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2418 Lodi St Duplex
B Composite 70.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$139,900

2418 Lodi St · Syracuse, NY 13208
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,588 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1920 3,564 sqft lot Est $100k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great investment or owner-occupant opportunity on Syracuse’s North Side! This vacant two-family home offers flexibility, space, and recent mechanical updates. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths total, each unit provides comfortable living arrangements with strong rental potential. The downstairs unit includes an option for a 3rd bedroom, making it ideal for added rental income, extended family, or a home office setup. Recent improvements include 2 new furnaces and 2 new hot water tanks, giving peace of mind for years to come. The property also offers off-street parking for up to 4 vehicles, a valuable convenience for tenants and owners alike. With the property delivered vacant, buy

Key facts

  • Two-family home
  • Off-street parking
  • Conveniently located

Tags

TWO-FAMILY HOMERECENT MECHANICAL UPDATESOFF-STREET PARKINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $631/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,733/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $140k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
17.11%
Cash-on-cash
38.63%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,044
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
218-20 Turtle St 0.05mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,698 (+7%) 8mo $106,500 $63 74
1210 Carbon St 0.37mi 4/2.0 1,594 (+0%) 10mo $42,500 $27 74
517 Carbon St 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,728 (+9%) 6mo $90,000 $52 52
722-724 Lemoyne Ave 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,747 (+10%) 11mo $155,500 $89 50
603 Ash St 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,624 (+2%) 15mo $56,000 $34 49
703 Ash St 0.73mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,710 (+8%) 5mo $140,000 $82 44
806 1st North St 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,446 (-9%) 20mo $120,000 $83 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.1%
Equity multiple
5.00×
Total profit
$156,506
Equity at exit
$126,033
10-year hold
IRR
47.6%
Equity multiple
11.15×
Total profit
$397,725
Equity at exit
$271,795

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13208

Home prices YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,733 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,273/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$574
Net cashflow
$1,261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,340 -5% $1,301 +0% $1,261 +5% $1,221 +10% $1,182
Rent -10% $1,045 -5% $1,153 +0% $1,261 +5% $1,369 +10% $1,477
Rate -1.0pp $1,331 -0.5pp $1,297 base $1,261 +0.5pp $1,225 +1.0pp $1,188

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,733

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
746 E Laurel St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 44d 1 0.97mi
286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 1.01mi
126 Woodruff Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,675 $1.40 44d 1 1.20mi
205A Hawley Ave Unit 213C Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,650 $1.22 44d 1 1.30mi
205A Hawley Ave Unit 211C Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,675 $1.24 44d 1 1.30mi
447 E Washington St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 2095 $2,100 $1.00 14d 1 1.42mi
130 Old Liverpool Rd Liverpool, NY 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-19
    price $139,900
  3. 2026-04-18
    listed $149,900 Active
  4. 2026-02-04
    soldstatus $90,000
  5. 1996-03-14
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,273 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,819 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$545/yr (+$45/mo · 42.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,796
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,273
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,624
− Management
−$2,624
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$13,669
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,281
After-tax cash flow
$11,851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,993
Household income
$44,712
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1437.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.91%
Current HPI
399.3284
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+366.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 1996-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,273 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…