9234 Null Rd · Lauderdale, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
$35,390
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
Key facts
- Privacy
- Community amenities
- Open layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 41/100 on livability (#358 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lauderdale County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #39 of 130 in MS (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $936 of equity ($244 loan paydown + $692 appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.87%
- DSCR
- 4.11
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $39,109
- Equity at exit
- $13,875
- IRR
- 73.9%
- Equity multiple
- 10.11×
- Total profit
- $90,243
- Equity at exit
- $19,917
Cash invested: $9,909 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39335
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$186
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $531/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,848
- Closing costs
- $1,062
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $35,390 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,390 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,390 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,390 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,390 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $35,390 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $35,390 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,390 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,390 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,390 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,390 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,390 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,390 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,390 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,390 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $35,390 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $37,253 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
-
2026-03-26price $40,492 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
-
2026-02-24price $44,013 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
-
2026-01-26price $47,840 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
-
2025-12-04price $52,000 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
-
2025-11-04price $62,000 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
-
2025-09-29$67,600 Active 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,982
- − Property taxes
- −$531
- − Insurance
- −$177
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$998
- − Management
- −$998
- − Depreciation
- −$1,030
- Taxable income
- $6,762
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,623
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lauderdale County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802430
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,778
- Composite
- 33.25/100
- National rank
- #5517
- State rank
- #39 of 130 in MS
Livability — Lauderdale
- Score
- 41/100
- State rank
- #358
- US rank
- #27178
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,301
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,158 people
- By 2030
- 72,770 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 67,309 · -10.4%
- By 2050
- 61,797 · -17.8%
- By 2075
- 49,790 · -33.8%
- By 2100
- 39,797 · -47.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Serbian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.96%
- Current HPI
- 130.2493
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-44.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $37,253 MLSU
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $40,492 MLSU
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $44,013 MLSU
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $47,840 MLSU
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $52,000 MLSU
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $62,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-29 Listed $67,600 MLSU
Property tax history
+26.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,012 · +697.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…