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514-516 S Mebane St Duplex
C- Composite 51.53
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

514-516 S Mebane St · Burlington, NC 27215
None bd · None ba · 2,093 sqft · MultiFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 1920 Good condition 9,365 sqft lot Est $167k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Duplex for sale to the savvy investor! 514 S Mebane St is currently rented for $1000/month (Lease expires 10/5/2026 and renter is month-to-month presently) and 516 S Mebane St is currently rented for $950/month (Lease expires 1/13/2027 and renter is also month-to-month presently). Buyers will need a LOI/POF to schedule a showing and plenty of advance notice.

Key facts

  • 9,365 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot number 20; Lot size approximately 0.215 acres; Property directions available
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association (listing notes association: Greensboro)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water heater: Unknown
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income); Built in 1920; Existing structure
  • Construction: 2,093 total building area
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Cooling: Other; Heating: See remarks; Heating fuel: See remarks
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $215/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harvey R Newlin Elementary (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,356 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 516 students, 99% FRL); Graham Middle (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #441 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 587 students, 100% FRL); Graham High (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #334 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 913 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 51% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.37%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$167,440
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
805 S Broad St 0.26mi 3/2.0 2,137 (+2%) 7mo $170,000 $80 79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-9,221
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$23,399
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27215

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,467 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$429

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,924
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $581 -5% $505 +0% $429 +5% $353 +10% $277
Rent -10% $234 -5% $332 +0% $429 +5% $527 +10% $624
Rate -1.0pp $540 -0.5pp $485 base $429 +0.5pp $372 +1.0pp $314

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,467

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
116 Stagg St Burlington, NC 3.0 2.0 1550 $2,050 $1.32 22d 1 0.69mi
1106 Attica St Burlington, NC 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $219,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 360-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $219,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,604
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,298
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,368
− Management
−$2,368
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable income
$1,754
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$421
After-tax cash flow
$4,730/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This multi-family property is in good condition with no visible damage or wear. The exterior and interior appear to be well-maintained, and the property has good curb appeal. Painting the exterior and landscaping improvements would increase its value for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding and roof — Painting the exterior siding and roof can improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding and roof — Painting the exterior siding and roof can improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alamance-Burlington Schools
NCES district ID
3700030
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,359
Composite
29.68/100
National rank
#6460
State rank
#133 of 178 in NC

Livability — Burlington

Score
70/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#7396

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, NC
County
Alamance County · 173,369 people
City population
88,508
Metro
Burlington, NC
Population (ZIP)
47,102
Household income
$68,825
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
1497.0

Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
173,381 people
By 2030
180,609 · +4.2%
By 2040
194,327 · +12.1%
By 2050
206,158 · +18.9%
By 2075
235,665 · +35.9%
By 2100
258,626 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alamance

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -263.87%
Current HPI
224.3392
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Burlington, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $219,900 Triad MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…