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4253 Cypress Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

4253 Cypress Dr · Jackson, MS 39212
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,098 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1991 7,840 sqft lot $86/sqft · 30% below area Est $135k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A-1 prime rental, in n good condition ! $900/Month long term tenant

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Cathedral ceilings
  • Great room

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANGREAT ROOMCATHEDRAL CEILINGSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEWALK IN CLOSETWOOD STYLE FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,098 (per public records)
  • HOA & community: Community features: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered carport spaces; Driveway with concrete surface; Total parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story
  • Construction: Asbestos and brick construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Window treatments with wood frames; Wood burning stove in the great room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet with washer hookup on the main level; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $94,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$135,306) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Timberlawn Elementary School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #334 of 375 statewide, top 89%, 353 students, 100% FRL); Bailey Middle Apac School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade B-, #18 of 179 statewide, top 10%, 247 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,476 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.03%
Cash-on-cash
20.48%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,306
List price
$94,900
Delta
-29.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4271 Cypress Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,222 (+11%) 6mo $107,900 $88 74
38 Cedar Pl 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+2%) 4mo $79,000 $70 72
5551 Will O Run Cir 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,138 (+4%) 6mo $99,900 $88 66
5513 Dogwood Trl 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,219 (+11%) 2mo $130,000 $107 59
4033 Will O Run Dr 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,133 (+3%) 21mo $119,900 $106 52
4014 Will O Run Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,158 (+6%) 21mo $119,900 $104 51
444 Greenmont Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+10%) 4mo $124,900 $103 46
5526 Dogwood Trl 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+14%) 18mo $109,500 $88 42
5536 Tiki Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,042 (-5%) 23mo $62,500 $60 42
4869 Cottonwood Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,221 (+11%) 16mo $112,500 $92 40
4953 Oak Leaf Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,244 (+13%) 15mo $116,000 $93 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$15,173
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$57,404
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $780/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $762
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $507 -5% $480 +0% $454 +5% $427 +10% $400
Rent -10% $348 -5% $401 +0% $454 +5% $506 +10% $559
Rate -1.0pp $501 -0.5pp $478 base $454 +0.5pp $429 +1.0pp $404

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2750 N Siwell Rd Jackson, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 15d 1 0.78mi
4954 Hanging Oak Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,215 $1.12 45d 1 0.84mi
1457 Lakeview Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,426 $1.11 15d 1 1.43mi
1478 Bass Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1036 $1,525 $1.47 15d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $94,900 Pending 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-05-15
    listed $94,900 Active 675-char remark
  13. 2020-03-30
    soldstatus 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    A-1 prime rental, in n good condition ! $900/Month long term tenant

  14. 2020-03-30
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    A-1 prime rental, in n good condition ! $900/Month long term tenant

  15. 2019-10-29
    listed $60,000 67-char remark
    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    A-1 prime rental, in n good condition ! $900/Month long term tenant

  16. 2013-08-06
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Small cozy home with family, dining, 3br/2ba. Great opportunity for first time buyers with FHA203K financing. Owner occupants can purchase this home with little as $100 down payment This is for owner occupants purchasing a HUD Home with FHA financing. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS WITH NO DISCLSOURES. CASE#281-245307 FHA Financing. UI (UNINSURED)203K Eligible:Yes. EHO Language: Equal Housing Opportunity

  17. 2013-08-06
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Small cozy home with family, dining, 3br/2ba. Great opportunity for first time buyers with FHA203K financing. Owner occupants can purchase this home with little as $100 down payment This is for owner occupants purchasing a HUD Home with FHA financing. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS WITH NO DISCLSOURES. CASE#281-245307 FHA Financing. UI (UNINSURED)203K Eligible:Yes. EHO Language: Equal Housing Opportunity

  18. 2013-06-18
    listed $20,000
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Small cozy home with family, dining, 3br/2ba. Great opportunity for first time buyers with FHA203K financing. Owner occupants can purchase this home with little as $100 down payment This is for owner occupants purchasing a HUD Home with FHA financing. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS WITH NO DISCLSOURES. CASE#281-245307 FHA Financing. UI (UNINSURED)203K Eligible:Yes. EHO Language: Equal Housing Opportunity

  19. 1996-06-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$780 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$780 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,037
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$780
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$4,140
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$994
After-tax cash flow
$4,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+374.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $94,900 MLSU
  • 2020-03-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-30 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2019-10-29 Listed $60,000 MLSU
  • 2013-08-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-08-06 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2013-06-18 Listed $20,000 MLSU
  • 1996-06-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $780 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…