54 Beacon Bay · Lakemoor, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.
Key facts
- Full bath
- Vaulted ceilings
- Fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Ports of Sullivan; Located in Lakemoor, Grant Township
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of $1,360; Association fee covers water, insurance, clubhouse, pool, scavenger service, snow removal, and other items
Exterior
- Parking: Three owned parking spaces
- Utilities: Shared well water; Holding tank sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family (manufactured); Fee simple ownership; Approximately 21–25 years old; Asphalt roof; Siding: aluminum, vinyl, and steel
- Construction: Built roughly 21–25 years ago; Aluminum, vinyl and steel siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Channel-front lot with water view; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 40
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) with full bath; Two additional bedrooms (main level)
- Flooring: Carpet in living room
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: First-floor utility room; Separate laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.9% in Lakemoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#317 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Grant Chsd 124 (suburban): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #296 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $150k implies a 445% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.65%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,360
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Beacon Bay | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (0%) | 0mo | $139,900 | $130 | 100 |
| 82 Sandbar | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+4%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $167 | 78 |
| 29 Oyster Bay | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,115 (+3%) | 17mo | $183,000 | $164 | 78 |
| 235 Windward | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 20mo | $162,000 | $162 | 57 |
| 281 Misty Rdg | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 920 (-15%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $179 | 52 |
| 28922 W Sullivan Lake Rd | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+15%) | 20mo | $567,500 | $458 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $5,016
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $42,660
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60050
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,233 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$220 /mo · $2,643/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$113
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $457
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $542 | -5% $499 | +0% $457 | +5% $415 | +10% $372 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $281 | -5% $369 | +0% $457 | +5% $545 | +10% $633 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $532 | -0.5pp $495 | base $457 | +0.5pp $418 | +1.0pp $379 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32415 N Mackinac Ln #1 McHenry, IL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $2,295 | $1.62 | 11d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 450 Sullivan Lake Blvd Lakemoor, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1009 | $2,300 | $2.28 | 0d | 17 | 0.94mi |
| 241 S Highland Dr Lakemoor, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 16d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $113 · $1,356/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-02status $149,900 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$149,900 Active
-
2014-03-31soldstatus $27,500 Closed Sale 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.
-
2014-03-01status Contingent (Do Not Show) 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.
-
2014-02-21price $33,900 Price Change 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.
-
2014-01-29$36,900 New 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.
-
2014-01-29historical
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
OVERLOOKING THE WATER!RANCH LIVING DBLE LOT.LR W/STONE FIREPLACE OPEN TO EAT IN KITCHEN~SKYLIGHT~MSTR BDRM W/LG MASTER BATH.THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY AVAILABLE FOR 5% DOWN! THIS PROPERTY IS APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH MORTGAGE FINANCING AND APPROVED FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATIONMORTGAGE FINANCING.UPT TO $500 SELLING AGENT BONUS MAY BE AVAILABLE ON THIS PROPERTY! ASK THE LISTING AGENT.ELIGIBILITY RESTRICTIONS APPLY.
-
2014-01-22price Price Change
-
2013-12-23price Price Change
-
2013-11-22New
-
2013-10-07soldstatus $137,387
-
2006-05-31soldstatus $47,500
-
1999-07-23soldstatus $19,000
-
1997-11-24soldstatus $2,000
-
1996-10-24soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,643 · $220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,023 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$380/yr (+$32/mo · 14.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,643
- − Insurance
- −$2,252
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,144
- − Management
- −$2,144
- − HOA
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $3,499
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$840
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,644/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grant Chsd 124
- NCES district ID
- 1717340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,450
- Composite
- 22.95/100
- National rank
- #7989
- State rank
- #296 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lakemoor
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #6294
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakemoor, IL
- County
- McHenry County · 204,279 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,781
- Household income
- $88,812
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 570.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -198.11%
- Current HPI
- 207.8921
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+1149.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $149,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-31 Sold (MLS) $27,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-01 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-21 Price Changed $33,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-29 Listed $36,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-29 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-22 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-23 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-22 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $137,387 Public Records
- 2006-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 1999-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $2,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,643 · +15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…