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816 Louisiana St
B+ Composite 76.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

816 Louisiana St · Palestine, TX 75801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 148 Days on market
Built 1900 8,685 sqft lot $57/sqft · 46% below area Est $140k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS!!!!!!! Here is your opportunity to bring this diamond in the rough back to life. The home features hardwood floors, interior doorway molding, transom windows, tall ceilings and semi wrap around porch. A 2-bedroom, 1-bath, with formal living and dining room and utility area for a total of 1316 sqft. Located within walking distance to coffee shop, farmers market, dining and shopping all in downtown Palestine, Tx. Come put your skills to work and restore this beauty.

Key facts

  • Transom windows
  • Tall ceilings
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSINTERIOR DOORWAY MOLDINGTRANSOM WINDOWSTALL CEILINGSSEMI WRAP AROUND PORCHWALKING DISTANCE TO DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.9% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
  • Palestine ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #509 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.50%
Cash-on-cash
29.30%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,943
List price
$75,000
Delta
-46.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1105 N Sycamore St 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,251 (-5%) 8mo $174,500 $139 62
1019 N Cedar St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,513 (+15%) 19mo $224,900 $149 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$20,513
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$59,960
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75801

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,291 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $992/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $642
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $75,000 Active 148 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 147 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 142 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $75,000 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 136 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 129 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 128 DOM
  17. 2026-02-20
    listed $80,000 Active 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    INVESTORS!!!!!!! Here is your opportunity to bring this diamond in the rough back to life. The home features hardwood floors, interior doorway molding, transom windows, tall ceilings and semi wrap around porch. A 2-bedroom, 1-bath, with formal living and dining room and utility area for a total of 1316 sqft. Located within walking distance to coffee shop, farmers market, dining and shopping all in downtown Palestine, Tx. Come put your skills to work and restore this beauty.

  18. 2026-01-22
    listed $80,000 Active 649-char remark
    Show marketing remark (649 chars)

    Investors, are you looking for your next project? Here is your opportunity to bring this charming historical beauty back to life. Fix and flip or keep and use for rental income. The home features hardwood floors, interior doorway molding, transom windows, tall ceilings and semi wrap around porch. A 2-bedroom, 1-bath, with formal living and dining room and utility area for a total of 1316 sqft. Located within walking distance to coffee shop, farmers market, dining and shopping all in downtown Palestine, Tx. Whether you're looking for income producing property or a flip, this is a must see. Come put your skills to work and restore this beauty.

  19. 1994-10-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$992 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$380/yr (+$32/mo · 38.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,492
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$992
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,239
− Management
−$1,239
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,264
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,263
After-tax cash flow
$4,889/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palestine ISD
NCES district ID
4834050
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,881
Composite
30.34/100
National rank
#6267
State rank
#509 of 826 in TX

Livability — Palestine

Score
66/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#12357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palestine, TX
County
Anderson County · 17,531 people
City population
17,531
Metro
Palestine, TX
Population (ZIP)
17,531
Household income
$56,787
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
609.0

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,663 people
By 2030
57,373 · +1.3%
By 2040
58,960 · +4.1%
By 2050
59,073 · +4.3%
By 2075
53,737 · -5.2%
By 2100
42,516 · -25.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.17%
Current HPI
154.6138
Rent YoY
Metro
Palestine, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $80,000 GTAR
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $80,000 PAOR
  • 1994-10-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $992 · +45.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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