2519 Independence Ln · St. Cloud, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wait to see this Charming two bedrooms and two bathrooms in Active Adult Gated Community - Teka Village! Welcome to this lovely double-wide mobile home located in the desirable Teka Village, a gated 55+ community in St. Cloud, Florida, where the sunshine and warm weather make for a perfect retirement setting! This spacious 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms home offers comfortable living with an inviting lanai, ideal for dining outside or enjoying extra living space. Inside, you'll find a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinet space, along with a cozy living room and dining area. The owner's suite offers a dual-sink vanity, a relaxing shower, and a separate tub, creating a personal retreat. The home also includes a full carport, providing convenience and protection for your vehicle. The vibrant Teka Village community offers a variety of amenities, including a clubhouse, recreation center, and a refreshing pool for residents to enjoy.
Key facts
- 5,894 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential — Manufactured Home; Lot size about 0.13 acre (0 to less than 1/4 acre); Road is public and maintained (asphalt/paved)
- Financial info: Monthly HOA $120 (Total monthly fees listed as $120; total annual fees $1,440); Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $120) — fee includes pool; Association amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool; Association approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Public utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level; North-facing entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Completed condition; Built as double wide
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Side porch; Paved lot; Mature landscaping with trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 7 rooms total
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.0% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Neptune Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 993 students, 46% FRL); St. Cloud High School (math 32% / reading 50%, grade F, #289 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 2,264 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 868 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $165k implies a 871% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.16%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,992
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4418 Brave Ln | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,175 (+6%) | 3mo | $177,000 | $151 | 79 |
| 2490 Longpine Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,186 (+7%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $173 | 76 |
| 4707 Lanca Ln | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+9%) | 13mo | $238,000 | $198 | 63 |
| 2538 Longpine Ln | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+13%) | 11mo | $192,000 | $154 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-775
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $28,917
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34772
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 868
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$214 /mo · $2,569/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$120
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $429
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $523 | -5% $476 | +0% $429 | +5% $383 | +10% $336 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $260 | -5% $345 | +0% $429 | +5% $514 | +10% $599 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $513 | -0.5pp $471 | base $429 | +0.5pp $387 | +1.0pp $343 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2478 Pine Chase Cir Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,310 | $1.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3221 Villa Way Cir Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2438 Pine Chase Cir Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,199 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4240 Settlers Ct Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $2,300 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3085 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3085 Soldier City Way Unit 203 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 102 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,800 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 103 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 101 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3065 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3100 Soldier City Way St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,875 | $1.73 | 4d | 6 | 0.94mi |
| 3010 Camber Dr Saint Cloud, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,971 | $1.96 | 2d | 18 | 1.07mi |
| 5000 Revolutionary Way Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5080 Revolutionary Way Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1365 | $2,350 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4988 Prairie Preserve Run Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1354 | $2,295 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3528 Bay Ct Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,495 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $120 · $1,440/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $164,999 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $164,999 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $164,999 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $164,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$170,000 Active
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
Wait to see this Charming two bedrooms and two bathrooms in Active Adult Gated Community - Teka Village! Welcome to this lovely double-wide mobile home located in the desirable Teka Village, a gated 55+ community in St. Cloud, Florida, where the sunshine and warm weather make for a perfect retirement setting! This spacious 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms home offers comfortable living with an inviting lanai, ideal for dining outside or enjoying extra living space. Inside, you'll find a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinet space, along with a cozy living room and dining area. The owner's suite offers a dual-sink vanity, a relaxing shower, and a separate tub, creating a personal retreat. The home also includes a full carport, providing convenience and protection for your vehicle. The vibrant Teka Village community offers a variety of amenities, including a clubhouse, recreation center, and a refreshing pool for residents to enjoy.
-
2026-04-10$170,000 Active 939-char remark
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
Wait to see this Charming two bedrooms and two bathrooms in Active Adult Gated Community - Teka Village! Welcome to this lovely double-wide mobile home located in the desirable Teka Village, a gated 55+ community in St. Cloud, Florida, where the sunshine and warm weather make for a perfect retirement setting! This spacious 2-bedrooms, 2-bathrooms home offers comfortable living with an inviting lanai, ideal for dining outside or enjoying extra living space. Inside, you'll find a well-appointed kitchen with ample cabinet space, along with a cozy living room and dining area. The owner's suite offers a dual-sink vanity, a relaxing shower, and a separate tub, creating a personal retreat. The home also includes a full carport, providing convenience and protection for your vehicle. The vibrant Teka Village community offers a variety of amenities, including a clubhouse, recreation center, and a refreshing pool for residents to enjoy.
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2025-12-31historical
-
2025-03-29price $180,000
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2025-03-25status Active
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2025-03-25price $180,000
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2025-03-11status Pending
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2025-03-11historical
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2024-12-16price $187,000
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2024-12-14price $187,000
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2024-10-16$200,000 Active
-
2024-10-16$200,000 Active
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2011-10-18$75,000
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1989-06-01soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,569 · $214/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,569 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,786
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,569
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,063
- − Management
- −$2,063
- − HOA
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $2,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$668
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osceola
- NCES district ID
- 1201470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,528
- Composite
- 35.7/100
- National rank
- #4865
- State rank
- #60 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Cloud
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Cloud, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 410,217 people
- City population
- 29,247
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,390
- Household income
- $97,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 443.0
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,624 people
- By 2030
- 511,823 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 642,986 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 774,552 · +73.0%
- By 2075
- 1,078,144 · +140.9%
- By 2100
- 1,269,660 · +183.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 19% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 36% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.55%
- Current HPI
- 274.6517
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+900.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $170,000 SCMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-29 Price Changed $180,000 SCMLS
- 2025-03-25 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-25 Price Changed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-11 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2024-12-16 Price Changed $187,000 SCMLS
- 2024-12-14 Price Changed $187,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-16 Listed $200,000 SCMLS
- 2024-10-16 Listed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-18 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,569 · +952.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…