8562 Harris Ave · Parkville, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3-bedroom, 1 full and 1 half bath traditional brick end-of-row townhome in Oakleigh offering an AS IS sale with off-street parking, walkout lower level access, and clear value-add potential. This home needs TLC and is ready for buyers looking for a property they can update, improve, and personalize over time. The seller did update the HVAC 2024 and HWH 2026. as well as newer windows and all closets lined with cedar. The main level includes living and dining areas, along with a living room fireplace noted as is. Upstairs, all three bedrooms and a full bath are located together, while the lower level adds a partially finished area, half bath, unfinished storage space, sump pump, and rear walk
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1959
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition listed as below average; Total finished area above grade approximately 1,152; Below-grade finished area approximately 288; Total below-grade area approximately 576; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions
- Financial info: Ground rent exists with a semi-annual payment; Annual ground rent listed as an income/expense item
Exterior
- Parking: Two off-street parking spaces; On-street parking available; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service
- Home design: End of row townhouse; Ground rent tenancy (semi-annual payment)
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Full basement with outside/rear entrance and walkout level; Basement unfinished with space for rooms and a sump pump; Shed on the property; Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Icemaker; Disposal; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Carpet flooring in living areas; Window treatments; Has one gas/propane fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $520 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.3% in Parkville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#77 in MD, #2,839 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Villa Cresta Elementary (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 860 statewide, top 47%, 637 students, 58% FRL); Loch Raven Technical Academy (math 6% / reading 32%, grade F, #155 of 225 statewide, top 70%, 781 students, 60% FRL); Parkville High (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #171 of 222 statewide, top 78%, 2,200 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 39% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.79%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $269,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 Pitney Rd | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $188 | 88 |
| 8528 Kings Ridge Rd | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (0%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $191 | 87 |
| 8559 Morven Rd | 0.10mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $170 | 83 |
| 8425 Kings Ridge Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,552 (+8%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $168 | 78 |
| 1770 Weston Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,396 (-3%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $171 | 61 |
| 1841 Trenleigh Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,409 (-2%) | 9mo | $176,000 | $125 | 60 |
| 8301 Kendale Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (-2%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $199 | 59 |
| 8619 Oak Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (-2%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $160 | 58 |
| 1738 Redwood | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+13%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $156 | 42 |
| 1763 White Oak Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (-12%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $187 | 38 |
| 1755 White Oak Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (-12%) | 9mo | $258,000 | $205 | 35 |
| 8533 Water Oak Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (-15%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $204 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $10,783
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $88,729
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21234
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,167 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,467/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $520
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $627 | -5% $574 | +0% $520 | +5% $467 | +10% $413 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $349 | -5% $434 | +0% $520 | +5% $606 | +10% $691 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $615 | -0.5pp $568 | base $520 | +0.5pp $471 | +1.0pp $421 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8503 Kings Ridge Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 6d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 8417 Nunley Dr Parkville, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 812 | $2,120 | $2.61 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8309 Arbor Station Way Parkville, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 908 | $2,085 | $2.30 | 0d | 10 | 0.33mi |
| 8768 Cimarron Cir Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1752 | $2,395 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8592 Quentin Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $2,100 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7839 Birmingham Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,775 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8206 Old Harford Rd Unit 2 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8206 Old Harford Rd Unit 1 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,750 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8204 Old Harford Rd Unit 2 Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,850 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8451 Water Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 8533 Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8617 Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,100 | $1.74 | 6d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1726 Redwood Ave Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 19d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1745 Amuskai Rd Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,975 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1870 Yakona Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,400 | $2.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1714 Pin Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1534 | $2,800 | $1.83 | 6d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8340 Edgedale Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 6d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8650 Rock Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,108 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2528 Wendover Rd Unit a Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $1,950 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8623 Willow Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $2,700 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8525 Chestnut Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,995 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7906 Bon Air Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $2,200 | $2.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1726 Yakona Rd Unit A Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1865 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1717 Northview Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,980 | $1.57 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1644 Yakona Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1809 Glen Ridge Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1640 | $2,100 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7605 Hillendale Rd Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,255 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1929 Edgewood Rd Unit 1929 Towson, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8402 Greenway Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,600 | $2.26 | 0d | 28 | 1.09mi |
| 23 Roger Valley Ct Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1678 | $2,850 | $1.70 | 6d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 23 Roger Valley Ct Unit 1 Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1678 | $2,850 | $1.70 | 6d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1376 Halstead Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9300 Carney Ave Unit A Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1621 Thetford Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,350 | $2.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8505 Pleasant Plains Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 19d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2219 Lowells Glen Rd Unit K Parkville, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $1,650 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8616 Pleasant Plains Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,490 | $1.58 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1612 Hardwick Rd Towson, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,450 | $1.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8339 Wyton Rd Towson, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,534 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1332 Deanwood Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $2,500 | $2.39 | 46d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $189,000 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$189,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,467 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,764 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$296/yr (+$25/mo · 20.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$1,467
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,081
- − Management
- −$2,081
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $3,350
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$804
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,437/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Parkville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #2839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkville, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 66,334
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,334
- Household income
- $83,517
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2719.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 28% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.04%
- Current HPI
- 254.3824
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.68%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Coming Soon $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,467 · -42.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…