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14574 222nd St Duplex
B- Composite 66.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$650,000

14574 222nd St · New York, NY 11413
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,175 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1950 3,800 sqft lot Est $1124k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Come and take a look at this property in Springfield Gardens. Fitted with two units, both possessing 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms each. The property will be delivered in "as-is" condition and occupied.

Key facts

  • 3,800 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 4 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $636/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $650k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $562k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $650,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.64%
Cash-on-cash
8.38%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,124,475
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
221-11 146th Ave 0.05mi 6/4.0 2,172 (-0%) 11mo $1,200,000 $552 89
14746 223rd St 0.27mi 6/4.0 2,250 (+3%) 2mo $1,100,000 $489 80
14553 221st St 0.05mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,204 (+1%) 12mo $995,000 $451 76
14411 223rd St 0.26mi 6/5.0 2,271 (+4%) 0mo $1,295,000 $570 76
179-12 145 Ave 0.47mi 6/3.0 2,080 (-4%) 2mo $1,120,000 $538 65
22820 Edgewood Ave 0.53mi 6/5.0 2,208 (+2%) 7mo $1,150,000 $521 63
145-07 232 St 0.58mi 6/4.0 2,316 (+6%) 8mo $854,000 $369 55
23118 145th Ave 0.56mi 6/5.0 2,000 (-8%) 8mo $1,100,000 $550 50
14827 230th Pl 0.55mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,304 (+6%) 8mo $950,000 $412 49
22907 148th Ave 0.43mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,288 (+5%) 12mo $880,000 $385 49
181-36 144th Ave 0.45mi 6/2.0 2,328 (+7%) 22mo $842,650 $362 41
14027 Coombs St 0.69mi 7/3.0 (+1) 1,932 (-11%) 2mo $999,000 $517 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-24,316
Equity at exit
$96,917
10-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$83,186
Equity at exit
$56,200

Cash invested: $182,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11413

Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
15.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,107 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,409
Tax from tax record
$663 /mo · $7,960/yr
Insurance
$271
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,492
Net cashflow
$1,272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,497
Max offer price $650,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,640 -5% $1,456 +0% $1,272 +5% $1,088 +10% $904
Rent -10% $710 -5% $991 +0% $1,272 +5% $1,552 +10% $1,833
Rate -1.0pp $1,599 -0.5pp $1,437 base $1,272 +0.5pp $1,103 +1.0pp $932

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,107

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$162,500
Closing costs
$19,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    listed $650,000 Active
  3. 2005-05-21
    soldstatus $562,400
  4. 2004-12-02
    soldstatus $350,000
  5. 2004-12-02
    soldstatus $350,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,960 · $663/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,472 · $789/mo
Expected delta
+$1,513/yr (+$126/mo · 19.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$85,284
− Mortgage interest
−$36,410
− Property taxes
−$7,960
− Insurance
−$3,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,823
− Management
−$6,823
− Depreciation
−$18,909
Taxable income
$5,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,226
After-tax cash flow
$14,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
45,072

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% White 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 6%
Foreign-born
39% · Canada, Mexico
Languages at home
84% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -390.89%
Current HPI
311.5327
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+85.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $650,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $562,400 Public Records
  • 2004-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,960 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…