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3340 Upton Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

3340 Upton Ave · Toledo, OH 43613
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1927 3,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable housing ,Currently, tenant occupied month to month .rminor repairs are being made. Very spacious large living and dining. Breakfast nook Kitchen with lots of cupboards, maintenance-free siding, 2 car garage with opener. basement with rec room. A great buy. There is a vacant lot next door. Maybe bundled with 2 others for added discount 60937871656 Shady Dr & 6093791-3703 Jackman

Key facts

  • 3,500 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1927

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,024 (source: public records); Lot approximately 0.08 acres (3,500 sq ft)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with storage; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces; Total parking for 3 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Residential single-family house; Detached (no common walls); Two levels / 2 stories; Entry facing not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with typical house construction materials
  • Exterior features: Storage; Shingle roof; Garage(s) as an additional structure; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (16 x 7); Appliances: Other
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on the upper level; Additional upper-level room (17 x 11)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fans for cooling; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Basement (block); Storage; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$84,992) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mckinley Stemm Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,584 statewide, top 98%, 279 students, 0% FRL); Start High School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #672 of 781 statewide, top 86%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.66%
Cap rate
22.52%
Cash-on-cash
57.97%
DSCR
3.58
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,992
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1822 Stahlwood Ave 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,047 (+2%) 2mo $74,000 $71 85
1929 Marlow Rd 0.13mi 2/1.0 1,072 (+5%) 2mo $108,000 $101 85
2040 Fairfax Rd 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (+4%) 2mo $85,000 $80 75
1811 Giant St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,069 (+4%) 1mo $70,000 $65 75
1804 Loxley Rd 0.26mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+3%) 1mo $81,290 $77 75
1822 Wychwood St 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,162 (+14%) 1mo $84,000 $72 68
3628 Wallwerth Dr 0.41mi 2/1.0 935 (-9%) 2mo $123,000 $132 64
2014 Barrows St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,069 (+4%) 1mo $110,000 $103 64
1936 Mansfield St 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,168 (+14%) 1mo $79,900 $68 61
1734 Barrows St 0.48mi 2/1.0 912 (-11%) 1mo $90,000 $99 58
3621 Sherbrooke Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,119 (+9%) 1mo $92,500 $83 51
3515 Watson Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,157 (+13%) 0mo $150,000 $130 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.9%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$28,260
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
61.9%
Equity multiple
7.29×
Total profit
$70,318
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43613

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,061 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $874/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$540

Break-even live

Break-even rent $378
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $562 -5% $551 +0% $540 +5% $528 +10% $517
Rent -10% $456 -5% $498 +0% $540 +5% $582 +10% $624
Rate -1.0pp $560 -0.5pp $550 base $540 +0.5pp $529 +1.0pp $519

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1731 Mansfield Rd Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1138 $1,195 $1.05 24d 1 0.22mi
1838 Giant St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 14d 1 0.23mi
1846 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 876 $900 $1.03 44d 1 0.24mi
1705 Marlow Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 738 $1,000 $1.36 24d 1 0.24mi
1951 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 804 $975 $1.21 24d 1 0.25mi
3683 Upton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1119 $1,100 $0.98 44d 1 0.28mi
1804 Bigelow St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 995 $937 $0.94 44d 1 0.30mi
1718 Giant St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,395 $1.29 14d 1 0.30mi
1732 Talbot St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 24d 1 0.34mi
3801 Torrance Dr Unit 3801 4 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $600 $0.80 24d 1 0.53mi
1573 Jermain Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,195 $0.95 14d 1 0.55mi
3835 Monroe St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1002 $950 $0.95 44d 1 0.59mi
3803 Monroe St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 942 $850 $0.90 44d 1 0.62mi
1489 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,250 $1.17 44d 1 0.63mi
3817 Burton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 754 $1,015 $1.35 21d 1 0.63mi
2716 Hoehler Dr Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 720 $600 $0.83 44d 1 0.65mi
3430 Anderson Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1372 $1,650 $1.20 24d 1 0.68mi
3901 Leybourn Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 840 $1,150 $1.37 24d 1 0.72mi
3433 Douglas Rd Unit 3 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $755 $1.01 14d 1 0.77mi
3713 Hazelhurst Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1352 $1,700 $1.26 44d 1 0.78mi
3640 Douglas Rd Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 720 $784 $1.09 44d 1 0.79mi
2802 Gunckel Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 860 $1,100 $1.28 44d 1 0.79mi
2244 W Sylvania Ave Unit 6 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $795 $0.99 44d 1 0.81mi
3644 Harley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1025 $975 $0.95 24d 1 0.84mi
3725 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,245 $1.06 24d 1 0.85mi
3805 Hoiles Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1370 $1,025 $0.75 24d 1 0.86mi
4038 Lyman Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1175 $1,395 $1.19 44d 1 0.87mi
3022 Letchworth Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $970 $1.21 44d 1 0.87mi
2734 Powhattan Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1144 $900 $0.79 44d 1 0.89mi
3541 Willys Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,400 $1.26 44d 1 0.91mi
4120 Parrakeet Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,450 $1.03 44d 1 0.97mi
4315 Garden Park Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1268 $1,423 $1.12 24d 1 0.97mi
1919 Ottawa Dr Unit 7 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 44d 1 1.02mi
2356 Torrey Hill Dr Unit 11 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $800 $0.76 44d 1 1.03mi
3915 Willys Pkwy Unit 3915 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $800 $0.74 21d 1 1.03mi
4290 Monroe St Unit 4 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 850 $695 $0.82 44d 1 1.09mi
2322 Upton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 1.09mi
4223 Birchall Rd Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1338 $1,395 $1.04 24d 1 1.10mi
4435 Jackman Rd Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $922 $1.27 14d 3 1.11mi
2347 Rosedale Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 767 $875 $1.14 44d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $39,900 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $39,900 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    remarks 508-char remark
  8. 2026-06-03
    remarks 484-char remark
  9. 2026-06-03
    listed $39,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$874 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$874 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,736
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$874
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,019
− Management
−$1,019
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$6,228
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,495
After-tax cash flow
$4,982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
30,780
Household income
$64,384
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
917.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.37%
Current HPI
239.1345
Rent YoY
▲ 3.30%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $39,900 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $50,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $20,000 NORIS
  • 2022-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORIS
  • 2022-12-04 Pending NORIS
  • 2022-10-31 Contingent NORIS
  • 2022-10-17 Price Changed $58,000 NORIS
  • 2022-10-06 Price Changed $69,900 NORIS
  • 2022-09-30 Listed $72,900 NORIS
  • 2017-02-20 Sold (MLS) $20,000 NORIS
  • 2016-01-01 Price Changed $29,900 NORIS
  • 2015-08-12 Listed $29,900 NORIS
  • 1995-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $874 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…