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1002 Elysian Ave
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$36,400

1002 Elysian Ave · Toledo, OH 43607
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1917 7,600 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This as-is property is looking for new owners. This property has 870 sqft with 2 bed and 1 bath, living room, dinning room and an eat in kitchen. This property features 2 garages, one has access from the alley. Please see link to submit all offers. http://www. spsreo.com/?c=DUMG

Key facts

  • 7,600 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1917

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; 3 total parking spaces; Alley access and additional parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Enclosed porch; Chain link and wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms; Partial unfinished block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Keyser Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,471 of 1,584 statewide, top 95%, 306 students, 0% FRL); Rogers High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 781 statewide, top 90%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $252 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,854 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.11%
Cap rate
25.09%
Cash-on-cash
67.12%
DSCR
3.99
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$74,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
923 Mackow Dr 0.39mi 2/1.0 768 (-8%) 1mo $115,000 $150 68
2925 Avondale Ave 0.14mi 3/1.5 (+1) 946 (+14%) 2mo $92,900 $98 62
1006 Turner Ave 0.06mi 2/1.0 714 (-14%) 17mo $57,500 $81 59
631 Ranch Dr 0.32mi 2/1.0 766 (-8%) 18mo $55,000 $72 57
908 Coventry Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 860 (+3%) 6mo $55,000 $64 56
1720 Perth St 0.68mi 2/1.0 808 (-3%) 12mo $96,000 $119 54
824 N University Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 797 (-4%) 1mo $60,000 $75 53
1320 Fairlawn Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 886 (+6%) 18mo $55,000 $62 52
910 Moran Ave 0.43mi 2/2.0 872 (+5%) 21mo $78,500 $90 50
1730 Wyndhurst Rd 0.62mi 2/2.0 806 (-3%) 20mo $100,000 $124 46
3306 Nebraska Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 947 (+14%) 12mo $125,000 $132 36
1024 Coventry Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 748 (-10%) 17mo $31,000 $41 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.6%
Equity multiple
4.58×
Total profit
$36,456
Equity at exit
$5,427
10-year hold
IRR
78.0%
Equity multiple
11.40×
Total profit
$105,984
Equity at exit
$3,147

Cash invested: $10,192 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43607

Home prices YoY
-27.5%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,132 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$191
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$570

Break-even live

Break-even rent $411
Max offer price $36,400
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $591 -5% $580 +0% $570 +5% $560 +10% $549
Rent -10% $481 -5% $525 +0% $570 +5% $615 +10% $660
Rate -1.0pp $588 -0.5pp $579 base $570 +0.5pp $561 +1.0pp $551

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,100
Closing costs
$1,092
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
932 Turner Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $1,295 $1.35 15d 1 0.04mi
1700 Secor Rd Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 790 $1,199 $1.52 15d 1 0.68mi
3414 Dorr St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 570 $825 $1.45 25d 5 0.74mi
1919 Kensington Rd Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 680 $775 $1.14 22d 1 0.74mi
1133 Parkside Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $850 $0.89 45d 1 0.80mi
2637 Greenway St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1082 $900 $0.83 45d 1 0.81mi
2030 Wyndhurst Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1042 $950 $0.91 45d 1 0.82mi
2535 W Bancroft St Unit 8 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 45d 1 0.97mi
2445 W Bancroft St Unit 2445-15 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 557 $625 $1.12 45d 1 1.01mi
2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1123 $1,478 $1.32 25d 1 1.21mi
3776 Hill Ave Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $735 $1.13 45d 1 1.30mi
1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 930 $900 $0.97 45d 1 1.33mi
307 Danberry St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 988 $950 $0.96 45d 1 1.33mi
2820 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 580 $679 $1.17 45d 1 1.46mi
2820 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 580 $704 $1.21 25d 1 1.46mi
2820 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 580 $679 $1.17 15d 1 1.46mi
2250 Torrey Hill Dr Unit 2254-5 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 563 $770 $1.37 45d 1 1.47mi
2704 Kenwood Blvd Toledo, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 825 $1,196 $1.45 15d 71 1.49mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $36,400 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $36,400 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $36,400 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $36,400 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $36,400 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $36,400 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $36,400 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $36,400 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $36,400 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $36,400 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $36,400 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-05-21
    listed $36,400 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,587
− Mortgage interest
−$2,039
− Property taxes
−$1,420
− Insurance
−$182
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,087
− Management
−$1,087
− Depreciation
−$1,059
Taxable income
$6,713
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,611
After-tax cash flow
$5,230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,469
Household income
$41,335
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1157.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.58%
Current HPI
175.2772
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $36,400 NORIS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,420 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…