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54 Beacon Bay
B+ Composite 75.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

54 Beacon Bay · Lakemoor, IL 60050
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 2005 2,800 sqft lot Est $180k · 17% under $113/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.

Key facts

  • Full bath
  • Vaulted ceilings
  • Fireplace

Tags

PREMIUM LOCATION ON THE PONDINTERIOR DOORS REPLACEDNEW FRONT AND BACK STAIRSFIREPLACEVAULTED CEILINGSFULL BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Ports of Sullivan; Located in Lakemoor, Grant Township
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $1,360; Association fee covers water, insurance, clubhouse, pool, scavenger service, snow removal, and other items

Exterior

  • Parking: Three owned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Shared well water; Holding tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family (manufactured); Fee simple ownership; Approximately 21–25 years old; Asphalt roof; Siding: aluminum, vinyl, and steel
  • Construction: Built roughly 21–25 years ago; Aluminum, vinyl and steel siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Channel-front lot with water view; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 40

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) with full bath; Two additional bedrooms (main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor utility room; Separate laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.9% in Lakemoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#317 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $150k implies a 445% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
10.95%
Cash-on-cash
16.65%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,360
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
54 Beacon Bay 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,080 (0%) 0mo $139,900 $130 100
82 Sandbar 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (+4%) 6mo $187,000 $167 78
29 Oyster Bay 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,115 (+3%) 17mo $183,000 $164 78
235 Windward 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-7%) 20mo $162,000 $162 57
281 Misty Rdg 0.23mi 3/2.0 920 (-15%) 15mo $165,000 $179 52
28922 W Sullivan Lake Rd 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,240 (+15%) 20mo $567,500 $458 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$5,016
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$42,660
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60050

Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,233 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$220 /mo · $2,643/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$113
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,654
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $542 -5% $499 +0% $457 +5% $415 +10% $372
Rent -10% $281 -5% $369 +0% $457 +5% $545 +10% $633
Rate -1.0pp $532 -0.5pp $495 base $457 +0.5pp $418 +1.0pp $379

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32415 N Mackinac Ln #1 McHenry, IL 2.0 2.5 1416 $2,295 $1.62 11d 1 0.90mi
450 Sullivan Lake Blvd Lakemoor, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1009 $2,300 $2.28 0d 17 0.94mi
241 S Highland Dr Lakemoor, IL 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,750 $1.56 16d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$113 · $1,356/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $149,900 Pending 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-04-20
    listed $149,900 Active
  5. 2014-03-31
    soldstatus $27,500 Closed Sale 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.

  6. 2014-03-01
    status Contingent (Do Not Show) 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.

  7. 2014-02-21
    price $33,900 Price Change 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.

  8. 2014-01-29
    listed $36,900 New 419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.

  9. 2014-01-29
    historical
    Show marketing remark (419 chars)

    OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.

  10. 2014-01-22
    price Price Change
  11. 2013-12-23
    price Price Change
  12. 2013-11-22
    listed New
  13. 2013-10-07
    soldstatus $137,387
  14. 2006-05-31
    soldstatus $47,500
  15. 1999-07-23
    soldstatus $19,000
  16. 1997-11-24
    soldstatus $2,000
  17. 1996-10-24
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,643 · $220/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,023 · $252/mo
Expected delta
+$380/yr (+$32/mo · 14.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,795
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,643
− Insurance
−$2,252
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,144
− Management
−$2,144
− HOA
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$3,499
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$840
After-tax cash flow
$4,644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grant Chsd 124
NCES district ID
1717340
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,450
Composite
22.95/100
National rank
#7989
State rank
#296 of 620 in IL

Livability — Lakemoor

Score
72/100
State rank
#317
US rank
#6294

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lakemoor, IL
County
McHenry County · 204,279 people
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
31,781
Household income
$88,812
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
570.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
700,217 people
By 2030
693,290 · -1.0%
By 2040
673,588 · -3.8%
By 2050
643,556 · -8.1%
By 2075
562,792 · -19.6%
By 2100
457,715 · -34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -198.11%
Current HPI
207.8921
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1149.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-31 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-01 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-21 Price Changed $33,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-29 Listed $36,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-29 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-22 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-23 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-22 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $137,387 Public Records
  • 2006-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 1999-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
  • 1997-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $2,000 Public Records
  • 1996-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,643 · +15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…