1003 E Washington · Kirksville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A charming porch will welcome you into this recently updated home offering 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Large backyard with storage building included. Call Zach Springer today at 660.341.2405 for a showing!
Key facts
- Charming porch
- Large backyard
- Storage building
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($865 rent vs $54k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $377 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $54k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.86%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,510
- List price
- $54,500
- Delta
- -48.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 816 S Baltimore St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (+13%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $149 | 56 |
| 206 E Cottonwood St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 932 (+5%) | 24mo | $31,500 | $34 | 45 |
| 813 N Florence | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-13%) | 11mo | $68,000 | $89 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $12,762
- Equity at exit
- $8,126
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $38,457
- Equity at exit
- $4,712
Cash invested: $15,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63501
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $865 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$286
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $401/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$182
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,625
- Closing costs
- $1,635
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 S Baltimore St Apt 4 Kirksville, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,500 | $2.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 202 E Jefferson St Kirksville, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 537 | $470 | $0.87 | 44d | 2 | 0.50mi |
| 107 N Main St Apt 3 Kirksville, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $585 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $54,500 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $54,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 269-char remark
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $54,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-31$54,500 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
A charming porch will welcome you into this recently updated home offering 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Large backyard with storage building included. Call Zach Springer today at 660.341.2405 for a showing!
-
2021-01-28soldstatus 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow is great for an investor or a starter home. This home features a great back yard and additional shed.
-
2021-01-28soldstatus
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow is great for an investor or a starter home. This home features a great back yard and additional shed.
-
2020-11-20$35,900 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow is great for an investor or a starter home. This home features a great back yard and additional shed.
-
2001-05-01soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $401 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $529 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$128/yr (+$11/mo · 31.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,053
- − Property taxes
- −$401
- − Insurance
- −$272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$831
- − Management
- −$831
- − Depreciation
- −$1,585
- Taxable income
- $3,410
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$818
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kirksville R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2916740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,570
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6037
- State rank
- #194 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kirksville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #10590
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kirksville, MO
- County
- Adair County · 21,218 people
- City population
- 21,218
- Metro
- Kirksville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,218
- Household income
- $60,729
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 702.0
Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,570 people
- By 2030
- 25,728 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 25,556 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 25,811 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 29,164 · +14.1%
- By 2100
- 31,846 · +24.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.58%
- Current HPI
- 168.7332
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.82%
- Metro
- Kirksville, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+263.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $54,500 NECAR
- 2021-01-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-28 Sold (MLS) — NECAR
- 2020-11-20 Listed $35,900 NECAR
- 2001-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $401 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…