CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5072 Stokes Way
D Composite 40.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

5072 Stokes Way · Wildwood, FL 34785
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,504 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition 4,869 sqft lot 2-car garage $170/sqft · 20% below area Est $321k · 20% under $152/mo HOA · 7% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. This all concrete block constructed, open concept home offers a great room that lead out to a covered lanai. At the front of the home, you will find two bedrooms with full bathroom and laundry room. Bedroom 1 which includes Bathroom 1, boasts an oversized shower which are located at the back of the home for maximum privacy. This home includes a stainless-steel electric range, microwave, and built-in dishwasher. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

Key facts

  • Lawn maintenance
  • Split floor plan
  • Quarterly hoa fee

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSPLIT FLOOR PLANQUARTERLY HOA FEELAWN MAINTENANCEBASIC CABLE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-439 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (30.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL); Wildwood Middle/ High School (math 29% / reading 41%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 843 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 51% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 61% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumter average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 605 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,426 (30.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.23%
Cash-on-cash
-7.38%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$320,602
List price
$255,000
Delta
-20.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5420 Sunshine Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,504 (0%) 3mo $250,000 $166 88
2408 Carriage Hill Way 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,488 (-1%) 1mo $362,500 $244 78
2427 Tamarind Grove Run 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,392 (-7%) 4mo $325,000 $233 71
2332 Grenadier Way 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+4%) 3mo $370,000 $237 66
4632 Connection Rd 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (-0%) 0mo $273,990 $183 63
8753 Triumph Cir 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (-0%) 1mo $265,000 $177 61
8471 Clearway Dr 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-0%) 1mo $258,000 $172 59
4635 Connection Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-6%) 0mo $258,990 $184 59
2283 Hopespring Loop 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+4%) 3mo $400,000 $256 59
2270 Antigua Pl 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,416 (-6%) 2mo $347,000 $245 57
4639 Connection Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,672 (+11%) 2mo $284,990 $170 50
2435 Pomeroy Ter 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,289 (-14%) 0mo $294,000 $228 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.2%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-69,353
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-29.7%
Equity multiple
-0.35×
Total profit
$-96,672
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
40 active · 43 under contract
Months of supply
5.2 mo (19%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$299,425 ($175/sqft)
Median days on market
92 d
This list price
8% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+21.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34785

Home prices YoY
-10.7%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
605
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,143 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$536 /mo · $6,437/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$152
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$-439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,699
Max offer price $177,426
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-295 -5% $-367 +0% $-439 +5% $-511 +10% $-583
Rent -10% $-608 -5% $-524 +0% $-439 +5% $-354 +10% $-270
Rate -1.0pp $-311 -0.5pp $-374 base $-439 +0.5pp $-505 +1.0pp $-572

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5059 Stokes Way Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1504 $1,747 $1.16 6d 1 0.05mi
5039 Stokes Way Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,747 $1.25 6d 1 0.10mi
7851 June Ln Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1614 $1,900 $1.18 6d 1 0.16mi
8053 Penrose Pl Wildwood, FL 4.0 2.0 2034 $2,499 $1.23 6d 1 0.17mi
5339 Loblolly Ln Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1688 $2,000 $1.18 116d 1 0.18mi
5115 Spanish Harbor Dr Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $1,675 $1.69 6d 1 0.20mi
5115 Spanish Harbor Dr Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $1,680 $1.70 116d 29 0.20mi
5330 Dragonfly Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1688 $1,825 $1.08 6d 1 0.21mi
5334 Dragonfly Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1673 $1,700 $1.02 6d 1 0.21mi
5338 Dragonfly Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1812 $2,150 $1.19 6d 1 0.21mi
5267 Dragonfly Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1688 $1,945 $1.15 116d 1 0.23mi
7926 Penrose Pl Wildwood, FL 4.0 2.0 2031 $2,500 $1.23 6d 1 0.26mi
4980 Red Maple Ln Unit C1 Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,686 $1.17 2d 1 0.27mi
4980 Red Maple Ln Unit B1 Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,649 $1.51 2d 1 0.27mi
8062 Rexwood Rd Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1638 $2,345 $1.43 116d 1 0.36mi
8061 Patagonia Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1855 $2,585 $1.39 116d 1 0.37mi
8073 Patagonia Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1638 $2,645 $1.61 116d 1 0.39mi
5247 Inglewood Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1638 $2,441 $1.49 6d 1 0.41mi
5255 Inglewood Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1638 $2,410 $1.47 116d 1 0.41mi
8233 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1604 $1,885 $1.18 4d 1 0.42mi
2393 Carriage Hill Way The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1631 $4,300 $2.64 116d 1 0.43mi
5234 Inglewood Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1693 $2,475 $1.46 116d 1 0.43mi
5222 Inglewood Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1693 $2,486 $1.47 6d 1 0.45mi
5027 Starwood Pl Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1604 $1,835 $1.14 6d 1 0.46mi
2290 Nackman Pl The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $3,800 $2.66 6d 1 0.46mi
5192 Hartwood Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,590 $1.65 116d 1 0.46mi
5212 Hartwood Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1693 $2,561 $1.51 6d 1 0.46mi
7730 Wilds Loop Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $2,384 $2.13 0d 48 0.47mi
8168 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,754 $1.33 116d 1 0.49mi
8118 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,704 $1.29 116d 1 0.49mi
8148 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1604 $1,885 $1.18 6d 1 0.49mi
5189 Hartwood Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,591 $1.65 6d 1 0.50mi
8128 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,699 $1.29 116d 1 0.50mi
2393 Highbanks Ct The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1522 $2,800 $1.84 6d 1 0.51mi
5268 Hartwood Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1638 $2,461 $1.50 6d 1 0.55mi
2192 Quinn Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1611 $5,600 $3.48 6d 1 0.60mi
8222 Rexwood Rd Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1693 $2,501 $1.48 6d 1 0.62mi
2280 Biscayne Ave The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,000 $2.86 116d 1 0.67mi
5180 NE 71st Ave Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1192 $1,995 $1.67 4d 22 0.68mi
2272 Vassar Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,500 $1.77 116d 1 0.70mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Property size approximately 0.11 acreLiving area reported as 1,504 (public records)Building area reported as 2,023Direction faces south
HOA & community
Has HOA (monthly HOA $152; quarterly association fee $456)HOA covers cable TV, pool, structure maintenance, grounds maintenance, sewer, and trashCommunity clubhouse, pool, and tennis courtsDeed-restricted communityPets allowed with breed restrictions

