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🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

2662 Village Green Ln · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,791 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1970 8,276 sqft lot $25/sqft · 64% below area Est $62k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity at 2662 Village Green Lane, Macon, GA 31206-an established residential property located in a stable rental corridor. This home offers strong long-term hold potential in a neighborhood with consistent tenant demand and convenient access to schools, shopping, and major highways. Ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio with a low-maintenance asset that can generate steady rental income and benefit from long-term appreciation in the Macon market.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970
  • Listed 46 days

Tags

STABLE RENTAL CORRIDORLONG-TERM HOLD POTENTIALCONSISTENT TENANT DEMANDCONVENIENT ACCESS TO SCHOOLSCONVENIENT ACCESS TO SHOPPINGLOW-MAINTENANCE ASSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in Macon, GA 31206 (Bibb County)
  • HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking with a parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / sewer connected; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential house; Fixer condition; Built in 1970
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Building area approx. 900 (public records)
  • Exterior features: Lot approx. 0.19 acres (public records); No special lot features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total, including 1 bedroom on the lower level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, including 1 full bathroom on the lower level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Multi/split levels; No basement; Living area approx. 900 (public records)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $45,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$61,963) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 35.5% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Southfield Elementary School (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #1,158 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 737 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,741/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $45k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.87%
Cap rate
35.48%
Cash-on-cash
104.25%
DSCR
5.64
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,963
List price
$45,000
Delta
-27.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2972 Richard Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+2%) 1mo $154,900 $85 58
2948 Richard Dr 0.63mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,866 (+4%) 11mo $155,000 $83 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.24×
Total profit
$66,063
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.92×
Total profit
$162,847
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
209
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,741 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $308/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$1,095

Break-even live

Break-even rent $355
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,120 -5% $1,107 +0% $1,095 +5% $1,082 +10% $1,069
Rent -10% $957 -5% $1,026 +0% $1,095 +5% $1,163 +10% $1,232
Rate -1.0pp $1,117 -0.5pp $1,106 base $1,095 +0.5pp $1,083 +1.0pp $1,071

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2621 Village Green Ln Macon, GA 5.0 2.0 1284 $1,750 $1.36 44d 1 0.03mi
2418 Adger Rd Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1365 $1,500 $1.10 44d 1 0.61mi
4300 Essex Rd Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1246 $1,450 $1.16 22d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $45,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 24 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    status Under Contract 481-char remark
  19. 2026-04-23
    listed $45,000 New 481-char remark
  20. 1982-09-17
    soldstatus $24,915

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$308 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$414 · $34/mo
Expected delta
+$106/yr (+$9/mo · 34.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,887
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$308
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,671
− Management
−$1,671
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$13,182
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,164
After-tax cash flow
$9,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
  • 1982-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $24,915 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $308 · +43.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…