3312 Clute Rd · Blodgett Mills, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country living in the small Hamlet of Blodgett Mills. Looking for your first starter home? Many options for this great 1-2 bedroom single wide on a full basement with closed in porch. 2 car garage, plenty of lawn for gardening, playing sports, Barbeques, picnics, or just relaxing. Only minutes from town.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Walkout basement
- First floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#709 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Mcgraw Central School District (rural): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #252 of 590 in NY (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Cortland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cortland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.37%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $17,119
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $82,296
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13045
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,746/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $405
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-17status $99,999 Pending 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 79 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 77 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 75 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 69 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $99,999 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
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2026-04-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-09price $99,999
-
2026-03-30$115,000 Active
-
2024-12-19soldstatus $115,250
-
2023-07-28soldstatus $54,000
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2020-02-25soldstatus $50,000
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2020-02-14soldstatus $49,900 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Country living in the small Hamlet of Blodgett Mills. Looking for your first starter home? Many options for this great 1-2 bedroom single wide on a full basement with closed in porch. 2 car garage, plenty of lawn for gardening, playing sports, Barbeques, picnics, or just relaxing. Only minutes from town.
-
2019-02-11$49,900 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Country living in the small Hamlet of Blodgett Mills. Looking for your first starter home? Many options for this great 1-2 bedroom single wide on a full basement with closed in porch. 2 car garage, plenty of lawn for gardening, playing sports, Barbeques, picnics, or just relaxing. Only minutes from town.
-
2017-12-29soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,746 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,746 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$1,746
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,357
- − Management
- −$1,357
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,495
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$839
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcgraw Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618840
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,404
- Composite
- 50.37/100
- National rank
- #1875
- State rank
- #252 of 590 in NY
Livability — Blodgett Mills
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #709
- US rank
- #13501
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blodgett Mills, NY
- County
- Cortland County · 28,361 people
- City population
- 28,361
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,361
- Household income
- $69,961
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1488.0
Population outlook (Cortland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,543 people
- By 2030
- 46,107 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 43,122 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 40,216 · -15.4%
- By 2075
- 34,717 · -27.0%
- By 2100
- 28,953 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cortland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 46.8% · R 53.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 10.0pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+6.7 2012: D+8.8 2008: D+10.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+257.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $99,999 CNYIS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $115,000 CNYIS
- 2024-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $115,250 Public Records
- 2023-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-14 Sold (MLS) $49,900 CNYIS
- 2019-02-11 Listed $49,900 CNYIS
- 2017-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,746 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…