14445 Artisan Dr · Fort Worth, TX 76177

$264,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market

Built 2020 5,489 sqft lot Est $279k · 5% under $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +9.8/15.0
• Cash flow +7.3/30.0
• Appreciation +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.6/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.5/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Home is where the heart is, so come fall in love with everything this home has to offer. Home upgrades include updated lighting fixtures, customized wainscoting, and beautiful accent walls. Enjoy the benefit of no backyard neighbors with a peaceful backyard setting and stunning Texas sunset views. This open layout home is complete with quartz countertops, fenced yard, and a security system. The Sendera Ranch Watermill community provides an exclusive pool, playgrounds, and a clubhouse. With less than 10 minutes to all the shopping and entertainment you need, plus 30 minutes to the famous stockyards, this location couldn't be better. Schedule your showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.

Key facts

• Fenced yard
• Split bedrooms
• Updated lighting

Tags

• UPDATED LIGHTING
• CUSTOM WAINSCOTING
• ACCENT WALLS
• FENCED YARD
• BUILT-IN SECURITY SYSTEM
• SPLIT BEDROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Deed restrictions; Possession at closing/funding; Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA loans
• HOA & community: Mandatory association; Annual HOA fee ($503) — includes full use of facilities and management fees; HOA managed by SBB Management

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
• Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
• Utilities: City water; City sewer; Curbs and sidewalks; All-weather road
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Home built in 2020; Home faces East; Subdivision: Sendera Ranch East-Ph 16
• Construction: Brick and fiber cement exterior; Composition roof; Preowned home (built 2020)
• Exterior features: Wood fencing; Interior lot; Landscaped yard; Large backyard with grass; Community pool; Park; Sidewalks

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen island; Built-in cabinets; Natural stone/granite countertops; Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Microwave
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on main level with walk-in closet; Additional bedrooms on main level with split-bedroom layout and walk-in closets
• Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Open floorplan; Window coverings; One living area; One dining area; 7 total rooms; Levels: One
• Laundry & utility: Utility room with full-size washer/dryer area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-348 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (23.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (20.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $203k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
• Northwest ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #120 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: J C Thompson El (math 30% / reading 36%, grade F, #2,208 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 816 students, 37% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Northwest ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 120 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $203,342 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.71%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.64%
• DSCR: 0.75
• GRM: 10.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $279,378
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
14400 Cloudview Way	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,494 (0%)	2mo	$278,000	$186	93
400 Copper Ridge Rd	0.08mi	3/2.0	1,453 (-3%)	2mo	$290,000	$200	90
217 Anvil Dr	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,487 (-0%)	0mo	$271,500	$183	89
14505 Broomstick Rd	0.24mi	3/2.0	1,510 (+1%)	1mo	$299,990	$199	86
452 Falling Star Dr	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,482 (-1%)	2mo	$269,700	$182	81
312 Ranchito Pass	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,493 (-0%)	1mo	$270,000	$181	77
14564 Serrano Ridge Rd	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,354 (-9%)	2mo	$270,000	$199	65
437 Frio Pass Trl	0.16mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,681 (+12%)	2mo	$305,000	$181	65
804 Rio Bravo Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,490 (-0%)	2mo	$245,000	$164	64
14316 Broomstick Rd	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,665 (+11%)	2mo	$318,000	$191	64
716 Salida Rd	0.52mi	3/2.0	1,614 (+8%)	1mo	$324,000	$201	62
14769 Mainstay Way	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,601 (+7%)	2mo	$299,990	$187	58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 0.96% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.08×
• Total profit: $5,629
• Equity at exit: $119,111

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.62×
• Total profit: $46,093
• Equity at exit: $183,564

Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76177

• Rents YoY: 1.0%
• Active inventory: 120
• Price-to-rent: 10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,103 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,389
• Tax from tax record: −$468 /mo · $5,615/yr
• Insurance: −$110
• HOA: −$42
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$442
• Net cashflow: $-348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,544

Max offer price $203,342

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-199	-5% $-273	+0% $-348	+5% $-423	+10% $-498
Rent	-10% $-515	-5% $-432	+0% $-348	+5% $-265	+10% $-182
Rate	-1.0pp $-215	-0.5pp $-281	base $-348	+0.5pp $-417	+1.0pp $-487

