123 Wilhelm Dr · Beaver, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 123 Wilhelm Dr! This home is already on its way to a refreshed, modern layout and is set up to be a 3 bed, 2 bath—perfect for an investor or buyer looking to finish and customize. As you arrive, you’ll find off-street parking w/ a driveway and a 1-car integral garage for added convenience. Exterior updates include newer siding, soffit, fascia, gutters, and a new roof for added curb appeal and peace of mind. Inside, the rehab has begun w/ updated electrical throughout, new HVAC, and newly framed walls that open up the space to create a more modern, functional flow. Brand new windows have just been installed, bringing in great natural light and improved effic
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- Driveway
- Integral garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Built-in parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: 1.24-acre lot; Public transportation nearby
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Basement; Hardwood floors
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.0% in Beaver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#37 in PA, #203 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.54%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,748
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -55.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123 Wilhelm Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $93 | 95 |
| 242 Stone Quarry Rd | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (-7%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $155 | 60 |
| 300 Center Manor Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,194 (+11%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 142 Wickham Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-7%) | 7mo | $227,500 | $226 | 57 |
| 286 Todd Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,152 (+7%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $200 | 55 |
| 102 Morgan Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,134 (+5%) | 10mo | $59,000 | $52 | 54 |
| 111 Crest Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,166 (+8%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $223 | 54 |
| 152 Wickham Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 996 (-8%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $211 | 50 |
| 161 Warrencliff Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,168 (+8%) | 6mo | $229,900 | $197 | 48 |
| 107 Oakcrest Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,137 (+5%) | 15mo | $280,000 | $246 | 45 |
| 1281 Chapel Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (+12%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $230 | 38 |
| 125 York Way | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,228 (+14%) | 14mo | $225,700 | $184 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,882
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $42,268
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15061
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,403 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,595/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $409
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 Milne Dr Monaca, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 897 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 1d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 204 Katerina Dr Monaca, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1467 | $1,610 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1003 Locust Dr Monaca, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1320 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1228 Eckert Rd Monaca, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,550 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1021-char remark
-
2026-05-05$100,000 Active 1021-char remark
-
1977-07-01soldstatus $43,300
-
1971-12-01soldstatus $20,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,595 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,595 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,595
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,347
- − Management
- −$1,347
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,534
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$848
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,062/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Beaver
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #203
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Beaver County · 116,001 people
- City population
- 15,565
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,413
- Household income
- $73,010
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 123.0
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.11%
- Current HPI
- 232.6703
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+387.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $100,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $100,000 West Penn MLS
- 1977-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,300 Public Records
- 1971-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,595 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…