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage (19 x 21)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable connectedElectricity connected
Home design
Single family residenceOne storySouth-facingResidential zoningCDD community
Construction
Block and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by DR Horton (Astor model)
Exterior features
Covered rear porchExterior lightingMature landscapingAsphalt road (public maintained)

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherMicrowaveRefrigeratorStone counters
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetCeramic tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Electric heatingHeat pumpCentral air conditioning
Interior features
High ceilingsKitchen-family room comboOpen floorplanSplit bedroom layoutStone countertopsThermostatWalk-in closetsWindow treatments (blinds)
Laundry & utility
Inside laundryWasherDryerElectric water heater

HOA detail $152/mo · $1,824/yr

Likely covers
electric

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $255,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-09-24
    days on market $255,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $255,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $255,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $255,000 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $255,000 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $255,000 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $255,000 Active 106 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $255,000 Active 105 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $255,000 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $255,000 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    pricedays on market $255,000 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $260,000 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $260,000 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $260,000 Active 94 DOM
  16. 2026-08-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 91 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $260,000 Active 90 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $260,000 Active 88 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $260,000 Active 87 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $260,000 Active 86 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $260,000 Active 85 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
  25. 2026-08-21
    days on market $260,000 Active 81 DOM
  26. 2026-08-20
    days on market $260,000 Active 80 DOM
  27. 2026-08-19
    days on market $260,000 Active 79 DOM
  28. 2026-08-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 78 DOM
  29. 2026-08-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 77 DOM
  30. 2026-08-16
    days on market $260,000 Active 76 DOM
  31. 2026-08-15
    days on market $260,000 Active 75 DOM
  32. 2026-08-14
    days on market $260,000 Active 74 DOM
  33. 2026-08-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 73 DOM
  34. 2026-08-12
    days on market $260,000 Active 72 DOM
  35. 2026-08-11
    days on market $260,000 Active 71 DOM
  36. 2026-08-10
    days on market $260,000 Active 70 DOM
  37. 2026-08-09
    remarks 695-char remark
  38. 2026-08-09
    price $260,000 Active 69 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 69 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 68 DOM
  41. 2026-08-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 67 DOM
  42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $275,000 Active 66 DOM
  43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $275,000 Active 65 DOM
  44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $275,000 Active 64 DOM
  45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 63 DOM
  46. 2026-07-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 60 DOM
  47. 2026-07-29
    days on market $275,000 Active 58 DOM
  48. 2026-07-27
    days on market $275,000 Active 56 DOM
  49. 2026-07-25
    days on market $275,000 Active 54 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    remarks 674-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,437 · $536/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,437 · $536/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,713
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$6,437
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,057
− Management
−$2,057
− HOA
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$9,639
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,313
After-tax cash flow
$-2,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,520–$22,560 screening

This well-maintained, move-in-ready home in Wildwood offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's a great opportunity for a buyer looking for a comfortable and convenient living space.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Wildwood Elementary School D+ FL #1,055/2,144 Nat'l #12,398/41,679 High Wildwood Middle/ High School F FL #379/667 Nat'l #9,567/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — Wildwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#8500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, FL
County
Sumter County · 161,172 people
City population
21,568
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,568
Household income
$66,136
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-7.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $289,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-13 Sold (MLS) $294,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-18 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-18 Price Changed $294,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-18 Price Changed $292,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-06 Price Changed $294,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-29 Price Changed $299,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-03-07 Price Changed $304,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-28 Price Changed $309,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-15 Price Changed $314,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-06 Price Changed $318,715 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-16 Price Changed $317,715 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-05 Price Changed $314,715 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-28 Listed $312,715 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+283.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,437 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…