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21100 NE Sandy Blvd #18
B Composite 73.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,999

21100 NE Sandy Blvd #18 · Fairview, OR 97024
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 661 Days on market
Built 1977 $60/sqft · 10% below area Est $89k · 10% under ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • Four-year-old roof
  • Large walk-in shower
  • Updated plumbing

Tags

FOUR-YEAR-OLD ROOFUPDATED PLUMBINGTWO SHEDS FOR STORAGERAMP FOR ACCESSIBILITYLARGE WALK-IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $991 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 2.8% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#85 in OR, #4,103 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F.
  • Reynolds SD 7 (suburban): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #162 of 183 in OR (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (299 students, 98% FRL); Reynolds Middle School (837 students, 98% FRL); Reynolds High School (2,474 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 661 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $70,399 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 661 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
21.16%
Cash-on-cash
53.10%
DSCR
3.36
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,365
List price
$79,999
Delta
-10.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21100 NE Sandy Blvd #127 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 13mo $84,500 $63 89
21100 NE Sandy Blvd #39 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,224 (-9%) 2mo $75,000 $61 80
21100 NE Sandy Blvd 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 11mo $90,000 $72 74
21100 NE Sandy Blvd #2 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,236 (-8%) 10mo $49,000 $40 70
21100 NE Sandy Blvd #137 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 15mo $43,000 $30 69
21100 NE Sandy Blvd #79 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,432 (+6%) 10mo $83,000 $58 68
2500 NE 201st Ave #26 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+4%) 2mo $67,000 $48 65
2600 NE 205th Ave #20 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+8%) 8mo $164,518 $113 61
3201 NE 223rd Ave #7 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (0%) 9mo $117,320 $87 57
2632 NE 201st Ave #30 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+4%) 13mo $120,000 $85 56
3201 NE 223rd Ave #41 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (-4%) 15mo $153,000 $118 44
3150 NE 206th Pl 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,533 (+14%) 9mo $355,000 $232 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.9%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$44,690
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
52.3%
Equity multiple
5.42×
Total profit
$99,041
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97024

Home prices YoY
-20.3%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,863 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $329/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$991

Break-even live

Break-even rent $608
Max offer price $79,999
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,036 -5% $1,014 +0% $991 +5% $969 +10% $946
Rent -10% $844 -5% $918 +0% $991 +5% $1,065 +10% $1,138
Rate -1.0pp $1,031 -0.5pp $1,012 base $991 +0.5pp $970 +1.0pp $949

