1186 SW Tropical Ter · Stuart, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable mobile home in Tropical Farms! 1999, 3 bedroom 2 bath, 1100 sf home located on . 17 acre lot. Needs some cosmetic TLC, and appliances. 6' x 8' metal shed on property.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 5 parking spots
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK, no restrictions)
- Financial info: No land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Unpaved parking with 5 open spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; 150 amp electric service; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; Faces north; Entry level: One
- Construction: Vinyl siding and wood frame construction; Modular double-wide structure; Rolled/hot mop roof; Block raised foundation; Skirt: Other; Mobile dimensions approximately 48' x 24'
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Interior lot; Asphalt road frontage (public maintained road)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat strip); Central air conditioning with ceiling fans
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout; Roman tub; Negotiable furnishings; Single-hung metal windows
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry room with washer and dryer hookups (electric dryer hookup, washer hookup); Water softener (owned)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.5% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Crystal Lake Elementary School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 441 students, 38% FRL); Dr. David L. Anderson Middle School (math 51% / reading 46%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,035 students, 63% FRL); South Fork High School (math 36% / reading 48%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,810 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $260k implies a 1081% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.58%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,664
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1228 SW Buckskin Trl | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+2%) | 15mo | $184,200 | $157 | 77 |
| 1177 SW Buckskin Trl | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,295 (+12%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $185 | 67 |
| 8088 SW Wildwood Dr | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,014 (-12%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $182 | 60 |
| 1713 SW College St | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $174 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-32,866
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-18,725
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34997
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,279 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,076/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $304 | -5% $230 | +0% $157 | +5% $83 | +10% $9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $67 | +0% $157 | +5% $247 | +10% $337 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $223 | base $157 | +0.5pp $89 | +1.0pp $21 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626 SW Rustic Cir Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $3,500 | $4.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $259,900 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$259,900 Active
-
2026-05-21price $259,900
-
2016-01-11price $22,000 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
Affordable mobile home in Tropical Farms! 1999, 3 bedroom 2 bath, 1100 sf home located on . 17 acre lot. Needs some cosmetic TLC, and appliances. 6' x 8' metal shed on property.
-
2011-05-06price $32,900 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
Affordable mobile home in Tropical Farms! 1999, 3 bedroom 2 bath, 1100 sf home located on . 17 acre lot. Needs some cosmetic TLC, and appliances. 6' x 8' metal shed on property.
-
2011-05-06soldstatus $22,000 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
Affordable mobile home in Tropical Farms! 1999, 3 bedroom 2 bath, 1100 sf home located on . 17 acre lot. Needs some cosmetic TLC, and appliances. 6' x 8' metal shed on property.
-
2010-09-27$32,900 178-char remark
Show marketing remark (178 chars)
Affordable mobile home in Tropical Farms! 1999, 3 bedroom 2 bath, 1100 sf home located on . 17 acre lot. Needs some cosmetic TLC, and appliances. 6' x 8' metal shed on property.
-
1994-06-01soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,076 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,157 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- +$81/yr (+$7/mo · 3.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$2,076
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,188
- − Management
- −$2,188
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$2,518
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$604
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,483/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Stuart
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 65,812
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,075
- Household income
- $78,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1323.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.78%
- Current HPI
- 336.7717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+712.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $259,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $259,900 Beaches MLS
- 2016-01-11 Price Changed $22,000 MCRTC
- 2011-05-06 Sold (MLS) $22,000 MCRTC
- 2011-05-06 Price Changed $32,900 MCRTC
- 2010-09-27 Listed $32,900 MCRTC
- 1994-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,076 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…