2802 2nd St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very good condition for this 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage home, all tiled and fenced backyard. Excellent location, walking distance to Walmart. Attention Investors! Tenant in place and would like to stay renting.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1992
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association fee; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story; Faces east; Resale property
- Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Open patio and porch; Patio; Porch; Rectangular lot; Paved road; West exposure; Well irrigation
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Water purifier
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Dual sinks; Family/dining room; Living/dining room; Tub with shower; Cable TV; Split bedrooms; Single-hung windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in garage; Dryer hookup in garage; Washer included; Dryer included; Water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.21%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,136
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3006 4th St SW | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,110 (-2%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $212 | 72 |
| 2811 6th St W | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,228 (+9%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $212 | 45 |
| 339 Inwood Ave S | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,084 (-4%) | 22mo | $240,000 | $221 | 45 |
| 354 Inwood Ave S | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,059 (-6%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $189 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $112,846
- Equity at exit
- $180,176
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.62×
- Total profit
- $314,751
- Equity at exit
- $388,556
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33976
- Home prices YoY
- 6.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 786
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,925 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,868/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $150
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2916 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2612 7th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $2,295 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1507 Markdale St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 997 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3103 11th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2916 9th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,750 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 312 Grovewood Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2909 15th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3109 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,845 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3309 2nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,495 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3109 10th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,950 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1407 Juddale St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 997 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3315 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,950 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3208 9th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,916 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1405 Juddale St E Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 219 Beth Stacey Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 111 Yellowtail Loop #3 Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3405 4th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,715 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3310 9th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,300 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8350 Tortoise Isle Ct Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $1,595 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1423 Caywood Cir S Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,376 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2805 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $1,699 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3310 11th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1354 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3312 11th St W Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1354 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3508 3rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1147 | $1,699 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 28 Cosmopolitan Dr #13 Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 973 | $1,375 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3408 10th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $1,850 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2918 16th St Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,845 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3402 13th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $1,940 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 10 Beth Stacey Blvd #206 Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3303 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,250 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 59 Camelot Gardens Blvd #110 Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3202 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,920 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2602 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3209 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,699 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 911 Sally Ave N Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,521 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2811 25th St SW Unit NA Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,990 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3615 6th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,825 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9099 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,499 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 9123 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,474 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 9112 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-04-04status Active
-
2026-01-30status Pending
-
2026-01-13price $200,000
-
2025-08-12$235,000 Active
-
2016-12-22price $100,000 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Very good condition for this 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage home, all tiled and fenced backyard. Excellent location, walking distance to Walmart. Attention Investors! Tenant in place and would like to stay renting.
-
2016-12-21soldstatus $100,000 Sold 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Very good condition for this 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage home, all tiled and fenced backyard. Excellent location, walking distance to Walmart. Attention Investors! Tenant in place and would like to stay renting.
-
2016-12-21soldstatus $100,000
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Very good condition for this 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage home, all tiled and fenced backyard. Excellent location, walking distance to Walmart. Attention Investors! Tenant in place and would like to stay renting.
-
2016-12-18price $109,900 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Very good condition for this 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage home, all tiled and fenced backyard. Excellent location, walking distance to Walmart. Attention Investors! Tenant in place and would like to stay renting.
-
2016-12-13status Pending 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Very good condition for this 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage home, all tiled and fenced backyard. Excellent location, walking distance to Walmart. Attention Investors! Tenant in place and would like to stay renting.
-
2016-11-16$109,900 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Very good condition for this 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 2 car garage home, all tiled and fenced backyard. Excellent location, walking distance to Walmart. Attention Investors! Tenant in place and would like to stay renting.
-
2013-10-15$72,500
-
2012-06-14soldstatus $55,900
-
2012-06-14soldstatus $265,000
-
2010-12-30soldstatus $37,000
-
2010-11-24price $39,900
-
2003-12-12soldstatus $101,000
-
2000-01-10soldstatus $66,000
-
1991-10-02soldstatus $59,000
-
1987-11-01soldstatus $49,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,868 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,868 · $239/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,103
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,868
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,848
- − Management
- −$1,848
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$1,483
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$356
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,153/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lehigh Acres
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lehigh Acres, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 130,638
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,277
- Household income
- $72,679
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 574.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.77%
- Current HPI
- 340.4255
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+307.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2026-01-30 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $200,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $235,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-12-22 Price Changed $100,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-21 Sold (MLS) $100,000 FORTMLS
- 2016-12-18 Price Changed $109,900 FORTMLS
- 2016-12-13 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2016-11-16 Listed $109,900 FORTMLS
- 2013-10-15 Listed $72,500 FORTMLS
- 2012-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2012-06-14 Sold (MLS) $55,900 FORTMLS
- 2010-12-30 Sold (MLS) $37,000 FORTMLS
- 2010-11-24 Price Changed $39,900 FORTMLS
- 2003-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
- 2000-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1991-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,868 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…