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B- Composite 65.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

3300 26th Ave E #42 · Bradenton, FL 34208
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 352 sqft · Manufactured public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1982 2,479 sqft lot Est $54k · 10% over $166/mo HOA · 13% of rent ↓ 51% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Waterfront property along Sugar Creek! This home features a large and updated addition providing more living space with so much sun light! This home features all new plumbing, a new HVAC system, new duct work and new hot water tank. Come put your own touches on this home to make it your perfect Florida home. This 55+ community has a large heated pool, miniature golf, pickleball, shuffleboard and many wintertime activities and classes to keep you busy. This home is on a pet lot.

Key facts

  • Updated addition
  • New plumbing
  • Large heated pool

Tags

WATERFRONT PROPERTYUPDATED ADDITIONNEW PLUMBINGNEW HVAC SYSTEMLARGE HEATED POOLMINIATURE GOLF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee about $166.67; quarterly fee $500); Association approval required; HOA includes pool, water, sewer and trash; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, tennis courts, basketball court, pickleball courts, shuffleboard; golf carts allowed; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; number and size limits apply; max pet weight ~25 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built area about 841 square feet
  • Exterior features: On waterfront (creek) with approximately 32 feet of frontage; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Outdoor laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.4%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
15.53%
Cash-on-cash
33.00%
DSCR
2.47
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$53,856
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3333 26th Ave E #1023 0.32mi 1/1.0 393 (+12%) 4mo $60,000 $153 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$11,514
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$27,841
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34208

Rents YoY
-5.4%
Active inventory
345
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,292 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $800/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$166
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $801
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$166 · $1,992/yr
Likely covers
waterpool

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-12
    price $59,000
  2. 2026-02-28
    price $69,900
  3. 2026-01-10
    listed $79,900 Active
  4. 2025-03-17
    listed $119,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$800 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$800 · $67/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,509
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$800
− Insurance
−$1,092
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,241
− Management
−$1,241
− HOA
−$1,992
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$989
After-tax cash flow
$3,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bradenton

Score
81/100
State rank
#101
US rank
#1528

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
City population
227,091
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
44,004
Household income
$60,504
Rent vs Own
43.5% rent · 56.5% own
Severe rent burden
1777.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 18% Two or more races 16% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 27% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -353.49%
Current HPI
287.0443
Rent YoY
▼ -5.44%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-50.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $59,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-17 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $800 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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