410 Pauline Jenkins St · Waynesboro, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this spacious 1,686 sq ft home in Waynesboro, featuring a unique layout brimming with potential. Enjoy solid structural peace of mind with a younger shingle roof, a reliable HVAC system, and sound plumbing and wiring. Inside, a freshly painted kitchen comes equipped with a brand-new stove, while a dedicated large-dog wash station adds unique convenience. Combining character with a blank canvas for your finishing touches, this property is perfect for anyone looking to customize their dream space.
Key facts
- Sound plumbing
- Reliable hvac system
- Younger shingle roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing offered As Is; Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family house; Built in 1930; One story
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Built in 1930
- Exterior features: Wood siding; Other roof type; Resale condition; Lot features: none noted
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: One-level living; Laundry closet; No fireplace noted
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.2% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#221 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
- Burke County (town): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #148 of 174 in GA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burke County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $105k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.85%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,644
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 Victory Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,785 (+6%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $154 | 41 |
| 1008 Waters St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,480 (-12%) | 16mo | $65,000 | $44 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $5,425
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $37,641
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30830
- Home prices YoY
- -31.3%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,462 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $531/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $404
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $474 | -5% $439 | +0% $404 | +5% $368 | +10% $333 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $288 | -5% $346 | +0% $404 | +5% $461 | +10% $519 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $467 | -0.5pp $435 | base $404 | +0.5pp $371 | +1.0pp $338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $124,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 New 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 New 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 New 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,900 New 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,900 New 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 New 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 New 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 New 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 511-char remark
-
2026-06-05$124,900 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,149 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$618/yr (+$52/mo · 116.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$531
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,403
- − Management
- −$1,403
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $2,951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$708
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,136/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burke County
- NCES district ID
- 1300660
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,532
- Composite
- 15.18/100
- National rank
- #9343
- State rank
- #148 of 174 in GA
Livability — Waynesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #12962
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waynesboro, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,073
Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,186 people
- By 2030
- 20,207 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 18,109 · -14.5%
- By 2050
- 16,102 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 12,103 · -42.9%
- By 2100
- 9,671 · -54.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burke
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.3) · D 45.1% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.6pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.3 2020: R+1.8 2016: D+2.6 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.87%
- Current HPI
- 192.6851
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+540.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $124,900 GAMLS
- 2023-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $531 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…