Fourplex
1429 Leland Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Exceptional 4-unit attached multi-family building in the heart of Parkchester! Located at 1429 Leland Avenue, this 2-story property (built 1924) offers a semi-finished basement, ideal for storage or laundry, and convenient on-street parking. Perfect for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income in a vibrant Bronx neighborhood, close to public transit, shopping, and restaurants. Strong value in a well-established area—schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 3,600 sq ft lot
- Built 1924
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.10M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $569/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $1.10M).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,745/mo this rent would consume 421% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 7852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $90k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $82k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $308k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$144k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.13%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,236,032
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1335 Commonwealth Ave | 0.29mi | 8/4.0 | 3,685 (+6%) | 4mo | $1,260,000 | $342 | 74 |
| 1321 Commonwealth Ave | 0.30mi | 7/— (-1) | 3,685 (+6%) | 5mo | $1,258,000 | $341 | 67 |
| 1212 Commmonwealth Ave | 0.45mi | 9/4.0 (+1) | 3,564 (+3%) | 12mo | $1,300,000 | $365 | 60 |
| 1746 Van Buren St | 0.54mi | 8/3.0 | 3,388 (-2%) | 14mo | $940,000 | $277 | 59 |
| 1171 Leland Ave | 0.43mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,717 (+7%) | 8mo | $1,100,000 | $296 | 57 |
| 1169 Leland Ave | 0.43mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 3,717 (+7%) | 8mo | $995,200 | $268 | 56 |
| 1254 Rosedale Ave | 0.40mi | 8/3.0 | 3,000 (-14%) | 5mo | $1,162,000 | $387 | 54 |
| 1746 Westchester Ave | 0.42mi | 8/6.0 | 3,135 (-10%) | 13mo | $1,125,000 | $359 | 54 |
| 1432 Saint Lawrence Ave | 0.18mi | 9/2.0 (+1) | 2,968 (-14%) | 13mo | $1,200,000 | $404 | 52 |
| 1570 Bogart Ave Unit A | 0.75mi | 9/6.0 (+1) | 3,258 (-6%) | 12mo | $1,160,000 | $356 | 40 |
| 1126 Beach Ave | 0.53mi | 7/2.0 (-1) | 2,982 (-14%) | 14mo | $849,999 | $285 | 35 |
| 1852 Amethyst St | 0.72mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 2,954 (-15%) | 2mo | $1,125,000 | $381 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $561,062
- Equity at exit
- $795,912
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.94×
- Total profit
- $1,520,684
- Equity at exit
- $1,543,369
Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10460
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 28.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,745 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,769
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,498 /mo · $17,980/yr
- Insurance
- −$458
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,676
- Net cashflow
- $2,277
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1.5 | $12,744 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,186 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,186 |
| #3 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,186 |
| #4 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,186 |
| Total (4 units) | $12,745 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $275,000
- Closing costs
- $33,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-12-16status Pending
-
2025-12-16$1,100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $17,980 · $1,498/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,285 · $1,524/mo
- Expected delta
- +$305/yr (+$25/mo · 1.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $152,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$61,617
- − Property taxes
- −$17,980
- − Insurance
- −$6,298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,235
- − Management
- −$12,235
- − Depreciation
- −$32,000
- Taxable income
- $10,575
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,538
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,785/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,396
- Household income
- $36,309
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7852.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 65% Black 27% Two or more races 20% White 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 23% Dominican 28%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 38% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.46%
- Current HPI
- 224.0425
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Listed $1,100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $17,980 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…