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2667 NE 205th Ave Fairview, OR 3.0 2.0 1115 $1,950 $1.75 25d 1 0.35mi
20454 NE Sandy Blvd Fairview, OR 2.0 2.0 950 $1,450 $1.53 5d 4 0.38mi
20454 NE Sandy Blvd Apt B26 Fairview, OR 2.0 2.0 950 $1,722 $1.81 22d 7 0.39mi
21123 NE Osburn Loop Unit 21123 Fairview, OR 3.0 2.5 1586 $2,595 $1.64 6d 1 0.46mi
609 Lincoln St Unit 609 Fairview, OR 3.0 2.5 1100 $2,250 $2.05 45d 1 0.47mi
22199 NE Sandy Blvd Fairview, OR 2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $2,200 $3.11 5d 27 0.53mi
20347 NE Halsey St Fairview, OR 2.0 2.0 985 $1,614 $1.64 5d 2 0.55mi
320 Lincoln St Fairview, OR 2.0 1.0 950 $1,395 $1.47 45d 1 0.59mi
22100 NE Halsey St Fairview, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,947 $1.94 5d 10 0.63mi
1497 NE Market Dr Fairview, OR 2.0 2.0 1136 $1,750 $1.54 45d 1 0.64mi
21933 NE Chinook Way Fairview, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 874 $1,802 $2.06 3d 8 0.65mi
22025 NE Halsey St Fairview, OR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 841 $1,795 $2.13 12d 1 0.66mi
21958 NE Chinook Way Apt C Fairview, OR 1.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 45d 1 0.70mi
19927 NE Halsey St Unit 103 Portland, OR 3.0 2.5 1225 $1,895 $1.55 45d 1 0.70mi
22032 NE Chinook Way Apt A Fairview, OR 2.0 2.5 1150 $1,995 $1.73 45d 1 0.74mi
22032 NE Chinook Way Unit B Fairview, OR 2.0 2.5 1150 $2,045 $1.78 9d 1 0.74mi
19849 NE Halsey St Unit 110 Portland, OR 3.0 2.0 895 $1,870 $2.09 19d 1 0.74mi
3794 NE Fairview Lake Way Fairview, OR 3.0 2.0 1611 $2,795 $1.73 23d 1 0.75mi
22620 NE Hancock St Fairview, OR 2.0 2.0 1196 $1,995 $1.67 23d 1 0.80mi
19511 NE Halsey St Portland, OR 2.0 1.0 917 $1,395 $1.52 5d 1 0.88mi
22701 NE Halsey St Unit FO1101 Fairview, OR 2.0 2.0 965 $1,511 $1.57 25d 1 0.91mi
22701 NE Halsey St Unit FO222 Fairview, OR 2.0 2.0 965 $1,511 $1.57 45d 1 0.91mi
20121 SE Stark St Portland, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 873 $1,714 $1.96 4d 5 1.39mi
23901 NE Halsey St Wood Village, OR 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1012 $1,395 $1.38 16d 4 1.42mi
23801 NE Treehill Dr Wood Village, OR 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,200 $1.22 45d 1 1.43mi
19316 NE Couch St Portland, OR 3.0 2.0 1325 $2,495 $1.88 0d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,999 Active 661 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,999 Active 658 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,999 Active 657 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,999 Active 656 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,999 Active 655 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,999 Active 653 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,999 Active 652 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,999 Active 649 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,999 Active 648 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 678-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $79,999 Active 647 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $79,999 Pending 646 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,999 Active 645 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,999 Active 644 DOM
  15. 2026-01-16
    price $79,999 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

  16. 2025-08-22
    status Active 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

  17. 2025-07-03
    price $89,999 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

  18. 2025-05-08
    price $99,999 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

  19. 2025-02-01
    price $105,999 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

  20. 2024-11-14
    price $116,499 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

  21. 2024-09-26
    price $116,999 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

  22. 2024-08-17
    listed $117,500 Active 595-char remark
    Show marketing remark (595 chars)

    Located on a dead end and beautifully updated manufactured home in 55+ community. The kitchen was thoughtfully redone with class in mind, the cabinets are bountiful, and it has a newer oven and cooktop. The newer roof will give you peace of mind and the updated plumbing will help keep maintenance, minimal. There is addition living space in the sunroom and the two sheds offer plenty of storage for tools and outdoor furniture; power is in one of them already, allowing for shop tools. There is also a ramp for accessibility and a large, newly done, walk in shower. Don't miss this opportunity!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$329 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$776 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$447/yr (+$37/mo · 135.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,351
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$329
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,788
− Management
−$1,788
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$11,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,697
After-tax cash flow
$9,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Reynolds SD 7
NCES district ID
4110520
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,502
Composite
27.4/100
National rank
#12399
State rank
#162 of 183 in OR

Livability — Fairview

Score
75/100
State rank
#85
US rank
#4103

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime B Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairview, OR
County
Multnomah County · 786,692 people
City population
12,007
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
12,007
Household income
$69,679
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
552.0

Population outlook (Multnomah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
930,825 people
By 2030
996,904 · +7.1%
By 2040
1,121,379 · +20.5%
By 2050
1,242,124 · +33.4%
By 2075
1,464,431 · +57.3%
By 2100
1,576,181 · +69.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Pacific Islander 3% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Multnomah

2024 margin
Solid D (+62.1) · D 79.3% · R 17.2% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: 56.1pp · 2024: 62.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+62.1 2020: D+61.3 2016: D+58.3 2012: D+54.9 2008: D+56.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.88%
Current HPI
286.4915
Rent YoY
▼ -0.99%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $79,999 RMLS
  • 2025-08-22 Relisted RMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $89,999 RMLS
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $99,999 RMLS
  • 2025-02-01 Price Changed $105,999 RMLS
  • 2024-11-14 Price Changed $116,499 RMLS
  • 2024-09-26 Price Changed $116,999 RMLS
  • 2024-08-17 Listed $117,500 RMLS

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2016): $329 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…