🌊 Lakefront
1001 Starkey Rd #282 · Largo, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$157,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. 55+ Pet Friendly mobile home located in Paradise Island. This is truly the best of Florida living. It has newer central A/C, roof, flooring, fresh paint, and windows. Featuring a large open living and dining room, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath home is ready for you! Kitchen is a showstopper with tons of cabinetry, granite counters, and casual dining area. Master bedroom is enormous and has a huge closet, and the master bath to die for with huge soaking tub, separate shower and double sinks. The guest bedroom is also nice. Laundry room features newer washer and dryer and a office nook to keep those pesky papers
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Newer central a/c
- Home mail delivery
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA; monthly fee required; Monthly HOA: $461.40; HOA amenities include clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court, wheelchair access; Association fee covers cable TV, common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves, insurance, internet, grounds maintenance, management, pest control, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, trash and water; Association approval required; Part of a senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), max pet weight 40 lbs; Community features: clubhouse, pool, golf carts OK, reclaimed water irrigation, wheelchair access
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as residential manufactured home
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Exterior lighting; Irrigation equipment; Gunite pool with heating and pool lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stone counters; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Stone counters; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Inside utility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $158k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.59%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 Starkey Rd #434 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,475 (+8%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $129 | 82 |
| 1001 Starkey Rd #476 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,199 (-12%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $133 | 77 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #473 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,372 (+0%) | 3mo | $230,900 | $168 | 73 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #469 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,390 (+2%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $191 | 71 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #760 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,321 (-3%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #783 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,352 (-1%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $148 | 66 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #366 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (-5%) | 3mo | $193,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #105 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,290 (-6%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $136 | 60 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #749 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-12%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $125 | 54 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #558 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,222 (-11%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #123 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,208 (-12%) | 5mo | $168,500 | $139 | 52 |
| 1100 Belcher Rd S #414 | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,566 (+14%) | 9mo | $290,000 | $185 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-15,991
- Equity at exit
- $23,484
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-16,809
- Equity at exit
- $13,618
Cash invested: $44,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33771
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,091 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$826
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $685/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$461
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $287 | +0% $242 | +5% $198 | +10% $153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $77 | -5% $160 | +0% $242 | +5% $325 | +10% $407 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $282 | base $242 | +0.5pp $201 | +1.0pp $160 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,375
- Closing costs
- $4,725
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2871 S Pines Dr #24 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,800 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3030 Whispering Dr N Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $3,600 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 8775 Christie Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,198 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 636 Lake Palms Dr Unit Stylish Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 960 Starkey Rd #8402 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,200 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 960 Starkey Rd #8206 Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $2,700 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 960 Starkey Rd #5105 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,295 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3331 Whispering Dr N Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $2,190 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 960 Starkey Rd #10305 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,200 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 779 34th St SE Unit 1319966P Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $2,941 | $2.97 | 8d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3135 Pine Tree Ave Unit A Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3135 Pine Tree Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 11d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9122 Jakes Path Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $2,600 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1200 Country Club Dr #3302 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1200 Country Club Dr #4102 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1200 Country Club Dr #6204 Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,600 | $1.65 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1200 Country Club Dr #1502 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,350 | $1.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1601 Palm Way Largo, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,950 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2505 E Bay Dr Lot 77 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 600 Starkey Rd Largo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,774 | $1.81 | 4d | 21 | 0.66mi |
| 3022 Meadow Lake Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3022 Meadow Lake Ave Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 11d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 44 Countryclub Dr #44 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2045 E Bay Dr Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $1,830 | $1.64 | 3d | 15 | 0.79mi |
| 225 Country Club Dr #1404 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 68 Country Club Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 69 Country Club Dr Largo, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 84 21st Ter SE Unit 1502691P Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $5,914 | $4.58 | 8d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3377 Sherwood Dr Unit A Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,650 | $1.55 | 8d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 14875 Cromwell Dr Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $2,195 | $1.48 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 200 Country Club Dr #1505 Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $1,980 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 301 Seacrest Dr Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,625 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 9925 Ulmerton Rd #74 Largo, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,800 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11310 92nd St Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,100 | $1.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 101 Imperial Palm Dr Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $1,810 | $1.99 | 3d | 35 | 1.18mi |
| 221 Lake Ave NE Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $2,160 | $1.97 | 4d | 11 | 1.24mi |
| 2227 Rose Ln Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,200 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 705 Redbud LN Largo, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $2,615 | $2.65 | 2d | 189 | 1.30mi |
| 2234 Rose Ln Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7236 Darien Way Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1852 | $2,945 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $461 · $5,532/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-05price $157,500
-
2026-04-02$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $685 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,307 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$622/yr (+$52/mo · 90.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,822
- − Property taxes
- −$685
- − Insurance
- −$788
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,007
- − Management
- −$2,007
- − HOA
- −$5,532
- − Depreciation
- −$4,582
- Taxable income
- $669
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$161
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Largo
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Largo, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 106,311
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,596
- Household income
- $59,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1243.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.5044
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.06%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-4.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $157,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $685 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…