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16141 Manor St
C Composite 56.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.4/15.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

16141 Manor St · Detroit, MI 48221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,262 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1946 3,920 sqft lot $71/sqft · 14% above area Est $79k · 14% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful brick colonial 3 bedroom 1.5 bath ready for move in. Great starter home. Price reflects the fact that the home is in need of some repairs and updates.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1946
  • Listed 127 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.72%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,277
List price
$90,000
Delta
13.53%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16516 Appoline St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+7%) 1mo $39,500 $29 80
15771 Birwood St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,290 (+2%) 0mo $128,995 $100 79
16176 Tracey St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,270 (+1%) 0mo $70,000 $55 67
16800 Ilene St 0.46mi 3/2.5 1,298 (+3%) 1mo $210,000 $162 67
16180 Snowden St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,137 (-10%) 0mo $61,000 $54 64
15824 Snowden St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,127 (-11%) 0mo $61,000 $54 61
15824 Snowden St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,127 (-11%) 0mo $61,000 $54 61
14931 Monte Vista St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,307 (+4%) 0mo $35,000 $27 58
17161 Ward Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,377 (+9%) 2mo $194,500 $141 53
16863 Tracey St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-5%) 2mo $165,000 $138 52
17147 Appoline St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-13%) 1mo $170,000 $155 50
15770 Stansbury St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-13%) 1mo $50,000 $45 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$469
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$21,834
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48221

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,312 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$302 /mo · $3,625/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,027
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 44d 1 0.16mi
15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 44d 1 0.23mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 44d 1 0.32mi
15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 931 $1,200 $1.29 5d 1 0.35mi
15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.35mi
15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,100 $0.88 5d 1 0.37mi
15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.43mi
15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1093 $950 $0.87 44d 1 0.45mi
16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,100 $0.85 17d 1 0.55mi
16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1516 $1,400 $0.92 20d 1 0.56mi
16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 18d 1 0.59mi
16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1370 $1,400 $1.02 44d 1 0.62mi
15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 5d 1 0.65mi
16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 44d 1 0.66mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 17d 1 0.67mi
15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1294 $1,275 $0.99 22d 1 0.69mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 24d 1 0.72mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 11d 1 0.73mi
16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,345 $0.79 44d 1 0.73mi
15791 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1792 $1,100 $0.61 44d 1 0.75mi
17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 44d 1 0.77mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 13d 1 0.78mi
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 24d 1 0.78mi
15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 24d 1 0.89mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.91mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 17d 1 0.92mi
17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1122 $975 $0.87 5d 1 0.95mi
17195 Northlawn St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 20d 1 0.97mi
17195 Northlawn St #2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 24d 1 0.97mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 17d 1 0.97mi
15771 Turner St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 44d 1 1.05mi
18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 1.08mi
16255 Lilac St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,394 $1.06 17d 1 1.12mi
16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 17d 1 1.14mi
17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 24d 1 1.15mi
17368 Woodingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,800 $1.50 44d 1 1.20mi
15810 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 24d 1 1.22mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 3d 1 1.23mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 1.24mi
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 15d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-01-27
    listed $90,000 Active 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    Beautiful brick colonial 3 bedroom 1.5 bath ready for move in. Great starter home. Price reflects the fact that the home is in need of some repairs and updates.

  5. 2025-04-07
    historical
  6. 2025-04-07
    historical
  7. 2024-12-31
    price $99,000
  8. 2024-12-31
    price $99,000
  9. 2024-11-30
    price $105,000
  10. 2024-11-30
    price $105,000
  11. 2024-10-14
    listed $115,000 Active
  12. 2024-10-14
    listed $115,000 Active
  13. 2024-08-02
    historical
  14. 2024-08-02
    historical
  15. 2024-07-12
    price $125,000
  16. 2024-07-11
    price $125,000
  17. 2024-03-08
    listed $150,000 Active
  18. 2024-03-08
    listed $150,000 Active
  19. 2022-08-03
    soldstatus $88,000
  20. 2020-08-13
    soldstatus $37,000 Sold
  21. 2020-08-13
    soldstatus $37,000 Closed
  22. 2020-07-15
    status Pending
  23. 2020-07-15
    status Pending
  24. 2020-07-02
    listed $42,500 Active
  25. 2020-07-02
    listed $42,500 Active
  26. 2007-09-29
    historical
  27. 2007-04-04
    listed $118,000
  28. 2007-03-18
    historical
  29. 2006-09-19
    listed $124,900
  30. 2004-09-15
    soldstatus $65,000
  31. 2004-05-13
    listed $83,900
  32. 2004-05-13
    historical
  33. 2004-05-11
    historical
  34. 2004-04-05
    listed $99,900
  35. 2004-04-05
    listed $99,900
  36. 2004-04-05
    listed $99,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,625 · $302/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,625 · $302/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,746
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$3,625
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,260
− Management
−$1,260
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$1,492
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$358
After-tax cash flow
$2,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,392
Household income
$57,878
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -433.14%
Current HPI
280.5434
Rent YoY
▲ 3.44%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.9% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $90,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-04-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-31 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-30 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-30 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-14 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-14 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-12 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-11 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-03-08 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-13 Sold (MLS) $37,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-13 Sold (MLS) $37,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-15 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-02 Listed $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-02 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-09-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-04-04 Listed $118,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-03-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-09-19 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-09-15 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-05-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-05-13 Listed $83,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-05-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-04-05 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-04-05 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-04-05 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,625 · -38.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…