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189 S Genesee St
B Composite 70.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

189 S Genesee St · Montrose, MI 48457
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,664 sqft · SingleFamily · 126 Days on market
Built 1900 8,712 sqft lot $66/sqft · 32% below area Est $160k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Enclosed back porch
  • Large open porch
  • Garden shed

Tags

DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEFENCED BACKYARDGARDEN SHEDDOG KENNELLARGE OPEN PORCHENCLOSED BACK PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#278 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Montrose Community Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #304 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carter Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 403 students, 67% FRL); Kuehnhaven Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #343 of 493 statewide, top 72%, 405 students, 62% FRL); Hillmccloy High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #187 of 713 statewide, top 29%, 471 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $91k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.11%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,630
List price
$109,000
Delta
-31.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
296 S Saginaw St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,834 (+10%) 3mo $150,000 $82 70
139 Lincoln St 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,724 (+4%) 13mo $200,000 $116 66
159 E State St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,798 (+8%) 16mo $189,000 $105 61
264 N Genesee St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,666 (+0%) 18mo $197,900 $119 58
247 Leroy St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,878 (+13%) 14mo $182,000 $97 41
340 N Saginaw St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,438 (-14%) 21mo $157,000 $109 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$1,997
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$27,185
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48457

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,398 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,153/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$308

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,008
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $370 -5% $339 +0% $308 +5% $277 +10% $246
Rent -10% $197 -5% $253 +0% $308 +5% $363 +10% $418
Rate -1.0pp $363 -0.5pp $336 base $308 +0.5pp $280 +1.0pp $251

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,000 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $109,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 121 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 114 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 106 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 105 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 104 DOM
  18. 2026-05-18
    price $119,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  19. 2026-05-18
    price $119,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  20. 2026-03-23
    price $129,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  21. 2026-03-22
    price $129,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  22. 2026-02-25
    price $139,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  23. 2026-02-24
    price $139,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  24. 2026-02-13
    listed $159,000 Active 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  25. 2026-02-13
    listed $159,000 Active 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Charming 2 Story in the City of Montrose with Lots of Character. 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths, Detached 2 Car Garage, Fenced Backyard, Garden Shed, Dog Kennel & Run. Large Open Porch and Enclosed Back Porch to relax on! Cash or Conventional Loan only. Call today to schedule your showing!

  26. 2001-08-08
    soldstatus $91,000
  27. 2001-08-02
    soldstatus $90,600
  28. 2001-08-02
    soldstatus $90,600
  29. 2001-06-29
    historical
  30. 2001-05-22
    listed $89,850
  31. 2001-05-22
    listed $89,850

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,153 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,153 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,775
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$2,153
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,342
− Management
−$1,342
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$2,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$508
After-tax cash flow
$3,187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montrose Community Schools
NCES district ID
2624420
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$47,336
Composite
29.21/100
National rank
#6569
State rank
#304 of 540 in MI

Livability — Montrose

Score
71/100
State rank
#278
US rank
#6815

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montrose, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,694

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.89%
Current HPI
260.3864
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+32.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $139,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $159,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 2001-08-02 Sold (MLS) $90,600 REALCOMP
  • 2001-08-02 Sold (MLS) $90,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-06-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-05-22 Listed $89,850 REALCOMP
  • 2001-05-22 Listed $89,850 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,153 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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