🏷️ Likely Rental
718 Revolution St · Havre de Grace, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tenant occupied income producing duplex now available in Havre de Grace! Apt A is a 2 bed 1 bath first floor apt that currently rents for $1400 per month to tenants who are month to month. Apt B is a 3 bed 1 bath second floor apt that currently rents for $1550 per month to tenants who are within a year lease that will turn month to month August 1, 2026. All utilities including electric are included in the tenant's rent amounts other than cable.
Key facts
- 7,882 sq ft lot
- 6 parking spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Assessor listed living area and year-built source
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking for 6 vehicles (total of 6 garage and parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric utilities
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Foundation: Other; Finished above-grade area: 1,650; Unfinished below-grade area: 1,064
- Exterior features: Above-grade and below-grade structures; Property located within city limits of Havre de Grace
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Window air conditioning units; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Detached structure
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.4% in Havre de Grace — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#32 in MD, #1,087 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-.
- Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Havre De Grace Elementary (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #332 of 860 statewide, top 39%, 566 students, 56% FRL); Havre De Grace Middle (math 8% / reading 41%, grade F, #108 of 225 statewide, top 50%, 626 students, 47% FRL); Havre De Grace High (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #91 of 222 statewide, top 42%, 818 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 24% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.46%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $358,050
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 Lewis St | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,504 (-9%) | 6mo | $340,000 | $226 | 70 |
| 358 Bourbon St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,649 (-0%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $136 | 68 |
| 556 Congress Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,828 (+11%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 114 Anderson Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 1,760 (+7%) | 15mo | $379,000 | $215 | 54 |
| 559 Girard St | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,844 (+12%) | 17mo | $480,000 | $260 | 50 |
| 516 N Adams St | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,528 (-7%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $249 | 49 |
| 112 Concove Way | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 | 1,800 (+9%) | 3mo | $355,000 | $197 | 49 |
| 716 S Washington St | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-13%) | 11mo | $428,000 | $297 | 45 |
| 719 Warren St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-7%) | 13mo | $270,000 | $176 | 45 |
| 213 Stokes St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,840 (+12%) | 11mo | $425,000 | $231 | 44 |
| 662 Otsego St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,842 (+12%) | 16mo | $335,000 | $182 | 37 |
| 140 Bay Blvd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,424 (-14%) | 13mo | $309,000 | $217 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-7,283
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $25,950
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21078
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $395
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $508 | -5% $451 | +0% $395 | +5% $338 | +10% $282 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $226 | -5% $310 | +0% $395 | +5% $479 | +10% $564 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $496 | -0.5pp $446 | base $395 | +0.5pp $343 | +1.0pp $290 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 Bourbon St Havre de Grace, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,695 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 434 Battery Dr Havre de Grace, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1180 | $1,950 | $1.65 | 0d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 1232 Battery Dr Havre de Grace, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 606 Water St Havre de Grace, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1745 Lawder Cir Havre de Grace, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1934 | $3,000 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1745 Lawder Cir Havre de Grace, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1934 | $2,900 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$199,999 Active
-
2022-09-16soldstatus $850,000
-
2002-08-05soldstatus $105,000
-
2002-07-16soldstatus $105,000
-
2002-06-22historical
-
2002-03-22$120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,942 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,061 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,652
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$1,942
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,052
- − Management
- −$2,052
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $1,585
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,358/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harford County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400390
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,569
- Composite
- 29.38/100
- National rank
- #6527
- State rank
- #9 of 24 in MD
Livability — Havre de Grace
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #1087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Havre de Grace, MD
- County
- Harford County · 198,512 people
- City population
- 20,030
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,030
- Household income
- $106,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 327.0
Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,292 people
- By 2030
- 266,437 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 269,954 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 265,659 · +1.3%
- By 2075
- 252,886 · -3.6%
- By 2100
- 224,014 · -14.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harford
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.95%
- Current HPI
- 239.1951
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+66.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $199,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $850,000 Public Records
- 2002-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2002-07-16 Sold (MLS) $105,000 MRIS
- 2002-06-22 Delisted — MRIS
- 2002-03-22 Listed $120,000 MRIS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,942 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…