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1612 Ridge Rd
C Composite 56.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

1612 Ridge Rd · El Paso, AR 72045
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1939 7,405 sqft lot $113/sqft · 16% below area Est $137k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1612 Ridge Road in El Paso, Arkansas! This charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers approximately 1,016 square feet of comfortable living space in the heart of a peaceful small-town setting. Built in 1964, this cozy home blends character and functionality with an inviting atmosphere that feels like home the moment you walk through the door. The efficient floor plan makes excellent use of space, while the spacious lot provides room to enjoy outdoor living, gardening, or simply relaxing in a quiet rural setting. Conveniently located near local amenities while maintaining the tranquility of country living, this property is ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1939
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing options may include VA, FHA, conventional, rural development, cash, or in-house financing

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Septic system; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
  • Home design: Metal/Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: 3-tab shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access; Level lot; Rural property setting; Not in a subdivision; No-fee area amenities

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Paneling walls/ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($913/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Beebe School District (town): math 44% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #64 of 238 in AR (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 219 units permitted in White County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • White County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $115k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,206 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.84%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,976
List price
$115,000
Delta
-16.04%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$9,883
Equity at exit
$42,391
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$39,911
Equity at exit
$58,841

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72045

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$952 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $856
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $109 +0% $76 +5% $44 +10% $11
Rent -10% $1 -5% $39 +0% $76 +5% $114 +10% $151
Rate -1.0pp $134 -0.5pp $105 base $76 +0.5pp $46 +1.0pp $16

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 New Listing 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 New Listing 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on marketlisting id $115,000 New Listing 3 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 150 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,000 Active 149 DOM
  11. 2026-05-14
    historical Take Backups 583-char remark
  12. 2026-04-22
    price $115,000 583-char remark
  13. 2026-01-01
    listed $120,000 New Listing 583-char remark
  14. 2025-12-01
    historical
  15. 2025-09-08
    status Back on Market
  16. 2025-08-30
    historical Take Backups
  17. 2025-08-13
    status Back on Market
  18. 2025-08-06
    historical Take Backups
  19. 2025-03-04
    listed $120,000 New Listing
  20. 2023-08-28
    soldstatus $45,000
  21. 2023-08-11
    soldstatus $45,000 Sold
  22. 2023-07-21
    listed $45,000
  23. 2023-07-21
    historical
  24. 2013-08-14
    soldstatus $22,000
  25. 2013-07-19
    historical
  26. 2013-03-11
    listed $29,950
  27. 2002-01-02
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$300 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$736 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$436/yr (+$36/mo · 145.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,425
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$914
− Management
−$914
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$1,066
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$256
After-tax cash flow
$1,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beebe School District
NCES district ID
0502880
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,433
Composite
34.1/100
National rank
#5293
State rank
#64 of 238 in AR

Livability — El Paso

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
El Paso, AR
Population (ZIP)
935

Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,310 people
By 2030
83,861 · +1.9%
By 2040
86,492 · +5.1%
By 2050
88,246 · +7.2%
By 2075
91,307 · +10.9%
By 2100
91,548 · +11.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · White

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.2) · D 18.3% · R 79.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-14.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -61.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.2 2020: R+58.9 2016: R+57.9 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+47.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.52%
Current HPI
260.3635
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1050.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $115,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $115,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $120,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-08-30 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2025-03-04 Listed $120,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-11 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-07-21 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2023-07-21 Listed $45,000 CARMLS
  • 2013-08-14 Sold (MLS) $22,000 CARMLS
  • 2013-07-19 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2013-03-11 Listed $29,950 CARMLS
  • 2002-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $300 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…