🏷️ Likely Rental
149 Georgia St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$194,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Solid Investment Opportunity in the Heart of Clinton Park! Discover 149 Georgia St—a rare find featuring two spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom units. Perfect for the savvy investor looking for a "plug and play" property, both units are already tenant-occupied. Property has newer double-pane windows, water heaters are less than 6 yrs old and sits on a generous lot with quick access to I-10, 610 and the Houston Ship Channel. With the 77029 area seeing steady appreciation and infrastructure growth, makes for a great investment opportunity.
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Double-pane windows
- 6,541 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available
- Home design: Residential income property; Built in 1960
- Construction: Composition roofing
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot approximately 6,541 square feet
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 total units (multi-unit property)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Seller disclosure available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $194k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (3.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pleasantville El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 233 students, 97% FRL); Holland Middle (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 644 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $54k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.31%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,410
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Owens St | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 | 1,668 (+14%) | 20mo | $338,000 | $203 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $112,363
- Equity at exit
- $174,771
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.00×
- Total profit
- $325,767
- Equity at exit
- $376,899
Cash invested: $54,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77029
- Home prices YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,017
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,412/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $159 | +0% $104 | +5% $50 | +10% $-5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-44 | -5% $30 | +0% $104 | +5% $179 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $202 | -0.5pp $154 | base $104 | +0.5pp $54 | +1.0pp $3 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,500
- Closing costs
- $5,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 N Carolina St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 8d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 205 Bolden St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 403 Armstrong St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,435 | $1.58 | 6d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 423 Armstrong St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,515 | $1.39 | 2d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 311 Massachusetts St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 9821 Turnbow St Unit C Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,720 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2216 3rd St Galena Park, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9710 Tuffly St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,795 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9709 Cargill St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,300 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8534 Fillmore St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,600 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $194,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $194,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-11$230,000 Active 481-char remark
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-11$23,000
-
2013-08-14soldstatus
-
2013-08-13soldstatus Sold
-
2013-07-28status Pending
-
2013-07-13price $42,500
-
2013-06-10price $49,777
-
2013-05-26price $52,500
-
2013-05-13$62,000 Active
-
2006-04-03soldstatus
-
2005-05-06soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,412 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,550 · $296/mo
- Expected delta
- +$139/yr (+$12/mo · 4.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,586
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,867
- − Property taxes
- −$3,412
- − Insurance
- −$970
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − Depreciation
- −$5,644
- Taxable loss
- −$1,920
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$461
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,154
- Household income
- $48,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 457.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 66%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 61%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.53%
- Current HPI
- 276.1811
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+212.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $194,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $215,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $23,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $230,000 HARMLS
- 2013-08-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-13 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-07-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-07-13 Price Changed $42,500 HARMLS
- 2013-06-10 Price Changed $49,777 HARMLS
- 2013-05-26 Price Changed $52,500 HARMLS
- 2013-05-13 Listed $62,000 HARMLS
- 2006-04-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,412 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…