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $66,225
• Closing costs: $7,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
14428 Cloudview Way Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1265	$2,250	$1.78	11d	1	0.05mi
14428 Cloudview Way Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1265	$2,250	$1.78	17d	1	0.05mi
14348 Artisan Dr Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1523	$2,050	$1.35	3d	1	0.12mi
357 Gunsmith Way Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,899	$1.46	23d	1	0.16mi
340 Navidad Trl Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1535	$1,920	$1.25	25d	1	0.18mi
444 Frio Pass Trl Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1680	$2,050	$1.22	13d	1	0.22mi
14604 Camino Real Dr Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1681	$2,195	$1.31	25d	1	0.24mi
305 Falling Star Dr Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1725	$1,995	$1.16	44d	1	0.34mi
625 Saguaro Dr Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1521	$2,120	$1.39	44d	1	0.37mi
14201 Serrano Ridge Rd Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1244	$1,909	$1.53	3d	1	0.38mi
421 Pueblo Bonito Trl Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1601	$2,100	$1.31	25d	1	0.40mi
14409 Mainstay Way Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1680	$2,205	$1.31	12d	1	0.42mi
360 Sun Bluff Rd Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1271	$1,810	$1.42	44d	1	0.42mi
332 Dry Canyon Way Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1487	$1,935	$1.30	0d	1	0.45mi
336 Dry Canyon Way Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1268	$2,400	$1.89	25d	1	0.45mi
344 Dry Canyon Way Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1679	$2,590	$1.54	0d	1	0.46mi
321 Ranchito Pass Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1679	$1,929	$1.15	23d	1	0.46mi
14841 Firerock Rd Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1838	$1,860	$1.01	25d	1	0.48mi
14841 Firerock Rd Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1838	$1,981	$1.08	44d	1	0.48mi
565 Pueblo Bonito Trl Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1606	$2,200	$1.37	19d	1	0.56mi
604 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1230	$2,300	$1.87	25d	1	0.57mi
14825 Dusty Boot Trl Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1606	$2,195	$1.37	44d	1	0.59mi
14013 San Christoval Pass Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1268	$1,900	$1.50	44d	1	0.63mi
14000 Silkwood Dr Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1724	$2,050	$1.19	25d	1	0.66mi
14805 Gilley Ln Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1874	$2,400	$1.28	25d	1	0.67mi
652 Rosario Ln Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1576	$1,795	$1.14	25d	1	0.72mi
832 Santa Rosa Dr Haslet, TX	4.0	3.0	1784	$2,325	$1.30	44d	1	0.73mi
14845 Gilley Ln Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1844	$2,395	$1.30	44d	1	0.73mi
745 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1489	$2,090	$1.40	6d	1	0.74mi
652 Ridgeback Trl Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1841	$2,350	$1.28	25d	1	0.75mi
825 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1768	$1,100	$0.62	19d	1	0.81mi
856 Poncho Ln Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1586	$2,350	$1.48	19d	1	0.86mi
900 San Felipe Trl Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1470	$1,995	$1.36	4d	1	0.90mi
14044 Esperanza Dr Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1423	$2,100	$1.48	18d	1	1.00mi
952 Dustwood Dr Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1838	$2,470	$1.34	25d	1	1.04mi
1005 Castle Top Dr Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1516	$1,850	$1.22	44d	1	1.06mi
14353 Snaffle Bit Trl Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1664	$1,919	$1.15	44d	1	1.17mi
15024 Red Sands Trl Haslet, TX	4.0	2.0	1725	$2,200	$1.28	13d	1	1.27mi
15021 Red Sands Trl Haslet, TX	3.0	2.0	1311	$2,045	$1.56	44d	1	1.29mi
15725 Euston TER, Fort Worth, TX 76052 Fort Worth, TX	4.0	2.0	1836	$2,500	$1.36	44d	1	1.31mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $42 · $504/yr
• Likely covers: waterlandscapingpoolsecurity

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $264,900 Active 26 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $264,900 Active 25 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $264,900 Active 24 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $264,900 Active 23 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on market $264,900 Active 21 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $275,000 Active 15 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $275,000 Active 12 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 10 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 9 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 8 DOM
14. 2026-05-20
    listed $275,000 Active
15. 2023-09-05
    soldstatus
16. 2023-08-31
    soldstatus Closed 717-char remark

    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Home is where the heart is, so come fall in love with everything this home has to offer. Home upgrades include updated lighting fixtures, customized wainscoting, and beautiful accent walls. Enjoy the benefit of no backyard neighbors with a peaceful backyard setting and stunning Texas sunset views. This open layout home is complete with quartz countertops, fenced yard, and a security system. The Sendera Ranch Watermill community provides an exclusive pool, playgrounds, and a clubhouse. With less than 10 minutes to all the shopping and entertainment you need, plus 30 minutes to the famous stockyards, this location couldn't be better. Schedule your showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.

17. 2023-08-15
    status Pending 717-char remark

    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Home is where the heart is, so come fall in love with everything this home has to offer. Home upgrades include updated lighting fixtures, customized wainscoting, and beautiful accent walls. Enjoy the benefit of no backyard neighbors with a peaceful backyard setting and stunning Texas sunset views. This open layout home is complete with quartz countertops, fenced yard, and a security system. The Sendera Ranch Watermill community provides an exclusive pool, playgrounds, and a clubhouse. With less than 10 minutes to all the shopping and entertainment you need, plus 30 minutes to the famous stockyards, this location couldn't be better. Schedule your showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.

