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3123 Central St
C- Composite 53.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

3123 Central St · Kansas City, MO 64111
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,406 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1907 4,718 sqft lot $113/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Corporate Owned - Call for Addendums. Earnest Deposit must be Certified Funds. Pre-Approval or Proof Funds required.

Key facts

  • 4,718 sq ft lot
  • Built 1907

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported (value withheld per instructions)
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (amount withheld per instructions)

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories; Approximately 101+ years old; Facing direction not provided
  • Construction: Brick trim construction; Composition roof; Full basement (stone/rock)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Metal and wood fencing; City lot; Property listed as fixer

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on second level); Bedroom sizes include 15' x 12', 10' x 9', and 13' x 12'
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Smart thermostat; Smoke detector(s); Fireplace; Full stone/rock basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.62%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$338,163
List price
$159,000
Delta
-52.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3123 Central St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,406 (0%) 1mo $159,000 $113 97
3129 Central St 0.01mi 3/1.5 1,453 (+3%) 3mo $175,000 $120 90
3343 Baltimore Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,452 (+3%) 4mo $175,000 $121 76
3137 Mcgee St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,379 (-2%) 6mo $329,900 $239 72
3419 Central St 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,360 (-3%) 5mo $275,000 $202 64
942 W 32nd Ter 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,398 (-1%) 12mo $389,000 $278 63
3006 Jarboe St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+2%) 9mo $163,900 $114 58
940 W 34th St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,330 (-5%) 12mo $280,000 $211 53
1015 W 29th St 0.58mi 3/3.0 1,512 (+8%) 2mo $285,000 $188 51
3405 Karnes Blvd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,512 (+8%) 12mo $275,000 $182 50
3409 Holmes St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,349 (-4%) 11mo $285,000 $211 47
948 W 32nd Ter 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,584 (+13%) 8mo $397,000 $251 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-9,252
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$15,685
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64111

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,836 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$304 /mo · $3,654/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,525
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3040 Baltimore Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1363 $5,999 $4.40 2d 75 0.17mi
2980 Baltimore Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1225 $2,354 $1.92 44d 5 0.22mi
218 W 34th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.5 1300 $1,859 $1.43 14d 1 0.28mi
302 W 34th St Apt 1E Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,195 $1.26 7d 1 0.28mi
3420 Broadway Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $2,160 $2.07 24d 2 0.29mi
118 W Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 934 $2,110 $2.26 14d 5 0.41mi
118 W Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 934 $2,095 $2.24 24d 7 0.41mi
3435 Main St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 659 $1,695 $2.57 2d 12 0.43mi
3435 Main St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 655 $1,675 $2.56 16d 12 0.43mi
211 W Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 816 $2,050 $2.51 2d 20 0.44mi
211 W Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 816 $1,999 $2.45 44d 13 0.44mi
128 E 29th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.5 1375 $2,749 $2.00 44d 1 0.45mi
103 E 28 Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 980 $1,979 $2.02 44d 1 0.46mi
104 E 28 Ter Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1087 $2,699 $2.48 3d 12 0.49mi
310 E 34th St Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 1009 $1,375 $1.36 44d 1 0.52mi
3560 Broadway Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 680 $1,560 $2.29 16d 26 0.52mi
3560 Broadway Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 727 $1,880 $2.59 2d 35 0.52mi
3100 Gillham Plz Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1141 $1,195 $1.05 4d 1 0.53mi
214 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 650 $1,655 $2.55 4d 33 0.53mi
214 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 688 $1,655 $2.40 16d 30 0.53mi
3408 Gillham Rd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1180 $1,499 $1.27 44d 1 0.53mi
3130 Gillham Rd Unit 105 Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1141 $1,195 $1.05 7d 1 0.58mi
3436 Gillham Rd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 947 $1,468 $1.55 3d 6 0.59mi
3431 Gillham Rd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 947 $1,464 $1.55 44d 6 0.60mi
301 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $2,050 $2.00 2d 9 0.60mi
301 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $2,105 $2.06 44d 8 0.60mi
2903 Gillham Rd Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1159 $1,695 $1.46 44d 1 0.63mi
3333 Gillham Rd Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 14d 1 0.63mi
3616 Warwick Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,312 $1.38 3d 1 0.67mi
3724 Broadway Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 727 $1,580 $2.17 21d 1 0.68mi
2915 Cherry St Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,625 $1.63 44d 7 0.68mi
227 E 27th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 2.0 1172 $1,960 $1.67 44d 1 0.68mi
520 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 782 $1,970 $2.52 16d 19 0.68mi
520 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 882 $2,630 $2.98 2d 22 0.68mi
2645 Madison Ave Unit 6 Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,300 $1.53 44d 1 0.69mi
3704 Wyandotte St Apt 7 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,195 $1.26 44d 1 0.69mi
2705 McGee Trfy Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $2,881 $2.88 2d 13 0.69mi
525 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 696 $1,620 $2.33 3d 30 0.70mi
525 E Armour Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0–2.0 696 $1,650 $2.37 16d 38 0.70mi
3633 Walnut St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,188 $1.32 24d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 608-char remark
  2. 2026-05-09
    listed $159,000 Active 608-char remark
  3. 2026-05-06
    historical $159,000 608-char remark
  4. 2006-10-17
    soldstatus 116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    Corporate Owned - Call for Addendums. Earnest Deposit must be Certified Funds. Pre-Approval or Proof Funds required.

  5. 2006-10-13
    soldstatus
  6. 2006-08-17
    listed $129,900 116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    Corporate Owned - Call for Addendums. Earnest Deposit must be Certified Funds. Pre-Approval or Proof Funds required.

  7. 1992-09-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,654 · $304/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,654 · $304/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,027
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$3,654
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,762
− Management
−$1,762
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$125
After-tax cash flow
$2,822/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
16,887
Household income
$61,729
Rent vs Own
68.8% rent · 31.2% own
Severe rent burden
1606.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -341.84%
Current HPI
282.068
Rent YoY
▲ 3.42%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-10 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $159,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-17 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-10-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-08-17 Listed $129,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-09-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,654 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…