Duplex
514-516 S Mebane St · Burlington, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Duplex for sale to the savvy investor! 514 S Mebane St is currently rented for $1000/month (Lease expires 10/5/2026 and renter is month-to-month presently) and 516 S Mebane St is currently rented for $950/month (Lease expires 1/13/2027 and renter is also month-to-month presently). Buyers will need a LOI/POF to schedule a showing and plenty of advance notice.
Key facts
- 9,365 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot number 20; Lot size approximately 0.215 acres; Property directions available
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
- HOA & community: No homeowners association (listing notes association: Greensboro)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water heater: Unknown
- Home design: Duplex (residential income); Built in 1920; Existing structure
- Construction: 2,093 total building area
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Cooling: Other; Heating: See remarks; Heating fuel: See remarks
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $220k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $215/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Harvey R Newlin Elementary (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,356 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 516 students, 99% FRL); Graham Middle (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #441 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 587 students, 100% FRL); Graham High (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #334 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 913 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 51% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.37%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,440
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 805 S Broad St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 2,137 (+2%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $80 | 79 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-9,221
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $23,399
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27215
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,467 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $429
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $581 | -5% $505 | +0% $429 | +5% $353 | +10% $277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $234 | -5% $332 | +0% $429 | +5% $527 | +10% $624 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $540 | -0.5pp $485 | base $429 | +0.5pp $372 | +1.0pp $314 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,468 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,234 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,234 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,467 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Stagg St Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,050 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1106 Attica St Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $219,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 360-char remark
-
2026-06-07$219,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$3,298
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,368
- − Management
- −$2,368
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $1,754
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,730/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This multi-family property is in good condition with no visible damage or wear. The exterior and interior appear to be well-maintained, and the property has good curb appeal. Painting the exterior and landscaping improvements would increase its value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding and roof — Painting the exterior siding and roof can improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding and roof — Painting the exterior siding and roof can improve the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the curb appeal and increase the property's value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #7396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 88,508
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,102
- Household income
- $68,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1497.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -263.87%
- Current HPI
- 224.3392
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $219,900 Triad MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…