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1003 E Washington
B+ Composite 77.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,500

1003 E Washington · Kirksville, MO 63501
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1920 5,832 sqft lot $62/sqft · 48% below area Est $106k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A charming porch will welcome you into this recently updated home offering 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Large backyard with storage building included. Call Zach Springer today at 660.341.2405 for a showing!

Key facts

  • Charming porch
  • Large backyard
  • Storage building

Tags

CHARMING PORCHLARGE BACKYARDSTORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($865 rent vs $54k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $377 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $54k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $51,230 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
13.81%
Cash-on-cash
26.86%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,510
List price
$54,500
Delta
-48.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
816 S Baltimore St 0.45mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+13%) 1mo $149,000 $149 56
206 E Cottonwood St 0.55mi 2/1.0 932 (+5%) 24mo $31,500 $34 45
813 N Florence 0.52mi 2/1.0 768 (-13%) 11mo $68,000 $89 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$12,762
Equity at exit
$8,126
10-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$38,457
Equity at exit
$4,712

Cash invested: $15,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63501

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$865 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$286
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $401/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $433
Max offer price $54,500
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,625
Closing costs
$1,635
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
810 S Baltimore St Apt 4 Kirksville, MO 1.0 1.0 550 $1,500 $2.73 44d 1 0.44mi
202 E Jefferson St Kirksville, MO 1.0 1.0 537 $470 $0.87 44d 2 0.50mi
107 N Main St Apt 3 Kirksville, MO 1.0 1.0 650 $585 $0.90 44d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $54,500 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,500 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,500 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,500 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,500 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $54,500 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 269-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $54,500 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,500 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,500 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,500 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,500 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,500 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,500 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,500 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,500 Active 61 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,500 Active 60 DOM
  18. 2026-03-31
    listed $54,500 Active 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    A charming porch will welcome you into this recently updated home offering 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Large backyard with storage building included. Call Zach Springer today at 660.341.2405 for a showing!

  19. 2021-01-28
    soldstatus 133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    This 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow is great for an investor or a starter home. This home features a great back yard and additional shed.

  20. 2021-01-28
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    This 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow is great for an investor or a starter home. This home features a great back yard and additional shed.

  21. 2020-11-20
    listed $35,900 133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    This 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow is great for an investor or a starter home. This home features a great back yard and additional shed.

  22. 2001-05-01
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$401 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$529 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$128/yr (+$11/mo · 31.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,383
− Mortgage interest
−$3,053
− Property taxes
−$401
− Insurance
−$272
− Repairs & maintenance
−$831
− Management
−$831
− Depreciation
−$1,585
Taxable income
$3,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$818
After-tax cash flow
$3,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kirksville R-III
NCES district ID
2916740
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,570
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6037
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kirksville

Score
67/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#10590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirksville, MO
County
Adair County · 21,218 people
City population
21,218
Metro
Kirksville, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,218
Household income
$60,729
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,570 people
By 2030
25,728 · +0.6%
By 2040
25,556 · -0.1%
By 2050
25,811 · +0.9%
By 2075
29,164 · +14.1%
By 2100
31,846 · +24.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.58%
Current HPI
168.7332
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Kirksville, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+263.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $54,500 NECAR
  • 2021-01-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-01-28 Sold (MLS) NECAR
  • 2020-11-20 Listed $35,900 NECAR
  • 2001-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $401 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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