🏷️ Likely Rental
810 N Douglas St · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Large 3 bedroom home located steps away from historic Moss Ave! Amenities include; 9' ceilings, natural woodwork throughout, hardwood floors, formal dining room, spacious living room with open staircase and brick fireplace(decoration only), newer furnace and central air, fully applianced kitchen, sunroom, full basement, updated electric box, one car garage, immediate occupancy! Investors note the home was previously rented for $1,500/month. As it it in a historic district, exterior alterations and some repairs are subject to the Historic Preservation Commission(HPC), please see associated docs for further information. $74,900
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Open staircase
- Formal dining room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning; Subdivision: Moss
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Additional parking: Other
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1919
- Construction: Full basement
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot; Paved road access; Sunroom (main level)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms: primary bedroom approx. 14 x 12 (upper level); second bedroom approx. 13 x 11 (upper level); third bedroom approx. 13 x 9 (upper level)
- Flooring: Hardwood in living room, dining room, and sunroom; Carpet in bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen; Other flooring in basement laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Cable available; Living room fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $746 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Peoria High School (math 4% / reading 7%, grade F, #609 of 693 statewide, top 88%, 1,447 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,600/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 620% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $75k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.68%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1219 Sheridan Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,632 (+3%) | 0mo | $114,000 | $70 | 74 |
| 725 W Spring Hollow Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,714 (+8%) | 4mo | $169,500 | $99 | 70 |
| 1328 N Broadway St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+1%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $75 | 70 |
| 310 W Armstrong Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,668 (+6%) | 7mo | $165,900 | $99 | 56 |
| 816 W Columbia Ter | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,347 (-15%) | 3mo | $38,000 | $28 | 54 |
| 1313 N Ellis St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-11%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $32 | 53 |
| 1112 W Columbia Ter | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,726 (+9%) | 5mo | $114,000 | $66 | 52 |
| 1102 N Institute Pl | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,681 (+6%) | 9mo | $189,900 | $113 | 50 |
| 1404 N Amber Pl | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,792 (+13%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $98 | 48 |
| 1310 N Sheridan Rd | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-15%) | 9mo | $47,500 | $35 | 47 |
| 1214 N University St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,382 (-12%) | 9mo | $92,000 | $67 | 45 |
| 1502 W Columbia Ter | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,508 (-5%) | 9mo | $131,000 | $87 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $35,391
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.39×
- Total profit
- $92,086
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61606
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,133/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $746
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $788 | -5% $767 | +0% $746 | +5% $725 | +10% $703 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $619 | -5% $683 | +0% $746 | +5% $809 | +10% $872 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $784 | -0.5pp $765 | base $746 | +0.5pp $726 | +1.0pp $707 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 818 W Moss Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 501 W Columbia Ter Unit 3 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E16 NE Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $2,250 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 123 SW Jefferson Ave Unit E15SW Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1401 W Adrian G Hinton Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $775 | $0.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1723 W Fredonia Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $2,100 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1019 N Farmington Rd Unit 1017 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1816 W Callender Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 100 Walnut St Unit 402 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,400 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 100 Walnut St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1214 W Butler St Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $795 | $0.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 214 Pecan St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1806 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $894 | $0.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2023 N Underhill St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 102 N Cedar Ave West Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $995 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2210 Knoxville Ave #2212 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $950 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 814 W McClure Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 945 S Shelley St Peoria, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 913 W McClure Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $74,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 635-char remark
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$79,900 Active
-
2021-09-16historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2018-11-30soldstatus $24,000
-
2018-10-18$24,000
-
2015-11-05
-
2015-06-04soldstatus $90,000
-
2001-08-14soldstatus $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,133 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,417 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$283/yr (+$24/mo · 25.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,133
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $8,249
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,980
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,684
- Household income
- $39,196
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 620.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.67%
- Current HPI
- 166.329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+63.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $79,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-16 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) $24,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-18 Listed $24,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-11-05 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,133 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…