8701 Banyan Bay Blvd · Harlem Heights, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$449,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A Beautiful Gated 3/2 w/ den, pool home in a Great location! Just minutes to Beaches, Shopping, Library, Restaurants and much more. This home has Many Customized features. Tile Roof, Gorgeous True Wood Floors, 18 Tile floors, Ceiling Fans, Tray Ceilings to mention a few. A Upgraded kitchen w/ custom made Cabinets, Corian Counter Tops. Tiled Backsplash, Stainless Steel Appliances. Tons of Storage & Huge Breakfast Bar. A Open Floor Plan to the living room with its custom made Fireplace, for those cooler nights. A large size dining room to enjoy family gatherings. A nice den or office offers custom Granite built-ins. A Beautiful & Unique Handcrafted Wood door. Two guest rooms separated from the master, providing privacy for all. The elegant Master Bedroom is one of a kind. Gorgeous wood floors, Handcrafted wall. Walk in closet. Master Bath has Dbl sinks, Seamless Large glass shower w/ slate tile. The pool area is welcoming and spacious for lounging & Entertaining. Come see your new home today
Key facts
- No rear neighbors
- Remodeled kitchen
- Screened lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private in-ground pool
- Financial info: Pets allowed (call/conditional)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with management; Quarterly HOA fee (listed); Community pool; Gated community; Approximately 200 units in community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Paved parking
- Security: Gated community access; Security gate; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Cable available; Sewer assessment paid; Water assessment paid; Municipal irrigation
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: 1; Faces northeast; Resale property
- Construction: Built with block, concrete and stone; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Lanai; Porch; Screened porch; Security/high impact doors; Security gate; Gated community; Smoke detector(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: Split bedroom floorplan
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Partially furnished; Built-in features; Separate/formal dining room; Pantry; Shower only (separate shower); Walk-in closet(s); Split bedrooms; Casement windows; Impact glass
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $449k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $449k).
- Recommended offer: $442k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.8% in Harlem Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#263 in FL, #4,209 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Heights Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 1,109 students, 38% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,138 students, 44% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1251 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,990/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1944% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($442k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $292k; list at $449k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.38%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $675,648
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16436 Willowcrest Way | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,853 (+1%) | 6mo | $769,900 | $415 | 74 |
| 16404 Willowcrest Way | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,781 (-3%) | 11mo | $470,000 | $264 | 63 |
| 16499 Edgemont Dr | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,949 (+6%) | 3mo | $740,000 | $380 | 60 |
| 16320 Willowcrest Way | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,763 (-4%) | 10mo | $635,000 | $360 | 54 |
| 16384 Willowcrest Way | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,763 (-4%) | 15mo | $757,500 | $430 | 51 |
| 16445 Edgemont Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 2,003 (+9%) | 16mo | $737,000 | $368 | 46 |
| 16440 Willowcrest Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 2,066 (+12%) | 23mo | $730,000 | $353 | 40 |
| 16488 Crown Arbor Way | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (+9%) | 18mo | $559,000 | $280 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-58,320
- Equity at exit
- $66,947
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-69,005
- Equity at exit
- $38,821
Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33908
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1251
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,990 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,355
- Tax from tax record
- −$255 /mo · $3,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$267
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,048
- Net cashflow
- $451
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $706 | -5% $578 | +0% $451 | +5% $324 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $57 | -5% $254 | +0% $451 | +5% $648 | +10% $846 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $677 | -0.5pp $566 | base $451 | +0.5pp $335 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,250
- Closing costs
- $13,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17006 Middlebrook Ct Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $6,300 | $4.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 17006 Middlebrook Ct Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1247 | $6,300 | $5.05 | 16d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 17020 Willowcrest Way Fort Myers, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $6,300 | $4.69 | 17d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 9190 Southmont Cv #309 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $6,500 | $4.