🏗️ New Construction
Sunnyside Plan · Santa Fe, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$332,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Single-story | 3 Bedroom | 2 Bathroom | Study | 2-Car Garage | Covered Patio * * Photos are representative, selections & features may vary with community * * Large open family room, casual dining, and kitchen with countertop dining overlooks covered patio and is easily accessible to study. Private master suite with spacious master bath with double sinks, garden tub, shower, and ample closet space. The utility room is centrally located.
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Private master suite
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price is $332,990
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Home design: Single-family home (Plan); Sunnyside floor plan
- Exterior features: Address: 12059 Crooked Creek Ln, Santa Fe TX 77510
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Open living area totaling 1901; Plan: Sunnyside (new construction plan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $333k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20k ($239k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($28k rent vs $333k).
- Recommended offer: $323k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 73.9% vs local median 4.5% in Santa Fe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#550 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Santa Fe ISD (suburban): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #385 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $99k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($323k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 73.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 241.46%
- DSCR
- 11.74
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,649
- List price
- $332,990
- Delta
- -5.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3826 Garden Hill Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,904 (+0%) | 7mo | $332,990 | $175 | 88 |
| 12026 Crooked Creek Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 2,009 (+6%) | 2mo | $345,096 | $172 | 84 |
| 12131 Wooden Mill Ln N | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 2,009 (+6%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $164 | 80 |
| 4018 Avenue L | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,948 (+2%) | 3mo | $359,000 | $184 | 74 |
| 3623 Riverlands Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (-13%) | 3mo | $321,000 | $194 | 73 |
| 12111 Wooden Mill Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (-13%) | 9mo | $321,424 | $195 | 67 |
| 12008 7th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,866 (-2%) | 9mo | $352,000 | $189 | 66 |
| 3911 Redbud Ct | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,009 (+6%) | 9mo | $360,000 | $179 | 66 |
| 12122 Blossom Dr | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,051 (+8%) | 4mo | $342,990 | $167 | 64 |
| 12106 Maple Ct | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,051 (+8%) | 8mo | $342,990 | $167 | 64 |
| 3818 Garden Hill Ln | 0.12mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,140 (+13%) | 4mo | $346,990 | $162 | 61 |
| 3859 Mulberry Farms Dr | 0.22mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,140 (+13%) | 2mo | $387,840 | $181 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.24×
- Total profit
- $1,212,150
- Equity at exit
- $52,730
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.18×
- Total profit
- $2,691,331
- Equity at exit
- $30,577
Cash invested: $99,022 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77510
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $28,315 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,855
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$442 /mo · $5,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$147
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$5,946
- Net cashflow
- $19,925
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $20,169 | -5% $20,047 | +0% $19,925 | +5% $19,803 | +10% $19,681 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $17,688 | -5% $18,806 | +0% $19,925 | +5% $21,043 | +10% $22,162 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $20,103 | -0.5pp $20,015 | base $19,925 | +0.5pp $19,833 | +1.0pp $19,740 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $88,412
- Closing costs
- $10,609
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4120 Avenue O #10 Santa Fe, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $74,621 | $58.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11844 13th St Santa Fe, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 13342 Pecan Trails Dr Santa Fe, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2150 | $2,700 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $332,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $332,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $332,990 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $332,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $332,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $332,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $332,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $332,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $332,990 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $332,990 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $332,990 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $332,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $332,990 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $332,990 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$332,990 Active 449-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $339,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,810
- − Property taxes
- −$5,305
- − Insurance
- −$1,768
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$27,182
- − Management
- −$27,182
- − Depreciation
- −$10,288
- Taxable income
- $248,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$59,579
- After-tax cash flow
- $179,520/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-story home is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained exterior and interior. It offers a good starting point for potential buyers or renters, with minor updates that could significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms and kitchen — Modern flooring can improve the look and feel of the home.
- Both Upgrading the lighting fixtures — New lighting can brighten the space and add a modern touch.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home technology can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract more interest from potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms and kitchen — Modern flooring can improve the look and feel of the home. ↑
- Both Upgrading the lighting fixtures — New lighting can brighten the space and add a modern touch. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home technology can increase convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can boost curb appeal and attract more interest from potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Fe ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4839270
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,769
- Composite
- 34.86/100
- National rank
- #5091
- State rank
- #385 of 826 in TX
Livability — Santa Fe
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #550
- US rank
- #10637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Fe, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,938
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 299.2228
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…