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10761 Old State Highway 28
B+ Composite 77.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$109,000

10761 Old State Highway 28 · Pikeville, TN 37367
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Other · 85 Days on market
Built 2024 0.50 ac lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located on level half acre lot only 3 miles from the city of Pikeville, This charming one story home with two outbuilding, nice carport and big shade trees.

Key facts

  • Nice carport
  • Big shade trees
  • Level half acre lot

Tags

LEVEL HALF ACRE LOTTWO OUTBUILDINGNICE CARPORTBIG SHADE TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $853 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 4.8% in Pikeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#296 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Bledsoe County (rural): math 19% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #104 of 139 in TN (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP.
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bledsoe County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
15.69%
Cash-on-cash
33.55%
DSCR
2.49
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.9%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$113,745
Equity at exit
$98,196
10-year hold
IRR
43.6%
Equity multiple
10.58×
Total profit
$292,280
Equity at exit
$211,763

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37367

Home prices YoY
34.5%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,034 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$427
Net cashflow
$853

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $109,000 Pending 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,000 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-04-07
    price $109,000 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Located on level half acre lot only 3 miles from the city of Pikeville, This charming one story home with two outbuilding, nice carport and big shade trees.

  14. 2026-03-20
    listed $129,900 Active 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Located on level half acre lot only 3 miles from the city of Pikeville, This charming one story home with two outbuilding, nice carport and big shade trees.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,404
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,952
− Management
−$1,952
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$9,043
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,170
After-tax cash flow
$8,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bledsoe County
NCES district ID
4700270
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
19.02/100
National rank
#8845
State rank
#104 of 139 in TN

Livability — Pikeville

Score
59/100
State rank
#296
US rank
#20539

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bledsoe · 11,736 people
Population (ZIP)
11,736
Household income
$54,696
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
2.1

Population outlook (Bledsoe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,085 people
By 2030
19,649 · +8.6%
By 2040
22,438 · +24.1%
By 2050
24,582 · +35.9%
By 2075
26,769 · +48.0%
By 2100
25,033 · +38.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bledsoe

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 14.4% · R 84.9%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+58.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 106.44%
Current HPI
415.344
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $109,000 GCAR
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $129,900 GCAR

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $65 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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