1014 Griggs Rd · Martinsville, VA 24112

$14,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,136 sqft · Other public records · 34 Days on market

Built 1953 6,621 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is. Cash preferred but will consider financed all offers. . TAX ID 45 (08 )00 /06

Key facts

• 6,621 sq ft lot
• Built 1953
• Listed 34 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $15k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $780 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
• Recommended offer: $14k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 69.1% vs local median 5.9% in Martinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#231 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Martinsville City Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #122 of 131 in VA (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Martinsville city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Martinsville County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $12k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $14,453 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 7.64% ✓
• Cap rate: 69.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 224.32%
• DSCR: 10.98
• GRM: 1.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.33×
• Total profit: $47,284
• Equity at exit: $2,222

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 26.23×
• Total profit: $105,245
• Equity at exit: $1,288

Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 24112

• Active inventory: 256
• Price-to-rent: 1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,138 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$78
• Tax from tax record: −$35 /mo · $420/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$239
• Net cashflow: $780

Break-even live

Break-even rent $151

Max offer price $14,900

Occupancy floor 26%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,725
• Closing costs: $447
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
900 Rives Rd Martinsville, VA	2.0	2.0	1248	$850	$0.68	13d	4	0.67mi
1305 Oakgrove Ave Martinsville, VA	4.0	1.0	1085	$1,700	$1.57	43d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-01-08
   status Pending
2. 2025-12-11
   price $14,900
3. 2025-12-05
   listed $24,900 Active
4. 1984-03-01
   soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $420 · $35/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $420 · $35/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,659
• − Mortgage interest: −$835
• − Property taxes: −$420
• − Insurance: −$74
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,093
• − Management: −$1,093
• − Depreciation: −$433
• Taxable income: $9,711
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,331
• After-tax cash flow: $7,028/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Martinsville City Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5102400
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -51.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $31,215
• Composite: 33.43/100
• National rank: #5467
• State rank: #122 of 131 in VA

Livability — Martinsville

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #231
• US rank: #7826

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Martinsville, VA
• County: Martinsville City · 31,028 people
• City population: 31,028
• Metro: Martinsville, VA
• Population (ZIP): 31,028
• Household income: $48,770
• Rent vs Own: 33.0% rent · 67.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 888.0

Population outlook (Martinsville County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,026 people
• By 2030: 12,673 · -2.7%
• By 2040: 11,933 · -8.4%
• By 2050: 11,136 · -14.5%
• By 2075: 9,886 · -24.1%
• By 2100: 8,334 · -36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martinsville

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.6) · D 60.7% · R 38.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.4pp toward R · 2008: 28.0pp · 2024: 22.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.6 2020: D+26.6 2016: D+23.5 2012: D+24.6 2008: D+28.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -95.37%
• Current HPI: 172.4393
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Martinsville, VA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

+24.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2025-12-11 Price Changed $14,900 BRIGHT MLS
• 2025-12-05 Listed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
• 1984-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $420 · +182.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.