1,850 $1.95 25d 1 1.04mi
70875 Dillon Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 720 $2,200 $3.06 45d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $39,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 691-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $39,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$230 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$303 · $25/mo
Expected delta
+$73/yr (+$6/mo · 31.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,514
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$230
− Insurance
−$1,702
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,641
− Management
−$1,641
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$11,904
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,857
After-tax cash flow
$8,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Edge

Score
68/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#9953

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Edge, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,615
Household income
$54,023
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.10%
Current HPI
418.4691
Rent YoY
▲ 3.66%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.6% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $39,900 CRMLS
  • 2023-01-20 Price Changed $50,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-01-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-12-31 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-12-08 Price Changed $51,555 CRMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Price Changed $52,555 CRMLS
  • 2022-12-04 Price Changed $53,555 CRMLS
  • 2022-12-01 Price Changed $54,555 CRMLS
  • 2022-11-16 Price Changed $55,555 CRMLS
  • 2022-11-01 Price Changed $53,500 CRMLS
  • 2022-10-31 Price Changed $55,500 CRMLS
  • 2022-10-26 Price Changed $55,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-10-21 Price Changed $57,500 CRMLS
  • 2022-10-12 Listed $57,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-10-01 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2022-08-31 Listed $65,500 GPSMLS
  • 2022-08-17 Coming Soon GPSMLS
  • 2022-07-15 Listed TheMLS
  • 2005-03-02 Sold (MLS) $23,750 GPSMLS
  • 2005-03-02 Sold (MLS) $23,750 GPSMLS
  • 2004-12-22 Listed $25,000 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $230 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…