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517 NW Past Dr
C Composite 57.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

517 NW Past Dr · Poulsbo, WA 98370
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · Manufactured public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1976 1.12 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Situated on a 1.12-acre parcel with strong long-term investment potential. Sold AS-IS with no repairs to be made by the seller. Property currently has no power. For saftey please DO NOT ENTER THE BUILDING. Existing septic system is non-conforming, making this primarily a land-value opportunity best suited for cash buyers. Ideal for redevelopment, future investment hold, or a rehab project. Cash sale only — no seller financing, contingencies, or extended feasibility periods. Drive-by and exterior walk-arounds only. Great opportunity for investors, rehabbers, and cash buyers looking for their next project. Buyer to verify all information to their own satisfaction.

Key facts

  • 1.12 acre lot
  • Built 1976
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned 1 dwelling unit per 5 acres; Lot size approximately 1.12 acres
  • Financial info: Cash purchase preferred

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Security: Partially fenced (security feature)
  • Utilities: Electric service (PSE); Shared well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Entry level on main floor; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Double-wide manufactured home (Skyline); Standard frame construction; Metal/vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Effective year built 1976
  • Exterior features: Deck; Partially fenced lot; Dirt road access; Value in land

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); 2 additional possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level) with one tub and one shower
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Partially fenced

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.7% in Poulsbo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#30 in WA, #508 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • North Kitsap School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #54 of 291 in WA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Vinland Elementary (523 students, 34% FRL); Poulsbo Middle School (685 students, 30% FRL); North Kitsap High School (1,063 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 270 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $265,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.22%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.7%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-20,691
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-5,613
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98370

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,723 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$205 /mo · $2,462/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$572
Net cashflow
$446

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,159
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $596 -5% $521 +0% $446 +5% $371 +10% $296
Rent -10% $231 -5% $339 +0% $446 +5% $554 +10% $661
Rate -1.0pp $580 -0.5pp $514 base $446 +0.5pp $378 +1.0pp $308

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26277 Edgewater Pl NW Poulsbo, WA 2.0 1.0 1112 $2,250 $2.02 22d 1 1.26mi
700 NW Advance Dr Poulsbo, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1155 $2,807 $2.43 15d 7 1.37mi
22295 Dauntless Dr NW Poulsbo, WA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1233 $2,650 $2.15 15d 2 1.42mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $265,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $265,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-05-22
    listed $265,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,462 · $205/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,597 · $216/mo
Expected delta
+$135/yr (+$11/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,681
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$2,462
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,614
− Management
−$2,614
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable income
$1,112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$267
After-tax cash flow
$5,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Kitsap School District
NCES district ID
5305760
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$68,919
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#3092
State rank
#54 of 291 in WA

Livability — Poulsbo

Score
85/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#508

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kitsap County · 243,099 people
City population
33,655
Metro
Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
Population (ZIP)
33,655
Household income
$116,756
Rent vs Own
24.5% rent · 75.5% own
Severe rent burden
904.0

Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
277,525 people
By 2030
285,040 · +2.7%
By 2040
294,957 · +6.3%
By 2050
300,622 · +8.3%
By 2075
315,580 · +13.7%
By 2100
304,340 · +9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -342.47%
Current HPI
347.3427
Rent YoY
▲ 0.71%
Metro
Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $265,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,462 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…