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9170 Southmont Cv Fort Myers, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $6,300 | $4.64 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9140 Southmont Cv #102 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $2,500 | $1.88 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 17120 Bridgestone Ct #104 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $2,400 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 9240 Willowcrest Ct Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1752 | $8,500 | $4.85 | 16d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 16320 Willowcrest Way Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $8,700 | $4.97 | 16d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9201 Bayberry Bnd #103 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $3,500 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 16491 Millstone Cir #207 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9240 Bayberry Bnd #103 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $6,600 | $4.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9250 Bayberry Bnd #202 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1669 | $4,950 | $2.97 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9241 Bayberry Bnd #103 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $4,725 | $2.98 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 16481 Millstone Cir #207 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $2,700 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8549 S Lake Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2091 | $3,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 11848 Bayport Ln #2002 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8986 Greenwich Hills Way #201 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $5,200 | $2.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $267 · $3,204/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $449,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $449,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $449,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $449,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $449,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $449,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $449,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $449,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $449,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $449,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $449,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $449,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $449,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $449,000
-
2026-02-23$465,000 Active
-
2026-01-22historical
-
2025-10-02status Active
-
2025-10-02price $479,000
-
2025-09-10historical
-
2025-01-27$500,000 Active
-
2014-01-06soldstatus $292,000
-
2013-12-23soldstatus $294,000 1022-char remark
Show marketing remark (1022 chars)
A Beautiful Gated 3/2 w/ den, pool home in a Great location! Just minutes to Beaches, Shopping, Library, Restaurants and much more. This home has Many Customized features. Tile Roof, Gorgeous True Wood Floors, 18 Tile floors, Ceiling Fans, Tray Ceilings to mention a few. A Upgraded kitchen w/ custom made Cabinets, Corian Counter Tops. Tiled Backsplash, Stainless Steel Appliances. Tons of Storage & Huge Breakfast Bar. A Open Floor Plan to the living room with its custom made Fireplace, for those cooler nights. A large size dining room to enjoy family gatherings. A nice den or office offers custom Granite built-ins. A Beautiful & Unique Handcrafted Wood door. Two guest rooms separated from the master, providing privacy for all. The elegant Master Bedroom is one of a kind. Gorgeous wood floors, Handcrafted wall. Walk in closet. Master Bath has Dbl sinks, Seamless Large glass shower w/ slate tile. The pool area is welcoming and spacious for lounging & Entertaining. Come see your new home today
-
2013-11-24price $297,500 1022-char remark
Show marketing remark (1022 chars)
A Beautiful Gated 3/2 w/ den, pool home in a Great location! Just minutes to Beaches, Shopping, Library, Restaurants and much more. This home has Many Customized features. Tile Roof, Gorgeous True Wood Floors, 18 Tile floors, Ceiling Fans, Tray Ceilings to mention a few. A Upgraded kitchen w/ custom made Cabinets, Corian Counter Tops. Tiled Backsplash, Stainless Steel Appliances. Tons of Storage & Huge Breakfast Bar. A Open Floor Plan to the living room with its custom made Fireplace, for those cooler nights. A large size dining room to enjoy family gatherings. A nice den or office offers custom Granite built-ins. A Beautiful & Unique Handcrafted Wood door. Two guest rooms separated from the master, providing privacy for all. The elegant Master Bedroom is one of a kind. Gorgeous wood floors, Handcrafted wall. Walk in closet. Master Bath has Dbl sinks, Seamless Large glass shower w/ slate tile. The pool area is welcoming and spacious for lounging & Entertaining. Come see your new home today
-
2006-08-10soldstatus $1,087,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,063 · $255/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,727 · $311/mo
- Expected delta
- +$664/yr (+$55/mo · 21.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $59,875
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,151
- − Property taxes
- −$3,063
- − Insurance
- −$7,364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,790
- − Management
- −$4,790
- − HOA
- −$3,204
- − Depreciation
- −$13,062
- Taxable loss
- −$1,548
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,788/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Harlem Heights
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4209
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,423
- Household income
- $75,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1944.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.22%
- Current HPI
- 209.7595
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-58.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $449,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $465,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-10-02 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $479,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-09-10 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-01-27 Listed $500,000 FORTMLS
- 2014-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $292,000 Public Records
- 2013-12-23 Sold (MLS) $294,000 FORTMLS
- 2013-11-24 Price Changed $297,500 FORTMLS
- 2006-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $1,087,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,063 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…