1117 Ainsley Ln · Forney, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The spacious living area features abundant natural light and flows seamlessly into the kitchen with a large island, ample cabinetry, and electric appliances. The private primary suite includes dual sinks, walk in shower, and a generous walk in closet. Split bedrooms provide added privacy along with a flexible office space perfect for working from home or additional living use. Additional features include luxury vinyl plank flooring, full size utility area, and a 2 car garage. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and manageable yard. Located in a master planned community with access to pool, walking trails, playground, and greenbelt spaces. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major highways. Move in ready and a great opportunity in one of Forney fastest growing areas.
Key facts
- Large island
- Split bedrooms
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-258 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (18.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.2% in Forney — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#98 in TX, #3,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Forney ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crosby El (math 37% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,883 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 682 students, 59% FRL); Brown Middle (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 673 students, 56% FRL); North Forney H S (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 2,502 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 26% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 3067 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 77d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.50%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $324,138
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -24.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892 Balfour Bnd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,975 (-1%) | 2mo | $324,490 | $164 | 70 |
| 1186 Nora Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,986 (-1%) | 3mo | $319,990 | $161 | 69 |
| 636 Claverton Ln | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,963 (-2%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $152 | 66 |
| 2933 Soaring Hills Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,950 (-2%) | 3mo | $401,900 | $206 | 66 |
| 7309 Pinales Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,984 (-1%) | 2mo | $534,900 | $270 | 64 |
| 2909 Soaring Hills Dr | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,942 (-3%) | 0mo | $346,900 | $179 | 54 |
| 2926 Soaring Hills Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,942 (-3%) | 3mo | $387,900 | $200 | 54 |
| 1872 Balfour Bnd | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,131 (+7%) | 2mo | $348,990 | $164 | 53 |
| 1182 Nora Ln | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,132 (+7%) | 1mo | $336,990 | $158 | 52 |
| 1114 Longhorn Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,828 (-8%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $142 | 51 |
| 1188 Nora Ln | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,132 (+7%) | 2mo | $339,990 | $159 | 50 |
| 2913 Soaring Hills Dr | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,169 (+9%) | 3mo | $374,900 | $173 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-59,581
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -30.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-86,803
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 200 active · 95 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.6 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $344,990 ($166/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 97 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -2.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 3067
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,440 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$736 /mo · $8,831/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$62
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $-258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-119 | -5% $-188 | +0% $-258 | +5% $-327 | +10% $-396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-450 | -5% $-354 | +0% $-258 | +5% $-161 | +10% $-65 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-134 | -0.5pp $-195 | base $-258 | +0.5pp $-321 | +1.0pp $-386 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1126 Ainsley Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1743 | $2,350 | $1.35 | 6d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1315 Binfield Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $2,199 | $1.26 | 41d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 735 Brockwell Bnd Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1988 | $1,800 | $0.91 | 10d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1267 Binfield Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2476 | $3,000 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 635 Brockwell Bnd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2506 | $3,100 | $1.24 | 84d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2411 Doncaster Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $2,100 | $1.32 | 90d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1004 Copper Smith Way Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2096 | $2,499 | $1.19 | 32d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2225 Heaton Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1909 | $2,150 | $1.13 | 139d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2217 Perrymead Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,899 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2157 Winsbury Way Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1948 | $2,300 | $1.18 | 68d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2213 Heaton Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2146 | $2,225 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2213 Heaton Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2146 | $2,395 | $1.12 | 112d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2207 Heaton Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $2,150 | $1.51 | 90d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2207 Heaton Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 139d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2321 Birdwell Cv Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 12d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2121 Swanmore Way Forney, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2550 | $2,700 | $1.06 | 84d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2023 Avondown Rd Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,071 | $1.26 | 89d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1421 Kirkhill Ln Unit 1421 Heath, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2545 | $3,500 | $1.38 | 116d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1421 Kirkhill Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2545 | $3,600 | $1.41 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2011 Avondown Rd Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2146 | $2,395 | $1.12 | 63d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2122 Mossfield Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2162 | $2,500 | $1.16 | 51d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 120 Garner Ct Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2214 | $2,500 | $1.13 | 139d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2029 Dovedale Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2426 | $3,200 | $1.32 | 90d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1806 Balfour Bnd Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $2,600 | $1.31 | 120d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1806 Balfour Bnd Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $2,400 | $1.21 | 47d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2108 Mossfield Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2193 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 86d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 412 Acadia Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2258 | $2,399 | $1.06 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 307 Acadia Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2139 | $2,400 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 305 Acadia Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $2,600 | $1.26 | 74d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1124 Longhorn Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2093 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 120d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 139 Acadia Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2133 | $2,800 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1408 Grove Pond Rd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2543 | $3,095 | $1.22 | 139d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1412 Grove Pond Rd Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $2,400 | $1.41 | 74d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 224 Independence Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $2,095 | $1.34 | 94d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1459 Kingswell Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2034 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 84d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1448 Kingswell Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2208 | $2,950 | $1.34 | 120d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1527 Flannagan Pond Rd Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 29d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 201 Rambling Way Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2289 | $2,070 | $0.90 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1439 Kingswell Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1942 | $2,250 | $1.16 | 79d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1439 Kingswell Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1942 | $2,250 | $1.16 | 76d | 1 | 0.85mi |
HOA detail $62/mo · $744/yr
- Likely covers
- electricpool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $245,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $245,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $245,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $245,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $245,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $245,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $245,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $245,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-09-16pricedays on market $245,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $269,999 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $269,999 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $269,999 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $269,999 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $269,999 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $269,999 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $269,999 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $269,999 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $269,999 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $269,999 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $269,999 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $269,999 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $269,999 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $269,999 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $269,999 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $269,999 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $269,999 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $269,999 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $269,999 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $269,999 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $269,999 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $269,999 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $269,999 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $269,999 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $269,999 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $269,999 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $269,999 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $269,999 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $269,999 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $269,999 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $269,999 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $269,999 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $269,999 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $269,999 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $269,999 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-30pricedays on market $269,999 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $275,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $275,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $275,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $275,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $275,000 Active 124 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,831 · $736/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,831 · $736/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,275
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$8,831
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,342
- − Management
- −$2,342
- − HOA
- −$744
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$7,060
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,694
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,396/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home in a master-planned community is in good condition with modern updates and a well-maintained exterior. It is ready for a new owner or tenant with minor cosmetic improvements to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both landscape — improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forney ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819560
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,679
- Composite
- 40.07/100
- National rank
- #3812
- State rank
- #234 of 826 in TX
Livability — Forney
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #3339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kaufman County · 138,716 people
- City population
- 84,799
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+13.7% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $289,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $299,900 NTREIS
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-10-20 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-07-19 Price Changed $314,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-25 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $320,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $320,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-20 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $270,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-27 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-05-21 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $295,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $305,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-01 Price Changed $309,900 NTREIS
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $314,900 NTREIS
- 2025-03-14 Listed $319,900 NTREIS
- 2020-09-14 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-07-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-06-19 Price Changed $250,010 NTREIS
- 2020-06-12 Listed $255,010 NTREIS
Property tax history
+56.3%/yrLatest (2025): $8,831 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…