83-25 98th St Unit 2C · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 49.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Development In Queens , Surrounded On Three Sides By Forest Park. O Low Maintenance Includes All Utilities O Close To Golf, Tennis, Running Track, Cross Country Trails, Bicycle Trails O Near To Train, Buses, Schools . O 100% Owner Occupied WALL TO WALL CARPETING WITH PADDING IS MANDATORY! or sound proofing floor, Additional information:Features:Lr/Dr
Key facts
- Near to train
- Close to golf
- Close to tennis
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $243k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 49% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.28%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-50,239
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-52,959
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11421
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,062 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$767
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$643
- Net cashflow
- $-138
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $41 | -5% $-48 | +0% $-138 | +5% $-227 | +10% $-317 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-380 | -5% $-259 | +0% $-138 | +5% $-17 | +10% $104 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-8 | -0.5pp $-72 | base $-138 | +0.5pp $-205 | +1.0pp $-273 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84-40 98th St Unit 2FL Woodhaven, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,300 | $2.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8456 98th St Woodhaven, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 11d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 88-39 82nd Ave Unit 1 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $3,850 | $3.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 85-20 85th Rd Unit 2nd Floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 19d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 94-17 90th Ave Unit 2nd Floor Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $3,000 | $2.88 | 8d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 88-23 85th St Unit 1L Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,300 | $3.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 78-68 84th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,500 | $4.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8371 116th St Unit 7C Richmond Hill, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,750 | $3.44 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8371 116th St Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $2,725 | $3.96 | 5d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 11624 Grosvenor Ln Unit 11D Richmond Hill, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,200 | $3.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 83-60 118th St Unit 4F Kew Gardens, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 83-83 118th St Unit 2E Kew Gardens, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,200 | $3.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8383 118th St Kew Gardens, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $3,200 | $3.56 | 25d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 76-09 88th Ave Unit 1 Woodhaven, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $3,700 | $3.85 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 88-18 77th St Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $3,295 | $3.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 90-18 77th St Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $3,295 | $3.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 97-56 105th St #2 Ozone Park, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,811 | $3.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 12015 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 67-49 Juno St Unit 1 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,500 | $3.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 150 Greenway Ter Forest Hills, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $4,300 | $4.59 | 21d | 2 | 1.19mi |
| 150 Greenway Ter Forest Hills, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $4,300 | $4.59 | 0d | 2 | 1.19mi |
| 67-12 Juno St Unit Duplex Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,500 | $3.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 122-08 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 91-04 75th St Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,700 | $4.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 123-16 Hillside Ave Unit 1st Fl Jamaica, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $2,700 | $3.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8711 123rd St Richmond Hill, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 12401 Hillside Ave Richmond Hill, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,700 | $3.38 | 0d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 124-14 Metropolitan Ave Unit 2F Kew Gardens, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,900 | $3.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7540 Austin St Unit 4HR Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $2,600 | $3.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 8329 Talbot St Kew Gardens, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,800 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 11007 73rd Rd Forest Hills, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 19d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 68-36 Burns St Unit B4 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $3,800 | $3.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 65-68 Ellwell Cres Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,800 | $4.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 108-25 72nd Ave Unit 6B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $3,900 | $4.88 | 0d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 10825 72nd Ave Forest Hills, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,900 | $5.57 | 5d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 10541 90th St Ozone Park, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $4,111 | $3.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 123-40 83rd Ave Unit 8B Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,450 | $3.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 123-40 83rd Ave Unit 2107 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,573 | $3.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-11-04status Pending
-
2025-08-21$259,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 49% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,743
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$3,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,939
- − Management
- −$2,939
- − HOA
- −$9,204
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable loss
- −$5,562
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,335
- After-tax cash flow
- $-321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,612
- Household income
- $90,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1540.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% Two or more races 24% Asian 20% White 13% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 46% Chinese 9% Other Indo-European 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -409.05%
- Current HPI
- 298.1143
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-04 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-21 Listed $259,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…