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9234 Null Rd
B Composite 73.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0

$35,390

9234 Null Rd · Lauderdale, MS 39335
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,239 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 263 Days on market
Built 1930 0.77 ac lot ↓ 45% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

Key facts

  • Privacy
  • Community amenities
  • Open layout

Tags

PRIVACYCOMMUNITY AMENITIESAMPLE SPACEOPEN LAYOUTQUIET SURROUNDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#358 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lauderdale County School District (rural): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #39 of 130 in MS (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $936 of equity ($244 loan paydown + $692 appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $31,143 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.94%
Cap rate
25.86%
Cash-on-cash
69.87%
DSCR
4.11
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
73.6%
Equity multiple
4.95×
Total profit
$39,109
Equity at exit
$13,875
10-year hold
IRR
73.9%
Equity multiple
10.11×
Total profit
$90,243
Equity at exit
$19,917

Cash invested: $9,909 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39335

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,040 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$186
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $531/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $310
Max offer price $35,390
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,848
Closing costs
$1,062
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,390 Active 263 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,390 Active 262 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,390 Active 261 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,390 Active 260 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,390 Active 259 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,390 Active 257 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,390 Active 256 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,390 Active 253 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,390 Active 252 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,390 Active 251 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,390 Active 248 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,390 Active 247 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,390 Active 246 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,390 Active 245 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,390 Active 244 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,390 Active 243 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $37,253 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

  18. 2026-03-26
    price $40,492 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

  19. 2026-02-24
    price $44,013 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

  20. 2026-01-26
    price $47,840 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

  21. 2025-12-04
    price $52,000 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

  22. 2025-11-04
    price $62,000 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

  23. 2025-09-29
    listed $67,600 Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    This property is located in Lauderdale, MS, offering a blend of rural charm and privacy with convenient access to nearby community amenities. The setting provides ample space and flexibility for a variety of uses, making it suitable for residential, recreational, or investment potential. With its quiet surroundings and open layout, the property is ideal for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle while still being within a reasonable distance to town services, schools, and major roadways.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,479
− Mortgage interest
−$1,982
− Property taxes
−$531
− Insurance
−$177
− Repairs & maintenance
−$998
− Management
−$998
− Depreciation
−$1,030
Taxable income
$6,762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,623
After-tax cash flow
$5,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lauderdale County School District
NCES district ID
2802430
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,778
Composite
33.25/100
National rank
#5517
State rank
#39 of 130 in MS

Livability — Lauderdale

Score
41/100
State rank
#358
US rank
#27178

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,301

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,158 people
By 2030
72,770 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,309 · -10.4%
By 2050
61,797 · -17.8%
By 2075
49,790 · -33.8%
By 2100
39,797 · -47.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Serbian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.96%
Current HPI
130.2493
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-44.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $37,253 MLSU
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $40,492 MLSU
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $44,013 MLSU
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $47,840 MLSU
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $52,000 MLSU
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $62,000 MLSU
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $67,600 MLSU

Property tax history

+26.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,012 · +697.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…