18. 2023-08-08
    historical Active Option Contract 717-char remark

    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Home is where the heart is, so come fall in love with everything this home has to offer. Home upgrades include updated lighting fixtures, customized wainscoting, and beautiful accent walls. Enjoy the benefit of no backyard neighbors with a peaceful backyard setting and stunning Texas sunset views. This open layout home is complete with quartz countertops, fenced yard, and a security system. The Sendera Ranch Watermill community provides an exclusive pool, playgrounds, and a clubhouse. With less than 10 minutes to all the shopping and entertainment you need, plus 30 minutes to the famous stockyards, this location couldn't be better. Schedule your showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.

19. 2023-08-03
    price $300,000 717-char remark

    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Home is where the heart is, so come fall in love with everything this home has to offer. Home upgrades include updated lighting fixtures, customized wainscoting, and beautiful accent walls. Enjoy the benefit of no backyard neighbors with a peaceful backyard setting and stunning Texas sunset views. This open layout home is complete with quartz countertops, fenced yard, and a security system. The Sendera Ranch Watermill community provides an exclusive pool, playgrounds, and a clubhouse. With less than 10 minutes to all the shopping and entertainment you need, plus 30 minutes to the famous stockyards, this location couldn't be better. Schedule your showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.

20. 2023-06-21
    listed $310,000 Active 717-char remark

    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Home is where the heart is, so come fall in love with everything this home has to offer. Home upgrades include updated lighting fixtures, customized wainscoting, and beautiful accent walls. Enjoy the benefit of no backyard neighbors with a peaceful backyard setting and stunning Texas sunset views. This open layout home is complete with quartz countertops, fenced yard, and a security system. The Sendera Ranch Watermill community provides an exclusive pool, playgrounds, and a clubhouse. With less than 10 minutes to all the shopping and entertainment you need, plus 30 minutes to the famous stockyards, this location couldn't be better. Schedule your showing today and experience everything this home has to offer.

21. 2020-07-06
    soldstatus Sold 672-char remark

    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    The Whitton, with its charming brick exterior and extended covered porch, opens to a long, traditional foyer, which leads directly into the kitchen, the vibrant heart of the 1,487-square-foot design. With GE® appliances, the kitchen features a twin-sink island that overlooks the seamlessly adjacent dining and family rooms. The kitchen provides quartz countertops, also included in the home’s two other baths. As one of the floorplan’s three bedrooms, the master suite, with a spacious walk-in closet, opens directly into the family room, where windows look out onto the lovely backyard, fenced and fully landscaped. This home will be complete JULY 2020!!

22. 2020-05-08
    status Pending 672-char remark

    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    The Whitton, with its charming brick exterior and extended covered porch, opens to a long, traditional foyer, which leads directly into the kitchen, the vibrant heart of the 1,487-square-foot design. With GE® appliances, the kitchen features a twin-sink island that overlooks the seamlessly adjacent dining and family rooms. The kitchen provides quartz countertops, also included in the home’s two other baths. As one of the floorplan’s three bedrooms, the master suite, with a spacious walk-in closet, opens directly into the family room, where windows look out onto the lovely backyard, fenced and fully landscaped. This home will be complete JULY 2020!!

23. 2020-04-21
    listed $212,999 Active 672-char remark

    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    The Whitton, with its charming brick exterior and extended covered porch, opens to a long, traditional foyer, which leads directly into the kitchen, the vibrant heart of the 1,487-square-foot design. With GE® appliances, the kitchen features a twin-sink island that overlooks the seamlessly adjacent dining and family rooms. The kitchen provides quartz countertops, also included in the home’s two other baths. As one of the floorplan’s three bedrooms, the master suite, with a spacious walk-in closet, opens directly into the family room, where windows look out onto the lovely backyard, fenced and fully landscaped. This home will be complete JULY 2020!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $5,615 · $468/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,615 · $468/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,230
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,839
• − Property taxes: −$5,615
• − Insurance: −$1,324
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,018
• − Management: −$2,018
• − HOA: −$504
• − Depreciation: −$7,706
• Taxable loss: −$8,795
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,111
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Northwest ISD
• NCES district ID: 4833180
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $85,315
• Composite: 46.15/100
• National rank: #2504
• State rank: #120 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #49
• US rank: #1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Fort Worth, TX
• County: Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
• City population: 911,619
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 25,012
• Household income: $104,189
• Rent vs Own: 53.6% rent · 46.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 494.0

Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,053,010 people
• By 2030: 1,192,269 · +13.2%
• By 2040: 1,472,920 · +39.9%
• By 2050: 1,746,506 · +65.9%
• By 2075: 2,358,497 · +124.0%
• By 2100: 2,779,183 · +163.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Black 11% Asian 9% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 5% Romanian 4% Danish 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 80% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Denton

• 2024 margin: R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: —
• Current HPI: —
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.96%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+29.1% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $275,000 NTREIS
• 2023-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
• 2023-08-15 Pending — NTREIS
• 2023-08-08 Contingent — NTREIS
• 2023-08-03 Price Changed $300,000 NTREIS
• 2023-06-21 Listed $310,000 NTREIS
• 2020-07-06 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
• 2020-05-08 Pending — NTREIS
• 2020-04-21 Listed $212,999 NTREIS

Property tax history

+36.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,615 · +44.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.