460 Nebraska Avenue Ave · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special. 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Close to shopping and expressways. Home is ready for move in or to rent.
Key facts
- Close to expressways
- Ready for move in
- Ready to rent
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.24 acres (dimensions 100.82 x 105 x 98.72 x 105)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Four total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Whitman Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,300 of 1,397 statewide, top 94%, 601 students, 81% FRL); Pontiac Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #450 of 493 statewide, top 91%, 729 students, 81% FRL); Pontiac High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 935 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools at 79% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 19 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1; list at $85k implies a 8499900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.82%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,263
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -10.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 South Blvd W | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 709 (+7%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $134 | 77 |
| 460 Nevada Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 737 (+11%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $136 | 73 |
| 587 Nevada Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 714 (+7%) | 5mo | $81,600 | $114 | 68 |
| 550 Nevada Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 632 (-5%) | 15mo | $133,500 | $211 | 66 |
| 604 Montana Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 709 (+7%) | 11mo | $109,900 | $155 | 62 |
| 482 Nevada Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 729 (+10%) | 24mo | $110,000 | $151 | 56 |
| 301 Hughes Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 731 (+10%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $82 | 45 |
| 293 Rapid St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 752 (+13%) | 19mo | $29,000 | $39 | 31 |
| 301 Rockwell Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 762 (+15%) | 19mo | $47,000 | $62 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $18,863
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $58,499
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48341
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,385 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $512
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $560 | -5% $536 | +0% $512 | +5% $488 | +10% $464 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $457 | +0% $512 | +5% $567 | +10% $622 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $555 | -0.5pp $534 | base $512 | +0.5pp $490 | +1.0pp $468 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460 Nebraska Ave Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $1,050 | $1.58 | 46d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 305 South Blvd W Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,400 | $1.97 | 1d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2083 S Telegraph Rd Bloomfield Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,338 | $2.49 | 0d | 23 | 0.65mi |
| 900 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,065 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1240 Wagner Ave Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,550 | $2.20 | 46d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $85,000 Pending 33 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-13status Active 113-char remark
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2026-05-12historical 113-char remark
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2026-05-07$85,000 Active 113-char remark
Show marketing remark (113 chars)
Investor special. 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Close to shopping and expressways. Home is ready for move in or to rent.
-
2026-05-07$85,000 Active 113-char remark
Show marketing remark (113 chars)
Investor special. 2 bedroom 1 bath home. Close to shopping and expressways. Home is ready for move in or to rent.
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2026-03-19$1,050
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2026-03-07historical $1,050
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2026-02-06$1,050
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2022-02-18price $875
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2022-01-30historical
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2022-01-29historical
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2022-01-05price $58,000
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2022-01-04price $58,000
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2021-12-15price $62,500
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2021-12-14price $62,500
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2021-10-19$69,000 Active
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2021-10-19$69,000 Active
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2018-02-01historical
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2018-01-08status Active
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2017-12-29status Pending
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2017-05-19$42,000 Active
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2015-12-16soldstatus $1 Sold
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2015-12-16soldstatus $1
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2015-10-31historical
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2015-10-29$23,000 Active
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2015-10-29$23,000
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2007-07-31historical
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2007-06-29historical
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2007-01-18historical
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2007-01-12$57,900
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2007-01-12$57,900
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2007-01-12historical
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2006-07-18$57,900
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2006-07-18$57,900
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2004-04-08soldstatus $40,000
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2004-02-16soldstatus $40,000
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2004-01-05$54,460
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2003-11-11historical
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2003-09-11$54,460
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2003-09-10historical
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2003-07-14$54,460
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2003-07-02historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,208 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,258 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$51/yr (+$4/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,617
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,208
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,222
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,924/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 44,593
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,924
- Household income
- $51,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 833.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.11%
- Current HPI
- 257.8941
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-79.0% since first listed47 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Rental Removed $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2026-06-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2026-03-07 Rental Removed $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-06 Listed for Rent $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2022-02-18 Price Changed $875 RENT.
- 2022-01-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-05 Price Changed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-04 Price Changed $58,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-12-15 Price Changed $62,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-14 Price Changed $62,500 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-19 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-19 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-02-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-01-08 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2017-12-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-05-19 Listed $42,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-12-16 Sold (MLS) $1 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-12-16 Sold (MLS) $1 REALCOMP
- 2015-10-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-10-29 Listed $23,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-10-29 Listed $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-07-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-06-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-01-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-01-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-01-12 Listed $57,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-01-12 Listed $57,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-07-18 Listed $57,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-07-18 Listed $57,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-16 Sold (MLS) $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-01-05 Listed $54,460 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-09-11 Listed $54,460 REALCOMP
- 2003-09-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-07-14 Listed $54,460 REALCOMP
- 2003-07-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-04-03 Listed $54,460 REALCOMP
- 1990-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
- 1990-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,208 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…