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130 Shorewood Cir 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 65.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

130 Shorewood Cir · Westminster, SC 30577
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 262 Days on market
Built 2006 0.52 ac lot Est $197k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming lakeside living! This property offers a 2 bed, 1 bath home with rental income potential of $1,200/month. Recently updated with a brand-new septic tank (2025) for peace of mind. The sale also includes an extra lot, giving you more space and investment potential. Enjoy lake access for fishing, boating, or simply relaxing in nature. Whether you're looking for an income property, vacation getaway, or affordable primary residence, this home is a fantastic opportunity in Toccoa!

Key facts

  • Extra lot
  • Lakeside living
  • Lake access

Tags

LAKESIDE LIVINGRENTAL INCOME POTENTIALBRAND-NEW SEPTIC TANKEXTRA LOTLAKE ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $135,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$196,765) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.0% in Westminster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#137 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Stephens County (rural): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #74 of 174 in GA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 52 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Stephens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $135k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.45%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,765
List price
$135,000
Delta
-31.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37 Beechwood Trl 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 940 (-11%) 15mo $192,000 $204 54
173 Ken Pat Acres Rd 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,177 (+12%) 10mo $262,000 $223 47
37 Hawk Ct 0.64mi 2/1.0 960 (-9%) 8mo $153,000 $159 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$51,914
Equity at exit
$87,043
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
4.80×
Total profit
$143,566
Equity at exit
$159,762

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 30577

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,288 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $977/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,070
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
844 Shorewood Cir Toccoa, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 23d 1 0.26mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 262 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 261 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 260 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 259 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 258 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 256 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 255 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 252 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 251 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 250 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 249 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 246 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 245 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 244 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 243 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 242 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    status Back On Market 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Charming lakeside living! This property offers a 2 bed, 1 bath home with rental income potential of $1,200/month. Recently updated with a brand-new septic tank (2025) for peace of mind. The sale also includes an extra lot, giving you more space and investment potential. Enjoy lake access for fishing, boating, or simply relaxing in nature. Whether you're looking for an income property, vacation getaway, or affordable primary residence, this home is a fantastic opportunity in Toccoa!

  18. 2026-03-31
    historical 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Charming lakeside living! This property offers a 2 bed, 1 bath home with rental income potential of $1,200/month. Recently updated with a brand-new septic tank (2025) for peace of mind. The sale also includes an extra lot, giving you more space and investment potential. Enjoy lake access for fishing, boating, or simply relaxing in nature. Whether you're looking for an income property, vacation getaway, or affordable primary residence, this home is a fantastic opportunity in Toccoa!

  19. 2025-10-13
    historical
  20. 2025-09-30
    listed $135,000 New 486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Charming lakeside living! This property offers a 2 bed, 1 bath home with rental income potential of $1,200/month. Recently updated with a brand-new septic tank (2025) for peace of mind. The sale also includes an extra lot, giving you more space and investment potential. Enjoy lake access for fishing, boating, or simply relaxing in nature. Whether you're looking for an income property, vacation getaway, or affordable primary residence, this home is a fantastic opportunity in Toccoa!

  21. 2025-09-30
    listed $135,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (486 chars)

    Charming lakeside living! This property offers a 2 bed, 1 bath home with rental income potential of $1,200/month. Recently updated with a brand-new septic tank (2025) for peace of mind. The sale also includes an extra lot, giving you more space and investment potential. Enjoy lake access for fishing, boating, or simply relaxing in nature. Whether you're looking for an income property, vacation getaway, or affordable primary residence, this home is a fantastic opportunity in Toccoa!

  22. 2025-04-12
    listed $164,900 New
  23. 2024-10-29
    historical $1,100
  24. 2024-10-24
    listed $1,100
  25. 2024-10-12
    historical $1,100
  26. 2024-09-17
    price $1,100
  27. 2024-09-03
    historical
  28. 2024-09-03
    historical
  29. 2024-09-03
    historical
  30. 2024-08-22
    listed $1,200
  31. 2024-05-02
    listed $130,000 New
  32. 2024-04-30
    listed $130,000 New
  33. 2024-04-30
    listed $130,000
  34. 2022-11-23
    soldstatus $70,000
  35. 2022-11-21
    soldstatus $70,000 Sold
  36. 2022-11-08
    status Under Contract
  37. 2022-11-02
    price $75,000
  38. 2022-09-09
    listed $80,000 New
  39. 2022-07-29
    historical
  40. 2022-07-27
    price $90,000
  41. 2022-07-11
    price $93,000
  42. 2022-06-22
    listed $95,000 New
  43. 2022-01-28
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$977 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$977 · $81/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,450
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$977
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,236
− Management
−$1,236
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$39
After-tax cash flow
$2,097/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stephens County
NCES district ID
1304560
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,416
Composite
28.42/100
National rank
#6759
State rank
#74 of 174 in GA

Livability — Westminster

Score
65/100
State rank
#137
US rank
#13262

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Stephens County
Metro
Toccoa, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,964
Household income
$53,818
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
594.0

Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,797 people
By 2030
22,785 · -4.3%
By 2040
20,653 · -13.2%
By 2050
18,745 · -21.2%
By 2075
14,780 · -37.9%
By 2100
11,079 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stephens

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.4% · R 81.2%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.7 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.25%
Current HPI
320.5275
Rent YoY
Metro
Toccoa, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.8% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $135,000 FMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-04-12 Listed $164,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-10-29 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-24 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-12 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-09-17 Price Changed $1,100 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-09-03 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-09-03 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-09-03 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2024-08-22 Listed for Rent $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-05-02 Listed $130,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-04-30 Listed $130,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-04-30 Listed $130,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-21 Sold (MLS) $70,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-11-08 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-11-02 Price Changed $75,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-09-09 Listed $80,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-07-29 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-07-27 Price Changed $90,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-07-11 Price Changed $93,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-06-22 Listed $95,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $977 · +41.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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