4253 Cypress Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A-1 prime rental, in n good condition !
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Cathedral ceilings
- Great room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 9.4% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Timberlawn Elementary School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #334 of 375 statewide, top 89%, 353 students, 100% FRL); Bailey Middle Apac School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #18 of 179 statewide, top 10%, 247 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.48%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,273
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -29.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4336 Cypress Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (+9%) | 1mo | $96,900 | $81 | 78 |
| 4271 Cypress Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (+11%) | 8mo | $107,900 | $88 | 72 |
| 38 Cedar Pl | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+2%) | 5mo | $79,000 | $70 | 70 |
| 5551 Will O Run Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,138 (+4%) | 8mo | $99,900 | $88 | 65 |
| 5513 Dogwood Trl | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,219 (+11%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $107 | 57 |
| 4033 Will O Run Dr | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,133 (+3%) | 22mo | $119,900 | $106 | 51 |
| 4014 Will O Run Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,158 (+6%) | 22mo | $119,900 | $104 | 50 |
| 444 Greenmont Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+10%) | 5mo | $124,900 | $103 | 45 |
| 5526 Dogwood Trl | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 20mo | $109,500 | $88 | 41 |
| 4869 Cottonwood Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,221 (+11%) | 17mo | $112,500 | $92 | 39 |
| 4953 Oak Leaf Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (+13%) | 17mo | $116,000 | $93 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $15,173
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $57,404
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.2 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $119,950 ($93/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 71 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +31.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 362
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $780/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $454
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $507 | -5% $480 | +0% $454 | +5% $427 | +10% $400 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $348 | -5% $401 | +0% $454 | +5% $506 | +10% $559 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $501 | -0.5pp $478 | base $454 | +0.5pp $429 | +1.0pp $404 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2750 N Siwell Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $975 | $1.15 | 63d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4954 Hanging Oak Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,215 | $1.12 | 93d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1457 Lakeview Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,426 | $1.11 | 63d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1478 Bass Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,525 | $1.47 | 63d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Living area reported as 1,098 (per public records)
- HOA & community
- Community features: Other
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered carport spacesDriveway with concrete surfaceTotal parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single family residence (house)One story
- Construction
- Asbestos and brick constructionArchitectural shingle roofSlab foundationBuilt (year per public records)
- Exterior features
- Back yard fencingOther exterior features
Interior
- Flooring
- Wood flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (natural gas)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- High ceilingsWindow treatments with wood framesWood burning stove in the great room
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry closet with washer hookup on the main levelGas water heater
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $94,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $94,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $94,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $94,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $94,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $94,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $94,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $94,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $94,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $94,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $94,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $94,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-21statusdays on market $94,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $94,900 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$94,900 Active 675-char remark
-
2020-03-30soldstatus 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
A-1 prime rental, in n good condition ! $900/Month long term tenant
-
2020-03-30soldstatus
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
A-1 prime rental, in n good condition ! $900/Month long term tenant
-
2019-10-29$60,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
A-1 prime rental, in n good condition ! $900/Month long term tenant
-
2013-08-06soldstatus
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Small cozy home with family, dining, 3br/2ba. Great opportunity for first time buyers with FHA203K financing. Owner occupants can purchase this home with little as $100 down payment This is for owner occupants purchasing a HUD Home with FHA financing. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS WITH NO DISCLSOURES. CASE#281-245307 FHA Financing. UI (UNINSURED)203K Eligible:Yes. EHO Language: Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2013-08-06soldstatus
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Small cozy home with family, dining, 3br/2ba. Great opportunity for first time buyers with FHA203K financing. Owner occupants can purchase this home with little as $100 down payment This is for owner occupants purchasing a HUD Home with FHA financing. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS WITH NO DISCLSOURES. CASE#281-245307 FHA Financing. UI (UNINSURED)203K Eligible:Yes. EHO Language: Equal Housing Opportunity
-
2013-06-18$20,000
Show marketing remark (396 chars)
Small cozy home with family, dining, 3br/2ba. Great opportunity for first time buyers with FHA203K financing. Owner occupants can purchase this home with little as $100 down payment This is for owner occupants purchasing a HUD Home with FHA financing. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS WITH NO DISCLSOURES. CASE#281-245307 FHA Financing. UI (UNINSURED)203K Eligible:Yes. EHO Language: Equal Housing Opportunity
-
1996-06-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $780 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $780 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,037
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$780
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $4,140
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$994
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This single-family home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, particularly to the exterior and driveway. Landscaping and repairs to the driveway and exterior paint would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major Driveway — Cracked concrete
- Major Exterior paint — Exposed brick veneer
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Driveway repair — Improves property value and functionality ↑
- Both Exterior paint — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 242,528 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+374.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-15 Listed $94,900 MLSU
- 2020-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-03-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2019-10-29 Listed $60,000 MLSU
- 2013-08-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-06 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-06-18 Listed $20,000 MLSU
- 1996-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $780 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…