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410 Pauline Jenkins St
C+ Composite 62.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

410 Pauline Jenkins St · Waynesboro, GA 30830
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,686 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1930 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this spacious 1,686 sq ft home in Waynesboro, featuring a unique layout brimming with potential. Enjoy solid structural peace of mind with a younger shingle roof, a reliable HVAC system, and sound plumbing and wiring. Inside, a freshly painted kitchen comes equipped with a brand-new stove, while a dedicated large-dog wash station adds unique convenience. Combining character with a blank canvas for your finishing touches, this property is perfect for anyone looking to customize their dream space.

Key facts

  • Sound plumbing
  • Reliable hvac system
  • Younger shingle roof

Tags

YOUNGER SHINGLE ROOFRELIABLE HVAC SYSTEMSOUND PLUMBINGSOUND WIRINGFRESHLY PAINTED KITCHENBRAND-NEW STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing offered As Is; Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family house; Built in 1930; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Built in 1930
  • Exterior features: Wood siding; Other roof type; Resale condition; Lot features: none noted

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: One-level living; Laundry closet; No fireplace noted
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.2% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#221 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Burke County (town): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #148 of 174 in GA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burke County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.17%
Cash-on-cash
13.85%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$259,644
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
503 Victory Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,785 (+6%) 8mo $275,000 $154 41
1008 Waters St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,480 (-12%) 16mo $65,000 $44 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$5,425
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$37,641
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30830

Home prices YoY
-31.3%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,462 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $531/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$404

Break-even live

Break-even rent $951
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $474 -5% $439 +0% $404 +5% $368 +10% $333
Rent -10% $288 -5% $346 +0% $404 +5% $461 +10% $519
Rate -1.0pp $467 -0.5pp $435 base $404 +0.5pp $371 +1.0pp $338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $124,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 New 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 New 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 New 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 New 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 New 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 New 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 New 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 New 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 New 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 511-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $124,900 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$531 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,149 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$618/yr (+$52/mo · 116.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,543
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$531
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,403
− Management
−$1,403
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$2,951
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$708
After-tax cash flow
$4,136/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burke County
NCES district ID
1300660
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$34,532
Composite
15.18/100
National rank
#9343
State rank
#148 of 174 in GA

Livability — Waynesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#221
US rank
#12962

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waynesboro, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,073

Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,186 people
By 2030
20,207 · -4.6%
By 2040
18,109 · -14.5%
By 2050
16,102 · -24.0%
By 2075
12,103 · -42.9%
By 2100
9,671 · -54.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burke

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.3) · D 45.1% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.6pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.3 2020: R+1.8 2016: D+2.6 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.87%
Current HPI
192.6851
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+540.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $124,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $531 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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