16141 Manor St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.4/15.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful brick colonial 3 bedroom 1.5 bath ready for move in. Great starter home. Price reflects the fact that the home is in need of some repairs and updates.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1946
- Listed 127 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.72%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,277
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 13.53%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16516 Appoline St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (+7%) | 1mo | $39,500 | $29 | 80 |
| 15771 Birwood St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,290 (+2%) | 0mo | $128,995 | $100 | 79 |
| 16176 Tracey St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+1%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $55 | 67 |
| 16800 Ilene St | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,298 (+3%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $162 | 67 |
| 16180 Snowden St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,137 (-10%) | 0mo | $61,000 | $54 | 64 |
| 15824 Snowden St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,127 (-11%) | 0mo | $61,000 | $54 | 61 |
| 15824 Snowden St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,127 (-11%) | 0mo | $61,000 | $54 | 61 |
| 14931 Monte Vista St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,307 (+4%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $27 | 58 |
| 17161 Ward Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,377 (+9%) | 2mo | $194,500 | $141 | 53 |
| 16863 Tracey St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-5%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $138 | 52 |
| 17147 Appoline St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-13%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $155 | 50 |
| 15770 Stansbury St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-13%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $45 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $469
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $21,834
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48221
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,312 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$302 /mo · $3,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16204 Steel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $950 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 16230 Indiana St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,275 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 11d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15791 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,100 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 17159 Northlawn St Unit 17161 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $975 | $0.87 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 17195 Northlawn St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 20d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 17195 Northlawn St #2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 15771 Turner St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 16255 Lilac St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,394 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 17368 Woodingham Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 15810 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 16151 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,525 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-01-27$90,000 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Beautiful brick colonial 3 bedroom 1.5 bath ready for move in. Great starter home. Price reflects the fact that the home is in need of some repairs and updates.
-
2025-04-07historical
-
2025-04-07historical
-
2024-12-31price $99,000
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2024-12-31price $99,000
-
2024-11-30price $105,000
-
2024-11-30price $105,000
-
2024-10-14$115,000 Active
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2024-10-14$115,000 Active
-
2024-08-02historical
-
2024-08-02historical
-
2024-07-12price $125,000
-
2024-07-11price $125,000
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2024-03-08$150,000 Active
-
2024-03-08$150,000 Active
-
2022-08-03soldstatus $88,000
-
2020-08-13soldstatus $37,000 Sold
-
2020-08-13soldstatus $37,000 Closed
-
2020-07-15status Pending
-
2020-07-15status Pending
-
2020-07-02$42,500 Active
-
2020-07-02$42,500 Active
-
2007-09-29historical
-
2007-04-04$118,000
-
2007-03-18historical
-
2006-09-19$124,900
-
2004-09-15soldstatus $65,000
-
2004-05-13$83,900
-
2004-05-13historical
-
2004-05-11historical
-
2004-04-05$99,900
-
2004-04-05$99,900
-
2004-04-05$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,625 · $302/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,625 · $302/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,746
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$3,625
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,260
- − Management
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $1,492
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$358
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,392
- Household income
- $57,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1646.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -433.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.5434
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-9.9% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Listed $90,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-04-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-31 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-31 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-30 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-30 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-14 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-14 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-08-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-08-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-07-12 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-11 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-03-08 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-08 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-13 Sold (MLS) $37,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-13 Sold (MLS) $37,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-07-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-07-02 Listed $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-02 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-09-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-04-04 Listed $118,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-03-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-09-19 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-09-15 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-05-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-05-13 Listed $83,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-05-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-04-05 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-04-05 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-04-05 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,625 · -38.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…