179 N Leland Dr · Florence, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Must see home, just off Cox Creek Parkway in Florence. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath offers privacy fence plus storage building--large den, open kitchen area and brand new HVAC.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1957
- Listed 31 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: City street frontage on an asphalt, public-maintained road; Lot dimensions approximately 149' x 120' (0.2 acres); Frontage length about 149'
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residential property; One-story (main living on one level)
- Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Metal roof; Slab foundation; Built living area above grade: 1,485
- Exterior features: Fenced yard with wood fencing; Back yard and front yard; Landscaped lot; Outbuilding (additional structure)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Laminate counters; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Eat-in kitchen; Contaminant control for improved indoor air quality; Electric fireplace in the family room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet; In-bathroom laundry location; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Florence Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 689 students, 51% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $116k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.06%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,747
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -1.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 N Fulton St N | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (-8%) | 4mo | $174,900 | $128 | 74 |
| 101 Auburn St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+4%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $120 | 71 |
| 422 N Fulton St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (-12%) | 5mo | $238,000 | $181 | 68 |
| 309 Wilson Dam Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (-2%) | 1mo | $212,000 | $145 | 67 |
| 145 E Lakeside Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (-5%) | 3mo | $271,000 | $192 | 61 |
| 319 Wilson Dam Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+3%) | 7mo | $209,900 | $137 | 58 |
| 104 Osteen Cir | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (+12%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $75 | 57 |
| 520 Short St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+8%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $113 | 55 |
| 33 Auburn St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,660 (+12%) | 12mo | $177,400 | $107 | 52 |
| 110 Normandy Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,375 (-7%) | 14mo | $139,650 | $102 | 42 |
| 352 Wilson Dam Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (-11%) | 13mo | $252,500 | $191 | 40 |
| 29 Co Rd 376 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,276 (-14%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $102 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-11,337
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $21,560
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,359 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $591/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $147
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $191 | +0% $147 | +5% $103 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $40 | -5% $93 | +0% $147 | +5% $201 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $225 | -0.5pp $186 | base $147 | +0.5pp $107 | +1.0pp $66 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4026 Peachtree St Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,300 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 200 Foxfield Pl Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,120 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 416 N Broadway St Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3504 Cole Ave Unit B Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 137 Deerfield Pl Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,278 | $1.02 | 45d | 12 | 1.26mi |
| 2021 Cloyd Blvd Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 45d | 4 | 1.37mi |
| 1846 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 45d | 5 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-15status $155,000 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Pending 510-char remark
-
2026-05-04$155,000 Active 510-char remark
-
2022-11-21soldstatus $116,000
-
2022-11-18soldstatus $116,000 Closed 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Must see home, just off Cox Creek Parkway in Florence. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath offers privacy fence plus storage building--large den, open kitchen area and brand new HVAC.
-
2022-10-17status Pending 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Must see home, just off Cox Creek Parkway in Florence. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath offers privacy fence plus storage building--large den, open kitchen area and brand new HVAC.
-
2022-10-04status Active 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Must see home, just off Cox Creek Parkway in Florence. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath offers privacy fence plus storage building--large den, open kitchen area and brand new HVAC.
-
2022-09-19price $139,900 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Must see home, just off Cox Creek Parkway in Florence. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath offers privacy fence plus storage building--large den, open kitchen area and brand new HVAC.
-
2022-08-29$149,900 Active 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Must see home, just off Cox Creek Parkway in Florence. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath offers privacy fence plus storage building--large den, open kitchen area and brand new HVAC.
-
2022-02-28$149,900
-
2017-05-05soldstatus $77,250
-
2017-04-22$82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $591 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $636 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$44/yr (+$4/mo · 7.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,309
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$591
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,305
- − Management
- −$1,305
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$858
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+89.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $155,000 SAARMLS
- 2022-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-18 Sold (MLS) $116,000 SAARMLS
- 2022-10-17 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2022-10-04 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2022-09-19 Price Changed $139,900 SAARMLS
- 2022-08-29 Listed $149,900 SAARMLS
- 2022-02-28 Listed $149,900 SAARMLS
- 2017-05-05 Sold (MLS) $77,250 SAARMLS
- 2017-04-22 Listed $82,000 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $591 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…