Duplex
1022 S Geddes St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT INVESTOR OR OWNER OCCUPANT OPPORTUNITY. Fully occupied. One four bedroom and 2 one bedroom apartments. Full attic on third floor.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Two family home
- 3,153 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 119.2% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,932/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $30k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 13.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 119.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 403.33%
- DSCR
- 18.95
- GRM
- 0.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,784
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Putnam St | 0.20mi | 6/2.0 | 2,362 (-3%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $55 | 77 |
| 431 Elliott St #33 | 0.26mi | 6/3.0 | 2,325 (-4%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $56 | 77 |
| 214 Rowland St | 0.11mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,092 (-14%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $86 | 60 |
| 115 Rider Ave | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,528 (+4%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $62 | 56 |
| 202 Slocum Ave | 0.65mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,362 (-3%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $28 | 55 |
| 164 Hudson St #66 | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,496 (+3%) | 5mo | $90,250 | $36 | 54 |
| 417 Roberts Ave #19 | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 | 2,304 (-5%) | 4mo | $252,550 | $110 | 54 |
| 517 Stolp Ave #19 | 0.53mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,224 (-9%) | 8mo | $258,000 | $116 | 49 |
| 107 Gordon Ave #9 | 0.61mi | 6/2.0 | 2,700 (+11%) | 2mo | $306,500 | $114 | 47 |
| 312 Seymour St | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,676 (+10%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $22 | 37 |
| 222 Rich St | 0.66mi | 6/2.0 | 2,112 (-13%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $26 | 36 |
| 315 Wolcott Ave | 0.73mi | 6/2.0 | 2,724 (+12%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $97 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 26.85×
- Total profit
- $216,394
- Equity at exit
- $26,936
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 66.46×
- Total profit
- $548,010
- Equity at exit
- $58,089
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13204
- Home prices YoY
- 31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 1.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,932 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,478/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$826
- Net cashflow
- $2,814
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,920 | -5% $2,910 | +0% $2,814 | +5% $2,805 | +10% $2,797 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,503 | -5% $2,659 | +0% $2,814 | +5% $2,969 | +10% $3,125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,829 | -0.5pp $2,821 | base $2,814 | +0.5pp $2,806 | +1.0pp $2,798 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.2 | $3,932 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.2 | $1,966 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.2 | $1,966 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,932 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367 Furman St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3138 | $1,800 | $0.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2024-11-21status Pending
-
2024-11-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-11-13$29,900 Active
-
2016-02-04soldstatus $17,000
-
2015-04-06soldstatus $26,000
-
2013-08-05soldstatus $24,000
-
2013-07-31soldstatus $24,000 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
GREAT INVESTOR OR OWNER OCCUPANT OPPORTUNITY. Fully occupied. One four bedroom and 2 one bedroom apartments. Full attic on third floor.
-
2011-09-06$28,000 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
GREAT INVESTOR OR OWNER OCCUPANT OPPORTUNITY. Fully occupied. One four bedroom and 2 one bedroom apartments. Full attic on third floor.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,478 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,478 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$1,478
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,775
- − Management
- −$3,775
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $35,463
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,256/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,440
- Household income
- $45,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2073.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 100.14%
- Current HPI
- 416.7272
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+6.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2024-11-21 Pending — CNYIS
- 2024-11-20 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2024-11-13 Listed $29,900 CNYIS
- 2016-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 2013-07-31 Sold (MLS) $24,000 CNYIS
- 2011-09-06 Listed $28,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,478 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…