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7383 State Highway 28 🌊 Lakefront
C Composite 55.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0

$149,900

7383 State Highway 28 · Schuyler Lake, NY 13457
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,946 sqft · SingleFamily · 62 Days on market
Built 1900 Good condition 0.27 ac lot $77/sqft · 13% below area Est $172k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This move in ready home is awaiting its new owners. This home has 5 bedrooms, 2 full baths, large living space that can be divided by beautiful French doors, eat-in kitchen with new stainless-steel appliances and ample natural light. This home is nestled in the small town of Exeter and is just moments away from Lake Canadarago . Spend the day at Bakers Beach or go fishing off the boat launch pier, enjoy lake life without the lake front price tag ! Are you a baseball fan or a fan of the Opera? Cooperstown is just a short drive away! This house is perfect as a full-time residence or for an investor looking to expand their portfolio.

Key facts

  • Ample natural light
  • Large living space
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

LARGE LIVING SPACEBEAUTIFUL FRENCH DOORSEAT-IN KITCHENNEW STAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESAMPLE NATURAL LIGHTSHORT DRIVE TO COOPERSTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($723/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (7.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richfield Springs Central School District (rural): math 47% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #575 of 755 in NY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,753 (7.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.72%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,852
List price
$149,900
Delta
-12.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7401 State Highway 28 0.09mi 5/2.0 2,232 (+15%) 5mo $58,000 $26 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$21,914
Equity at exit
$67,402
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$72,689
Equity at exit
$103,874

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13457

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,388 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
  15. 2026-05-03
    historical Active Under Contract 638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (638 chars)

    This move in ready home is awaiting its new owners. This home has 5 bedrooms, 2 full baths, large living space that can be divided by beautiful French doors, eat-in kitchen with new stainless-steel appliances and ample natural light. This home is nestled in the small town of Exeter and is just moments away from Lake Canadarago . Spend the day at Bakers Beach or go fishing off the boat launch pier, enjoy lake life without the lake front price tag ! Are you a baseball fan or a fan of the Opera? Cooperstown is just a short drive away! This house is perfect as a full-time residence or for an investor looking to expand their portfolio.

  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $149,900 Active 638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (638 chars)

    This move in ready home is awaiting its new owners. This home has 5 bedrooms, 2 full baths, large living space that can be divided by beautiful French doors, eat-in kitchen with new stainless-steel appliances and ample natural light. This home is nestled in the small town of Exeter and is just moments away from Lake Canadarago . Spend the day at Bakers Beach or go fishing off the boat launch pier, enjoy lake life without the lake front price tag ! Are you a baseball fan or a fan of the Opera? Cooperstown is just a short drive away! This house is perfect as a full-time residence or for an investor looking to expand their portfolio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,650
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,332
− Management
−$1,332
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,769
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$425
After-tax cash flow
$1,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready home is in good condition with new appliances and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Interior updates (paint, minor repairs) — Improves the home's appearance and appeal to potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Interior updates (paint, minor repairs) — Improves the home's appearance and appeal to potential buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richfield Springs Central School District
NCES district ID
3624570
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$44,046
Composite
40.3/100
National rank
#7785
State rank
#575 of 755 in NY

Livability — Schuyler Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Schuyler Lake, NY
City population
38
Population (ZIP)
38

Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,987 people
By 2030
55,403 · -4.5%
By 2040
50,336 · -13.2%
By 2050
45,715 · -21.2%
By 2075
38,769 · -33.1%
By 2100
33,468 · -42.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Iranian 21% Hungarian 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Otsego

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 46.1% · R 53.9%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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